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1.
经济运行具有周期性,金融合作能够在一定程度上缓解经济波动对居民消费的冲击,实现跨国(地区)消费风险分担。本文对东亚典型国家(地区)消费风险分担进行度量分析。研究结果表明:东亚金融合作确实提高了区域消费风险分担的水平。随着东亚金融合作的深化,区域内低收入国家的消费风险分担水平增长显著。另外,金融开放是东亚区域消费风险分担的主要驱动力,监管制度和政治稳定也对风险分担有重要影响。  相似文献   

2.
创业企业作为风险投资中主要的风险源和收益来源,对投资者而言,需要寻找一个可以分担和转化风险的组织,即风险投资公司来分担此功能的机制使产生了.所以比较分析分散的直接投资与风险分担机制下通过风险投资公司进行间接投资之间的交易成本后,发现通过中间代理人间接投资的方式具有无与伦比的制度优势.  相似文献   

3.
应用我国1985~2011年的省级数据,构建面板数据模型实证分析了城镇家庭消费的风险分担和跨期平滑情况。研究结果显示:我国城镇家庭消费的跨期平滑是不完全的。无论是从我国整体情况来看,还是从不同地区或者不同收入组家庭来考察,城镇家庭消费的跨期平滑系数γ均介于0~1之间。此外,城镇家庭消费的风险分担程度很低,消费风险分担机制很不完善。进一步的分析显示:各个地区内部和不同收入组内部的风险分担系数要高于全国总体的风险分担系数,这说明我国城镇家庭在进行消费风险分担时具有显著的“本地偏好”和“阶层效应”。  相似文献   

4.
风险分担是金融体系的核心功能之一,主要包括金融市场的横向风险分担和银行中介的纵向跨期风险分担两种方式.横向风险分担方式在规避非系统性风险方面占有优势,而纵向跨期风险分担在规避系统性风险方面占有优势.风险分担功能的实现依附于各种具体的资金配置形式,而有效的资金配置的最终实现也必须以有效的风险分担为条件和保障.  相似文献   

5.
合作社内部信用合作业务中参与方的谈判地位影响了其风险分担.针对农民专业合作社内部开展信用合作业务存在的风险,通过引入静态博弈和动态博弈理论,开展信用合作业务的风险分担研究.根据静态博弈理论,把信用合作业务的风险划分为单方承担风险和共担风险,根据动态博弈理论,求解农户与合作社对共担风险的最优分担比例,并以陕西省SNL合作社为例,根据问卷调查法确定初步风险分担方案,通过Matlab软件模拟求解风险分担比例,分析了参与方在地位不对称情况下的风险分担和风险转移情况,证明了农户与合作社之间存在最优的风险分担比例.博弈理论在风险分担中的应用研究是解决信用合作问题的新思路.  相似文献   

6.
创业企业作为风险投资中主要的风险源和收益来源,对投资者而言,需要寻找一个可以分担和转化风险的组织,即风险投资公司来分担此功能的机制便产生了。所以比较分析分散的直接投资与风险分担机制下通过风险投资公司进行间接投资之间的交易成本后,发现通过中间代理人间接投资的方式具有无与伦比的制度优势。  相似文献   

7.
李政  李鑫 《金融研究》2022,504(6):94-114
本文构建理论模型刻画数字普惠金融对居民未预期风险应对的影响,并基于世界银行2014年和2017年中国普惠金融微观数据进行实证检验。研究表明,数字普惠金融能够有效提高居民风险应对能力,增强贫困人口抵抗风险冲击的韧性。但考虑个体多重借贷行为后发现,适度借贷有益于改善居民风险分担,过度借贷则会损害其风险防御能力,进而弱化数字普惠金融的风险平滑效应,这意味着数字普惠金融增强居民风险应对能力是建立在理性借贷基础之上。进一步分析发现,数字普惠金融还能帮助遭受风险冲击的家庭平稳消费,这一影响主要来源于对非耐用品支出的促进作用。此外,机制检验表明数字普惠金融能在扩大风险分担网络、增进信任机制、培养金融习惯以及提升服务效率等方面带来重要影响。本文为我国推进数字技术与普惠金融融合创新,营造健康数字普惠金融生态圈提供了一定启示。  相似文献   

