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1.
本文从金融学视角揭示了商业银行存贷款利差、中央银行与商业银行利差和国内与国际金融市场利差三个层次,并指出利差三个层次构成了有机的统一体。作者对建国以来历次利率调整进行了综合系统分析,勾画出我国利差变化的轨迹,得出以下基本结论:中国人民银行对利差管理从无序逐步过渡到有序。利差体系从扭曲逐步得到矫正,在金融管制环境下实现了利率总体水平的国际化“磨合”。存在的主要问题是:存贷款利差考虑商业银行收益因素较多,兼顾国际化竞争不足;邮政储蓄转存利差在体现政策性的同时,负效应越来越大;再贷款利差调整频繁和扩张太快,透视出金融宏观调控手段相对单一。  相似文献   

2.
我国商业银行存贷利差合理性的实证分析   总被引:6,自引:2,他引:6  
计量模型检验结果表明,1993—2005年,由于利率管制较严,我国商业银行存贷利率及利差与资金的供求状况、通货膨胀率、金融深化程度、银行经营状况等的相关性微弱,存贷利率及利差定价的合理性较低。为配合利率市场化的逐步推进,本文构建了合理设定商业银行未来存贷款利率及利差的模型。  相似文献   

3.
银行存贷款利差分析   总被引:12,自引:0,他引:12  
在将利差分为事前利差和事后利差的基础上,本文全面分析了利差的决定因素,包括银行自身的因素、存贷款客户的因素和金融市场环境的因素等,并对中国银行业与世界不同国家和地区银行业的存贷款利差进行了比较。在中国,金融机构的最小利差为央行直接决定的最高存款利率和最低贷款利率所锁定,利差的决定外生于金融机构,也不反映金融机构的竞争力。为了发挥存贷款利差对我国商业银行经营行为的调节作用,我们应该推进利率市场化,促进银行竞争。同时,我们也应该认识到货币政策的重点是决定市场的资金成本而不是利差。  相似文献   

4.
《金融论坛》2004年第6期刊登了作者李成的文章《利差演进、利差层次与我国利差结构分析》,该文从利差这一视角分析了商业银行存款利率与贷款利率、中央银行再贴现与商业银行贷款利率、国内金融市场利率与国际金融市场利率之间的关系.考察了建国50年来各个时期利差演变的特点以及存在的问题。相对于已有的关于中国金融问题的研究,  相似文献   

5.
本文从商业银行存贷款实际利差结构变化的角度出发,分析影响实际利差变动的主要因素,并据此评估利率市场化对商业银行经营带来的冲击。分析认为,商业银行可能采取非理性价格竞争手段扩大市场份额,并通过增加信贷规模方式来应对利率市场化导致的利差收窄。对此,中央银行应尽快建立存款保险制度,并加强通过间接手段来影响市场利率的能力。  相似文献   

6.
实体经济是一国经济的根本,是金融发展的前提和基础。存贷款利差是金融机构的主要利润来源,利差水平的高低将直接影响金融机构的经营和实体经济的发展。本文以内蒙古通辽市为个案,通过对存贷款利差与实体经济发展相关性分析,探索引导商业银行合理运用存贷款利差,优化信贷结构,实现金融与实体经济的有效对接的路径,以期推动我国经济又好又快发展。  相似文献   

7.
中国商业银行的利差及其影响因素   总被引:5,自引:0,他引:5  
我国银行业存贷款基准利率由人民银行制定,商业银行在基准利率一定浮动范围内享有定价权,基于我国利率市场化进程中银行存贷款定价的这种特点,本文分别从存贷款利率差和商业银行净利差两个层面对我国银行业利差及其影响因素进行了实证检验.研究发现,无论是对利差具有显著影响的因素,还是这些因素影响利差的方式,都表现出我国银行业的特殊性.在存贷款基准利率差层面,经济增长等因素与利率差在一定程度上呈现出了符合我国国情的相关关系.而在商业银行层面,风险因素没有在利差中得到体现,单纯依靠规模扩张及相伴的规模不经济等问题制约着我国商业银行向国际先进银行的真正转变.  相似文献   

