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1.
股票与房地产价格波动影响银行系统稳定的传导机制分析   总被引:1,自引:0,他引:1  
唐建伟 《新金融》2006,35(1):29-32
股票与房地产价格的波动会对一国银行系统产生重大影响,资产价格的波动主要通过信贷风险渠道、市场风险渠道、经纪业务收入渠道、为附属机构注资的风险渠道及“第二回合”渠道等传导渠道影响到银行系统的稳定。所以为维持银行系统的稳定,监管当局应该密切关注股票与房地产价格可能出现的剧烈下跌对银行部门可能产生的风险并以相应的方法应对。  相似文献   

2.
现阶段中国普通老百姓的投资渠道是较为匮乏的:投资于股票、基金的风险较大,进行银行定期存款则难以实现资产的保值增值。本文探索出一种新的方法,既能够获取较高的收益,又能够控制投资的风险,这就是股票定投。  相似文献   

3.
利用16家上市银行的收益率数据计算统计Beta系数与R平方的分布,探寻银行类股票的非系统性风险状况,发现银行类股票风险收益率变化的方向与整个市场风险收益率的变化方向相同且波动幅度基本一致,其中宁波银行、南京银行、招商银行、民生银行、光大银行和中信银行等上市银行的系统性风险占总风险的比重很高;工商银行、中国银行、农业银行和建设银行等上市银行股票的非系统性风险占总风险比重很高;其他上市银行两种风险比例较均衡.投资者可依据自己的投资偏好,以此为参考制定投资策略.  相似文献   

4.
一、后危机时代关于系统性风险研究的讨论 (一)系统性风险衡量与评估工具的评估与优化 1.各种系统性风险衡量工具的相互结合 传统的测量方法主要包括两类:一是集中在银行资产负债表的相关指标的测量上,例如,关于NPL指标、利润指标、流动性指标以及资本充足率指标,二是运用诸如股票和期权价格以及信用违约掉期利差的市场数据运用风险管理技术进行系统性风险的评估.例如,Chan-Lau and Gravelle (2005)将银行体系作为一个投资组合,对股票市场和CDS市场信息进行信贷风险组合的技术处理.此外,Lehar (2005)则使用股票收益率指标通过计算银行资产间的相关系数测度系统性风险的传染.  相似文献   

5.
本文分析了我国在市场发育初期阶段条件下股票直接融资的效率和风险,现阶段股票直接融资的局限性和银行间接融资的积极作用,认为我国目前出现的股票热、证券热不能证明股票直接融资的必要性和迫切性,而是反映了由于金融体制方面存在的弊端造成银行间接融资供给不足,指出以银行间接融资为主渠道,配合以其他融资方式,是我国金融改革与发展的长期选择。  相似文献   

6.
分析了股票承销业务各风险影响因素,建立了股票承销业务风险评价指标体系.运用模糊数学,决策学相关知识分别进行了指标权重的确定和股票承销业务风险的综合评价;对证券公司股票承销业务风险评价的方法进行初步探讨  相似文献   

7.
银行作为银行拆借市场的主要参与者,其本身对于利率的变动极为敏感,同时又在股票市场中扮演着重要的角色,这样的双重身份使得研究隔夜拆放利率对平安银行股票收益率的相互作用关系,对于防范银行业的利率风险具有重要的现实意义。本研究的目的是希望通过VAR模型探索隔夜拆借利率与平安银行股票收益率的关联性,进一步了解银行间同业拆借利率对于银行业的影响,并对银行的利率风险管控提出合理的建议。  相似文献   

8.
调查表明,2006年1月~2007年6月,江苏省银行代售基金大幅度增长,投资者对股票型基金有更多偏好,投资者风险教育不断得到加强.  相似文献   

9.
ST类股票风险大,是广大投资者都有的认识,几乎所有的评论家、所有的证券公司都告诫大家不要投资ST类股票.可是为什么有另外一些人,对ST股票非常感兴趣,并且从中获得不菲的收益.现在,我们从风险和收益的角度对ST类股票进行仔细研究,发现它的风险大,但是与收益之间依然是成正比的关系.大家可以选择一些方法尽量避免风险,从ST类股票中得到收益.  相似文献   

