Alternative Solutions to Underinvestment, Under Equity and Credit Rationing

We compare alternative solutions to underinvestment (UI) problems in firms subject to limited access to equity markets, interest ceilings, and constraints on the volume of debt. Collaterals (assets or compensating balances) and credit insurance ('regular' or 'outcome' insurance whereby the premium is paid at the end of the insurance period) are compared on the basis to their costs and their effective use of financial sources. It is shown that when there is no moral hazard problem, credit insurance is the most effective instrument. Otherwise, 'outcome' insurance program is the most effective one.     

债券保险发展进程及业务模式探索

我国信用债市场发展进入新时期,信用违约的常态化和高收益债券市场建立的需要催生了对信用风险管理和信用增级的需求,而债券保险正是满足这两种需求的有效手段。本文在借鉴债券保险发展的国际经验的基础上,立足我国债券市场与债券保险发展现状,指出了当前我国债券保险发展滞后源于制度建设落后、信用保护卖方保障不足等原因导致的盈利困难,并提出和论证了由保险公司提供结算型债券保险的新型保险模式。最后就当前我国债券保险发展存在的不足之处,从发展传统型债券保险和信用风险缓释工具两个角度提出了具体的政策建议。     

信息攫取与出口信用保险发展:以中国出口信用保险公司为例

出口信用保险是规避收汇风险的有效途径,信息攫取则是发展出口信用保险的手段之一,对出口信用保险发展起到促进作用。当信息攫取、资本、国际贸易对出口信用保险发展的边际贡献率相同时,出口信用保险增长率达到稳态,并以一个稳定的速率增长。将出口信用保险纳入Ramsey模型,从信息攫取角度分析中国出口信用保险业发展,结论表明,无论长期还是短期,信息攫取对出口信用保险发展都存在显著影响。但出口信用保险行业的信息攫取力度仍有待加强。     

Bounded rationality in credit consumers’ payment protection insurance decisions: the effect of relative cost and level of cover

A previous study found that credit consumers’ decisions to purchase payment protection insurance (PPI) were surprising insensitive to changes in cost and level of cover. This was investigated further in a randomized-groups experiment in which these two factors and the cost of credit alternatives without PPI were systematically manipulated. High street bank customers (N?=?215) were presented with realistic PPI purchase scenarios and a questionnaire assessing their willingness to pay (WTP) for PPI and perceptions of its usefulness. It was found that: (1) WTP and PPI decisions were insensitive to relatively large changes in level of cover; (2) the perceived usefulness of Premium and Basic levels of cover were not significantly different, although their usefulness was a significant predictor of PPI decisions and (3) sensitivity of PPI decisions to changes in cost was dependent on the cost of credit without PPI. The first two findings are explained in terms of simplified mental representations and the evaluability of insurance cover. It is concluded that further research on the effects of the relative cost of insurance is needed.     

中小企业信用保险制度研究——以宏观信用制度完善为背景

信用保险与中小企业是相互依存、相互促进的关系,为进一步提高当前转型经济环境下中小企业信用在中小企业经营和发展过程中所能发挥的风险保障与资金融通功能,国家有必要从信用保险机制完善发展到信用制度建设。     

论我国信用保险业的经济周期管理

本文尝试从经济周期的角度看待本轮危机给我国信用保险行业带来的启示。首先研究了经济周期性波动中信用风险水平的变化,进而引申说明经济周期对信用保险行业的市场需求和风险水平都具有深刻的影响。其次,提出了信用保险行业要在经济的周期性波动中保持稳定经营必须面对的挑战,其中特别说明了官方支持的信用保险机构的独特之处。最后,对我国信用保险机构如何开展经济周期管理提出了若干建议。     

论信用保险项下重复保险制度的构建

信用保险在我国是一个新兴的保险种类,根据我国《保险法》对于保险的基本分类,信用保险属于财产保险的一种,但实际上信用保险较之一般的财产保险存在诸多特殊之处,特别是在重复保险问题上更是难以适用《保险法》针对财产保险所设计的相关制度,同时,也不能按照人身保险生命无价原理确定和解决重复保险问题。当信用保险市场开放时,各保险人就会面对重复保险如何界定和分担责任的问题。本文对这一问题提出了一些解决思路。     

Systemic Risk,Financial Crisis,and Credit Risk Insurance

Differing from conventional insurance firms whose underwriting business does not contribute to systemic risk, credit risk insurance companies providing credit protections for debt obligations are exposed to systemic risk. We show that credit risk insurers (CRIs) underperformed conventional insurance companies during the 2007–2009 financial crisis, and such underperformance is attributed to the greater systemic risk of CRIs. We also find that the credit spreads of insured bonds increase significantly after their insurers are downgraded or put in the negative watch list. We control for alternative factors affecting bond credit spreads and the result is robust.     

农村信用社是否应当加入存款保险制度：博弈论视角

文章从博弈论角度论证了金融机构加入存款保险制度的必要性,并通过调查问卷、实地调查等方式,对山东省A市农村信用社加入存款保险制度的影响进行了实证分析。分析结果表明,加入存款保险制度不会引起农村信用社存款大规模流失,保费征收短期会增加农村信用社的经营成本、降低营业利润,但不会影响农村信用社的长期稳健经营,亦不会对当地金融稳定形成冲击。     

我国保险公司诚信体系建设的博弈分析

我国保险业处于诚信严重缺失的状况,解决诚信问题需要把握保险公司的经营目标。本文从博弈论的视角分析了保险市场中竞争状况和由于竞争导致诚信缺失的原因。现阶段保险公司亟需监管部门给予有效指引,使竞争机制能够对保险业诚信产生有利导向。我国可以通过建立顾客满意度测评体系、完善保险公司投诉制度、加强保险公司诚信监管等手段来促进我国保险公司诚信体系的建设。