8.
PPP融资模式在国内外都得到了广泛的应用,其成功实施的关键在于对风险的分析.国外对PPP融资项目风险的研究已经形成了比较完善的体系,尤其是在风险分析的方法模型方面,已经达到了前沿的水平,并且也有了一些自己的学派.国内关于PPP融资模式风险的研究从分担关系上讲主要分为四个层次,包括对PPP项目风险量的研究;对项目风险进行单方面分配的研究;项目参与方共同分担风险的研究;项目风险管理研究.文章分析总结了上述四个层次的研究,并提出了目前研究的不足,对PPP项目风险研究具有一定的指导作用.  相似文献   

9.
PPP作为一种新的融资模式,虽然有广阔的发展前景,但主体复杂、周期长和成本高的固有特征也使其面临更多风险。对风险进行合理分担是PPP项目能够成功实施的关键,鉴于PPP项目参与双方的地位不对称和信息不完全,论文从不完全信息的角度构建讨价还价博弈模型,得到风险分担的影响因素为损耗系数、风险转移比例和风险转移概率。基于此,对PPP项目风险分担提出以下建议:建立政府信用约束机制,提高信息透明度和促进政府角色转变。本文的研究为PPP项目的风险分担提供了理论参考。  相似文献   

10.
国家助学贷款是一种与教育机会均等的思想和高等教育财政的改革相匹配的教育成本分担方式,属于政策性金融业务.我国助学贷款政策要求高校承担相当部分的风险补偿资金,这使得高校在多重任务代理下必然做出逆向选择.本文对我国现行的国家助学贷款风险分担机制设计上的缺陷给高校带来了政策、声誉、管理与关系上的四大风险进行了分析,并对这些风险可能导致国家助学贷款政策失灵以及高校发展机会丧失的严重后果进行了阐释,认为国家应承担主要的贷款风险,本质上作为金融产品的助学贷款存在创新的巨大空间.  相似文献   

11.
以广东省集体林区农户为研究对象,以前景理论为基础,采用经济学实验测度农户风险偏好,并用Heckman模型对样本农户风险偏好对其经营意愿与投入强度等决策的影响关系进行分析。结果表明:样本农户大多呈现风险厌恶的特征;农户的风险厌恶程度、损失厌恶程度以及对事件判断的主观概率均会对其投入决策产生不同程度的影响;其经营决策并非遵循理性经济人的收益最大化,而是遵循“安全第一”的法则,面对风险等级较高的林业项目投入意愿较弱,投入强度较低。  相似文献   

12.
The Journal of Real Estate Finance and Economics - Houses are the largest component of most households’ wealth and their risk is important. Recent research shows that pricier houses have...  相似文献   

13.
Impacts of flooding are expected to increase, most notably in residential areas. As a consequence, private households are increasingly encouraged to engage in private flood mitigation complementary to public measures. Despite the growing literature on private flood mitigation, little is known about how social capital influences households’ perception of and coping with flood risks. This study draws on survey data of 226 flood-prone households in two Austrian Alpine municipalities, both recently affected by riverine flooding. We show that social capital cuts both ways: on the positive side, social capital increases perceived self-efficacy and provides critical support during and most notably after flood events. On the negative side, social capital reduces flood risk perceptions of private households. While social ties are effective when responding to and recovering from floods, the expectation of social support downplays risk, making precautionary action by households less likely. The results also show that flood-affected households receive more social support than they provide to others. In the long-run, this can lead to a problematic reciprocity imbalance, challenging the long-term stability of the interpersonal exchanges underlying social capital. Among the various sources of social support, informal social networks (neighbours, friends and relatives) provide the most important workforce in the response and recovery phase of a flood event. It is therefore crucial for flood risk management to recognise and promote the protective quality of social capital alongside conventional structural and non-structural measures.  相似文献   

14.
The Neighborhood Distribution of Subprime Mortgage Lending   总被引:1,自引:0,他引:1  
Subprime lending in the residential mortgage market, characterized by relatively high credit risk and interest rates or fees, has developed over the past decade into a prominent segment of the market (Temkin, 2000). Recent research indicates that there is geographical concentration of subprime mortgages in Census tracts where there are high concentrations of low-income and minority households. The growth in subprime lending represents an expansion in the supply of mortgage credit among households who do not meet prime market underwriting standards. Nonetheless, its apparent concentration in minority and lower income neighborhoods has generated concerns that these households may not be obtaining equal opportunity in the prime mortgage market. Such lending may undermine revitalization to the extent that it is associated with so-called predatory practices.  相似文献   