10.
理财     
《财会学习》2013,(7):38-39
银行理财产吕选购细节最近,频繁收到银行理财产品推销信息,在股市不景气的情况下,有想法将部分投资转移到银行理财产品。但是,怎么在这么多银行理财产品中选择合适的理财产品?(吉林省张斌)专家:银行理财业务从存贷款业务脱胎而来,安全稳健是其主流产品的主要特征。在股市跌跌不休、基市萎靡不振、金市前景难料的环境下,银行理财产品不失为一个不错的投资选择。银行理财产品的设计初衷是风险收益水平界定于定期存款与股票之间的多样化投融资工具,即银行理财产品的风险比股票低,收益比同期限同币种的定期存款高。银行理财产品本质上是金融投资产品,并不是储蓄存款。是投资就必然有风险,理  相似文献   

11.
This research investigates how banks expand market share after entering the underwriting market by examining the relation between commercial bank equity investments and underwriting fees. First, we find that not only bank underwriters with private information about issuers but also those without private information discount their fees, especially for smaller and riskier firms. This result is robust when using multiple firm‐bank relationship measures or when changing the investing stage. This is consistent with the strategic discount view that predicts that bank underwriters discount fees to expand bank market shares in underwriting markets.  相似文献   

12.
Using commercial bank data from eight major Asian countries, we examine the relationship between the banking market size structure and the stability of financial institutions. We also analyze the effect of bank upsizing on the financial stability. Our results show that a rise in large banks’ market power, accompanying an increase in their market shares, lowers the capital adequacy of small banks. Small banks’ nonperforming loans and the possibility of their bankruptcy also increase as large banks’ market shares rise. We further show that larger banks tend to have lower capital adequacy ratios, liquidity ratios, and distance-to-default ratios. Our study suggests that large banks’ greater market shares are associated with small banks’ financial instability. Overall, these findings are consistent with the notion of the recent banking literature that has important antitrust policy implications.  相似文献   

13.
The paper is concerned with the relationship between economic growth and financial intermediation, in particular stock market development, in post-liberalization India. It identifies three possible relationships: (a) the relationship between growth of manufacturing and growth of the stock market; (b) the relationship between growth of the stock market and growth of traditional financial intermediaries like banks; (c) the relationship between the growth of the primary stock market and that of the secondary stock market. These three relationships are empirically tested using Indian data. While the growth of turnover in the stock market is found to be positively correlated with the change in the growth of manufacturing and the growth of sales of new shares is found to positively affect the secondary market, evidence on the relationship between sales of new shares and traditional banking activities is mixed. The primary stock market is found to crowd out bank deposits, but crowd in bank credit.  相似文献   

14.
IPO Pricing and Share Allocation: The Importance of Being Ignorant   总被引:1,自引:0,他引:1  
Since an underwriter sets an IPO's offer price without knowing its market value, investors can acquire information about its value and avoid overpriced deals (“lemon‐dodge”). To mitigate this well‐known risk, the bank enters into a repeat game with a coalition of investors who do not lemon‐dodge in exchange for on‐average underpriced shares. We (i) derive and test a quantitative IPO pricing rule (showing that tech IPOs were not excessively underpriced during the boom of the 1990s); and (ii) analyzing a unique multibank data set, find strong support for the conjecture that a bank preferentially allocates shares to its coalition.  相似文献   

15.
将银行债权、产品市场、经理人市场和公司控制权市场等机制作为市场治理机制,构成市场治理机制体系,采用深沪A股工业企业2006-2016年的数据,从检验中国市场化改革成效角度,以市场化体系中最为活跃的力量——银行债权为核心,考察其在市场化体系情境下对公司治理的作用机制及效应。研究发现:无论是否考虑市场治理体系,银行债权均发挥积极治理效应,且考虑体系时银行债权治理效应更强,动态优化幅度更大,优化趋势更明显;考虑体系时,除公司控制权市场外,银行债权与其他机制形成良性互动进而发挥积极的直接效应和间接效应,且直接效应占优。研究证明我国市场治理体系日益完善,市场化改革进程日益深化,但仍需进一步加大改革的力度。研究对肯定市场化改革成效,坚定市场化改革取向,进一步发挥银行债权治理效应,形成协同高效的市场治理体系和防范化解金融风险具有重要意义。  相似文献   

