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1.
关于社会融资总量统计的几个问题   总被引:2,自引:0,他引:2  
去年底和今年初,中共中央、国务院提出了社会融资规模的概念,从今年开始,人民银行拟对社会融资总量进行统计监测。本文围绕与社会融资总量统计相关的几个问题作了解读,阐述了社会融资总量的涵义和统计口径,论述了开展这一统计监测的经济背景和理论基础,并就其重要意义提出了自己的看法。  相似文献   

2.
2014年2月20日,中国人民银行首次对外公布《2013年地区社会融资规模统计表》,披露了2013年全国31个省区社会融资规模情况,正式推出了地区社会融资规模概念.目前,中国人民银行要求省会中心支行按月报送并监测地区社会融资规模数据并按季公布.当前地区社会融资规模的编制根据《地区社会融资规模的定义和编制方案》执行,该方案仅简要介绍社会融资规模的定义及计算公式中各项指标的含义,对完成内容丰富、涵盖信贷市场、债券市场、股票市场、保险市场以及中间业务市场的统计指标来说,显得有些不足.因而从统计视角研究地区社会融资规模问题,对于科学、准确地衡量地区社会融资规模,实现地区间融资规模的对比分析,更好地研究经济金融的相关关系,实施差别货币政策、信贷政策具有现实意义.  相似文献   

3.
资产证券化是成熟资本市场最重要的融资工具之一,但其在中国还处于起步探索阶段。本文在总结中国资产证券化发展阶段特征以及各类型资产证券化产品特点的基础上,讨论了将资产证券化纳入社会融资规模口径的理论依据和实践方式,并得出结论:一是对于不同类型的资产证券化产品,应按照统一原则、不同方式,考虑将其纳入社会融资规模统计;二是建立标准化、逐笔化的资产证券化专项统计制度,为资产证券化纳入社会融资规模统计体系提供数据基础。  相似文献   

4.
本文根据地区社会融资规模统计制度,测算出鄂尔多斯市撤盟设市以来的年度社会融资规模数据,分析其变化趋势和结构特点,并对鄂尔多斯市社会融资规模与经济发展关系进行实证研究.本文指出当前地区社会融资规模统计中的困难,并提出保持鄂尔多斯市合理社会融资规模和准确统计地区社会融资规模的对策建议.  相似文献   

5.
张丽莉 《征信》2011,(5):38-40
从区域监测的视角出发,依托企业及个人信用信息基础数据库,地市级社会融资规模统计数据采集面临一些现实困难.目前,为实现区域融资规模统计监测的常规化,可以采用“数据采集分步走,统计指标分层次”的渐进式模式.在设置区域社会融资规模分层次指标的基础上,通过拓展数据库采集范围,提高数据库数据质量,完善非银行信息采集功能,增强立方...  相似文献   

6.
社会融资规模已成为我国货币政策的调控指标。目前,随着资本项目的日益开放,境外融资已成为境内实体经济融资的重要渠道,使社会融资规模统计的居民原则面临现实挑战。本文在测算2002-2017年我国实体经济境外融资规模的基础上,提出了全口径社会融资规模概念。与社会融资规模相比,全口径社会融资规模和货币政策最终目标、操作目标之间的相关性更强。计量分析表明,全口径社会融资规模与货币政策最终目标和操作目标之间存在先行、因果和长期均衡关系。本文论证了将境外融资纳入社会融资规模统计的必要性,分析了统计上的可行性,最后提出相关政策建议。  相似文献   

7.
黄鸿星 《银行家》2013,(1):14-15
社会融资规模概念在2010年前探讨的相对较少,自2011年起,中国人民银行正式纳入统计并公布社会融资规模数据。社会融资规模是全面反映金融与经济关系,以及金融对实体经济资金支持的总量指标,是指一定时期内(每月、每季或每年),实体经济从金融体系获得的全部资金总额,是一个增量概念。2010年12月和2011年12月的两次中央经济工作会议,以及2011年3月和2012年3月两份《政府工作报告》中均提出"保持合理的社会融资规模",社会融资规模已成为我国宏观调控的新指标。此外,我国金融宏观调控也正逐步尝试以社会融资规模指标作为货币政  相似文献   