15.
This paper examines whether the housing wealth effect—the consumption change induced by house price appreciation is dependent upon households’ attitudes toward risk. A simple theoretical model is introduced to highlight a negative relationship between the wealth effect and risk aversion. The paper empirically tests for this negative relationship, using data from the U.S. Consumer Expenditure Survey. The investigation involves two steps. In the first step, we make use of households’ demographics and their risky and liquid asset holdings to estimate risk aversion. The Heckman correction model is applied to address the issue of limited stock market participation. For the second step, we construct pseudo panel data through grouping households by their birth years and their predicted values of risk aversion, and then, we estimate the responses of households’ consumption changes to house price fluctuations by risk-attitude group. Consistent with the prediction of the theoretical model, the estimation results suggest a significant negative relationship between the housing wealth effect and households’ risk attitudes. Households, who are less risk averse, experience greater consumption changes in response to house price appreciation.  相似文献   

16.
随着时代的发展,住房资产与金融资产的联系越来越紧密,逐渐向住房资产金融产品化发展,成为一种新型金融产品,呈现出货币化和金融化的趋势。本文使用probit模型、普通最小二乘法(OLS)、中介效应以及调节效应,采用2015年中国家庭金融问卷调查微观数据(CHFS)对住房资产价值细化,从住房增值、住房贷款和住房总值三个方面对居民家庭风险金融市场进入和风险金融资产配置的影响进行研究。研究发现:(1)住房总值和住房增值对居民家庭是否参与金融市场呈现显著的负向影响,住房贷款对其具有正向影响。(2)住房贷款对居民家庭风险金融资产投资有负向影响,住房增值和住房总值对其有正向影响。(3)幸福感在居民家庭是否参与金融市场和住房增值中存在部分中介效应,安全感在居民家庭风险金融投资和住房贷款之间存在部分中介效应,未来预期在居民家庭是否参与金融市场与居民家庭是否拥有住房贷款中存在调节效应。最后,根据实证结果提出完善金融市场和优化居民金融资产结构的政策建议。  相似文献   

17.
This study investigates the consumer credit risk characteristics of Turkish households by analyzing factors related to their income and expense differentials. This study assumes that the income and expense patterns are the key elements of consumer credit risk. Based on a data set ranging from 8,551 to 25,566 households, during the period 2003-5, we employ a logistic regression method to model the determinants of income and expense differentials. We first concentrate on the income-expense balance of households to highlight those that are eligible for consumer credit. We reinforce our results by further analyzing the expenditure behaviors of households to find those that should be either primarily eliminated or targeted for consumer credit by financial institutions. Our overall results provide evidence on the factors identifying household income and expense profiles and, hence, consumer credit risk characteristics of Turkish households.  相似文献   

18.
文章基于对广东省34地农户稻作保险购买行为的调研,采用开放的二分选择式条件估价法获取1772户农户水稻保险支付意愿(Willingness To Pay,WTP)数据,运用Tobit模型针对稻作风险、农户风险意识、风险管理替代工具和农户家庭特征四类二十个因素进行了检验和讨论。研究表明,产量变异系数、风险损失频率等七个因素对支付意愿的影响最为显著性,家庭纯收入、对农业保险的认同等四个因素对支付意愿的影响较为显著,保险免赔率、生产总成本等六个因素对支付意愿有一定影响,而稻作面积、是否参与过其他保险等三个因素的影响甚微,文章最后根据测算结果提出了发展广东省农业保险的政策建议。  相似文献   

19.
We use a detailed panel data set of Swedish households to investigate the relation between their labor income risk and financial investment decisions. In particular, we relate changes in wage volatility to changes in the portfolio holdings for households that switched industries between 1999 and 2002. We find that households do adjust their portfolio holdings when switching jobs, which is consistent with the idea that households hedge their human capital risk in the stock market. The results are statistically and economically significant. A household going from an industry with low wage volatility to one with high volatility ceteris paribus decreases its portfolio share of risky assets by up to 35%, or $15,575.  相似文献   

20.
We study the portfolio allocation decisions of Australian households using the relatively new Household, Income and Labour Dynamics in Australia (HILDA) Survey. We focus on household allocations to risky financial assets. Our empirical analysis considers a range of hypothesised determinants of these allocations. We find background risk factors posed by labor income uncertainty and health risk are important. Credit constraints and observed risk preferences play the expected role. A positive age gradient is identified for risky asset holdings and home-ownership is associated with greater risky asset holdings. A unifying theme for many of our empirical findings is the important role played by financial awareness and knowledge in determining risky asset holdings. Many non-stockholding households appear to lack the experience and financial literacy that might enable them to benefit from direct investment in stocks.  相似文献   

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