16.
银行业的风险程度关系到整个经济体的稳定与发展,控制风险是银行经营的重要目标之一。目前对银行风险承担的研究主要从特许权价值和市场竞争的角度分别展开分析。本文以156家中国商业银行为研究对象,同时分析了银行特许权价值、市场竞争程度对银行风险的影响。通过实证分析,我们发现目前影响我国商业银行特许权价值的因素主要来自银行因素而非市场因素;在没有控制内生性的前提下,发现银行特许权价值有效地约束了银行风险,而市场竞争的加剧增加了银行风险行为;在控制银行风险和特许权价值内生性后,发现特许权价值对中国商业银行风险的约束效应基本不存在。因此,要维持银行业的稳定,需要规范银行的竞争行为,提高特许权价值的风险约束效应。  相似文献   

17.
This paper examines the impact of job changes by prominent investment bankers on the M&A and equity market shares of investment banks. Using a hand-collected sample of job changes between 1998 and 2006, we find that after controlling for deal and bank-level characteristics, hiring a banker from an investment bank with a more prominent industry presence has a positive impact on both equity and M&A market share for the gaining bank and a negative impact on the losing bank's M&A market share. After the banker switches firms, we find a significant amount of business following the banker from the losing bank to the gaining bank, particularly when the relationship is strong between the client firm and the banker. Abnormal returns around the announcement of a banker changing employers are positive and significant for the gaining bank, suggesting that the market views banker additions as value increasing. Overall, our results suggest human capital is a critical component of investment banking deal flow.  相似文献   

18.
Optimal reserve composition in the presence of sudden stops   总被引:1,自引:0,他引:1  
We analytically derive optimal central bank portfolios in a minimum variance framework with two assets and transaction demands caused by sudden stops in capital inflows. In this model, transaction demands become less important relative to traditional portfolio objectives as debt to reserve ratios decrease. We empirically estimate optimal dollar and euro shares for 23 emerging market countries and find that optimal reserve portfolios are dominated by anchor currencies and, at current debt-to-reserve ratios, introducing transaction demand has a relatively modest effect for most countries. We find that, in general, the dollar acts as a safe haven currency during sudden stops for country specific and global sudden stops, increasing the optimal share of dollar bonds in central bank portfolios. Correspondingly, our model predicts that dollar shares should decline as debt-to-reserve ratios fall, as observed in recent data. We also find that the denomination of foreign currency debt has little importance for optimal reserve portfolios.  相似文献   

19.
中国个人消费信贷状况及风险防范研究   总被引:9,自引:1,他引:9  
杨大楷  俞艳 《金融论坛》2005,10(7):45-50
随着个人信用消费的不断扩大,消费信贷的比重不断提高,在整个市场个人信用制度不完善的情况下,个人信贷风险凸现,银行个人信贷中的不良资产率上升。本文从中国消费信贷的总量状况出发,对于银行消费信贷内部结构展开探讨,继而分析消费信贷的客户风险、制度风险及法律政策风险,并以此为基础提出了建立个人信用管理制度、充分利用客户信用分析法、逐步试点个人破产制度、建立银行内控体系及风险转嫁渠道以及完善个人消费信贷的相关法律保障等防范措施。  相似文献   

20.
对于商业银行来说,尽管其风险因素众多,但首当其冲的是要预防可能导致银行危机的战略性风险。基于世界经济论坛对未来10年全球重大风险的分析,本文认为,未来10年影响我国商业银行的战略性风险主要有:证券市场或地产市场的暴跌、中央政府和地方政府的财政危机、中国实体经济的衰退、危害社会就业群体的慢性病和银行治理缺口。由于突发事件的影响和风险之间的连锁反应,发达国家对中国企业所采取的市场或技术封锁、食品价格波动和关键信息设施瘫痪也可能演化成为我国银行的战略性风险。  相似文献   

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