8.
金融统计不仅是一个国家统计体系的重要组成部分,而且对于政府做好宏观调控、维护金融稳定、促进金融业健康有序发展具有十分重要的意义。近年来,我国金融业发展迅速,各种新型金融组织大量涌现,社会融资规模等新的重要金融统计指标纳入统计范围,金融统计的内外部环境发生了深刻变化,现行金融统计制度已不适应改革和发展的需要。本文认为应尽快出台《金融统计条例》,以改善金融统计工作的内外部环境,促进金融业和谐发展。  相似文献   

9.
2016年3月5日,国务院总理李克强在《政府工作报告》对2016年的货币政策工作指出"稳健的货币政策要灵活适度。今年广义货币M2预期增长13%左右,社会融资规模余额增长13%左右"。充分表明社会融资规模作为全新金融宏观调控指标的有效性毋庸置疑,但社会融资规模指标是我国的创新,其统计的方式方法要随着金融实践的发展不断完善。  相似文献   

10.
社会融资总量是全面反映金融与经济关系,以及金融对实体经济资金支持的总量指标。社会融资总量概念的提出,对完善当前金融统计制度提出了新的要求。文章立足于操作实践层面,从尽快提高全社会对该项指标认知度、明确统计执行主体、规范指标统计范围和口径等方面,就构建和完善我国社会融资总量统计制度提出建议。  相似文献   

11.
Access to finance is a perennial problem for business start-ups. This article advances the extant literature on the determinants of entrepreneurial finance by presenting a comprehensive analysis of the amount needed to start a business, the amount of self-investment and the number of external sources of financing utilized. Based on information from the Global Entrepreneurship Monitor 2015, the empirical analysis shows that the availability of external sources of financing depend primarily on demographics, entrepreneurial experience, business features, e.g., export propensity and growth potential; and, on the phase of economic development. Furthermore, relatively high levels of social trust may increase the likelihood of obtaining external financing. The novelty of the product/service offered, financial barriers and investor/property rights protection in turn may also explain the proportion of self-investment provided to a new business. An analysis of financing options of socially-oriented businesses shows that they are more successful in obtaining financial support from private investors/venture capitalists and governments.  相似文献   

12.
We use a sample of Chinese firms to examine the impact of social trust, as an informal institution, on firm financing violations. Our findings suggest that when a firm is located in a region with high social trust, it commits fewer financing violations than those committed by firms in a region of low social trust. The results are robust for alternative measures of financing violations (fraudulent activities when issuing new shares, changing the use of new funds to uses other than the stipulated purposes, or illegally using third‐party loan guarantees), social trust, and after using instrumental variables estimation to account for endogeneity. Additional analysis suggests that the impact of social trust on restraining financing violations is more pronounced for firms having lower interest costs, facing low industry competition, located in high marketisation regions, and having good internal control. The findings show that the impact of social trust on financing violations is moderated by the economic reality of the firm (interest costs and competition), the formal institutional environment (level of marketisation), and the internal governance of a firm (internal control).  相似文献   

13.
社会融资总量与金融宏观调控新目标   总被引:1,自引:0,他引:1  
社会融资总量是一定时期内实体经济从金融体系获得的全部资金总额,是反映金融业对实体经济资金支持的总量指标。目前,中国人民银行已经启动了对社会融资总量的统计监测工作,并致力于将其作为货币政策新的中介目标。社会融资总量包括信贷融资、证券融资、保险融资、其他融资等多种形式。加强对社会融资总量的统计、监测和调控,能够全面反映整个社会的流动性状况,有利于推进宏观审慎管理。  相似文献   

14.
Why do some firms grow faster than others? Although various observed and unobserved aspects of firms have been suggested as potential drivers of firm heterogeneity, economists disagree sharply on the role of financial structure in influencing firm growth. In this paper, I use a sample of quoted and unquoted firms to show that the effect of financial structure on firm growth is statistically significant and quantitatively important. In the presence of external financing constraints, firms rely more on internal funds to finance growth, but the effect of internal financing on firm growth decreases with an increase in the firm’s access to an external bank credit facility. As the external financing constraint is alleviated, the firm relies less on internal funds and switches to external financing as the primary source of financing for its growth. This pattern of transition between internal and external financing is particularly pronounced in small unquoted firms (conditional on their survival). These results suggest a real effect of financial structure on growth via the channel of an external financing constraint.  相似文献   

15.
The staged financing hypothesis of Mayers [Mayers, D., 1998. Why firms issue convertible bonds: The matching of financial and real investment options. Journal of Financial Economics 47, 83–102] predicts that investment and financing activity will increase following in the money convertible bond calls. The prediction for out of the money convertible calls is different: no increase is expected. We study the rate of both corporate investment and external financing around forced conversions using benchmarks that are analogous to those recommended by Barber and Lyon [Barber, B., Lyon, J., 1996. Detecting abnormal operating performance: The empirical power and specification of test statistics. Journal of Financial Economics 41, 359–400]. We also examine the cross-section of changes in investment and financing activity. Conversion-forcing firms exhibit an increase in both capital expenditures and debt financing around the year of the convertible bond call; however, the same result holds for the sample firms that conducted out-of-the-money convertible calls. Further, there is no relation between changes in investment activity and changes in debt issuance at the firm level. The evidence is inconsistent with the notion that forced conversions serve as a catalyst for staged financing and investment.  相似文献   

16.
This paper reviews social finance. Venture philanthropy, microfinance, crowdfunding and social impact bonds are financial and social innovations that reshape capital markets, the production of public goods, entrepreneurship and the fundamental principles of financial analysis. In this context, the pursuit of social and environmental impact is assessed alongside the tradeoff between risk and expected return. The market for impact investments consists of suppliers of capital, recipients of capital, the institutional framework and financing flows. This paper describes the financial market for the pursuit of impact and highlights principal challenges, such as the small scale and long horizon of social ventures, the lack of standardized reporting and financial measures for social outcomes, as well as the elusive causality between impact investments and social change.  相似文献   

17.
Using a comprehensive sample of securities litigation, we examine the effect of financial fraud on the subsequent use of external financing. We find that firms with a recent history of securities litigation, particularly more severe litigation, are less likely to seek external debt and equity financing. This negative relationship between prior litigation and external financing is stronger for firms with high information asymmetry. Furthermore, firms significantly reduce their investments in capital expenditures and research and development during the three years following a litigation filing. Thus, the reduction in the availability of external financing due to allegations of financial fraud can have a tangible impact upon the investment opportunities of the firm.  相似文献   

18.
Social relationship and business connections create implicit benefits between borrowers and lenders. We model how implicit benefits and repayment enforcement costs influence credit allocation, cost, and renegotiation. The optimal solution illustrates that financing with implicit benefits may achieve lower financing costs, higher managerial effort, and better outcomes for both borrowers and lenders. This result is consistent with the continuing expansion of alternative financing despite formal financial intermediation, the rise of corporate insider debt, and joint ownership of debt and equity. The growing size and complexity of projects and changes in community relationships can explain expansion of financing with standard intermediation.  相似文献   

19.
We examine two data sets, one from the UK (n = 15,750) and one from the US (n = 3239), to show that SME financial behaviour demonstrates substantial financial contentment, or ‘happiness’. We find fewer than 10% of the UK firms seek significant growth and only 1.32% of US firms list a shortage of capital other than working capital as a problem. Financial performance indicators (growth, return on assets, profit margin) were not found to be determinants of SME financing activities, as might be expected in a ‘rational’ risk–return environment. Younger and less educated SME owners more actively use external financing – even though more education reduces the fear of loan denial – while older and more educated (‘wiser’) SME owners are found to be being less likely to seek or use external financing. The contentment hypothesis for SME financing also extends to high-growth firms in that we show that they participate more in the loan markets than low-growth firms. By way of contrast to the finance gap hypothesis, the contentment hypothesis observes the importance of social networks (connections) [for finance] and confirms the ‘connections – happiness’ linkage in the literature on happiness while doubting the theoretical suitability of Jensen and Meckling [Jensen, M., Meckling, W., 1976. Theory of the firm: Managerial behavior, agency costs, and ownership structure. Journal of Financial Economics 3, 305–360.] base-case analysis for SMEs.  相似文献   

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