8.
利差容忍度作为衡量商业银行承受利差缩小能力的重要指标。是判断我国是否满足放开存贷款利率条件应考虑的重要因素之一。  相似文献   

9.
我国银行业存贷款基准利率由人民银行制定,商业银行在基准利率一定浮动范围内享有定价权,基于我国利率市场化进程中银行存贷款定价的这种特点,本文分别从存贷款利率差和商业银行净利差两个层面对我国银行业利差及其影响因素进行了实证检验.研究发现,无论是对利差具有显著影响的因素,还是这些因素影响利差的方式,都表现出我国银行业的特殊性.在存贷款基准利率差层面,经济增长等因素与利率差在一定程度上呈现出了符合我国国情的相关关系.而在商业银行层面,风险因素没有在利差中得到体现,单纯依靠规模扩张及相伴的规模不经济等问题制约着我国商业银行向国际先进银行的真正转变.  相似文献   

10.
本文基于RAROC模型提出了一个存贷利差定价模型,认为存贷款利差与违约率、损失率、非利息收入比重、费用率、存放款比例和银行实际资金成本有关.利用我国的相关数据求出了各类商业银行存贷利差的临界值,认为从实际利差来看,我国当前的存贷利差水平基本合理.  相似文献   

11.
This paper studies empirically the determinants of Chinese commercial banks' net interest margins from 1996 to 2003. It applies an extension to the Ho and Saunders (1981) model to identify the elements affecting net interest margins. The results indicate that the determinants of net interest margins in the Chinese market include market competition structure, average operating costs, degree of risk aversion, transaction size, implicit interest payments, opportunity cost of reserve, and management efficiency.  相似文献   

12.
This study extends the framework of Brennan (1986) to find the cost-minimizing combination of spot limits, futures limits, and margins for stock and index futures in the Taiwan market. Our empirical results show that the cost-minimization combination of margins, spot price limits, and futures price limits is 7 percent, 6 percent, and 6 percent, respectively, when the index level is less than 7,000. When the index level ranges from 7,000 to 9,000, the efficient futures contract calls for a combination of 6.5 percent, 5 percent, and 6 percent. The optimal margin, reneging probability, and corresponding contract cost are less than those without price limits. Price limits may partially substitute for margin requirements in ensuring contract performance, with a default risk lower than the 0.3 percent rate that is accepted by the Taiwan Futures Exchange. On the other hand, though imposing equal price limits of 7 percent on both the spot and futures markets does not coincide with the efficient contract design, it does have a lower contract cost and margin requirement (7.75 percent) than that without imposing price limits (8.25 percent).  相似文献   

13.
We analyze a model of mortgage markets, housing tenure choice, heterogeneous agents, and default with closed form solutions. We uncover new insights which may inspire empirical work, and we ground already established insights in a series of tractable expressions. Then we study optimal loan‐to‐value (LTV) regulation and show that the choice of an LTV cap should balance the opposing forces of access to homeownership and the negative externalities associated with default. Homeownership affordability concerns induce procyclical elements into optimal regulation which attenuate the countercyclical regulation justified by the negative default externalities.  相似文献   

14.
15.
Trade policy has well-documented effects on trade volumes. Reaching beyond volumes, I explore the effect of European emerging economies' recent institutional trade liberalization on extensive (i.e., the set of imported goods) versus intensive import margins (volumes per imported good) with highly disaggregated data. Differentiating goods categories by use, I find robust evidence of stronger extensive import margin effects of liberalization for intermediate and capital goods compared to consumer goods. This identifies an important channel for the link between reforms and growth in transition. The results also support new models of heterogeneous firms and trade, which predict that extensive import margin effects of a country's institutional trade liberalization should—through lowering fixed costs for rest-of-the-world exporters—increase with decreasing substitutability among products.  相似文献   

16.
We use a mix of new and existing data to develop the Aggregate Hours Gap (AHG), a novel measure of labor market underutilization. Our measure differentiates individuals by detailed categories of labor market participation and uses data on their desired work hours as a measure of their potential labor supply. We show that desired hours vary widely by demographics and detailed labor force status, and that the gap between desired and actual work hours is strongly positively correlated with reported search effort. The AHG suggests a more sluggish labor market recovery since the Great Recession than either the official unemployment rate or alternative measures of labor market underutilization. Modest amounts of underutilization among the part-time employed and a substantial degree of underutilization among those out of the labor force account for the disparity. The AHG also does well in accounting for wage movements over our sample period.  相似文献   

17.
Recent financial reforms, such as the Dodd‐Frank Act in the U.S. and the European Market Infrastructure Regulation, encourage greater use of clearing and therefore increased margining of derivative trades. They also impose margining requirements on noncleared derivative trades. Such requirements have sparked a debate about whether a margin mandate increases the cost of hedging by nonfinancial corporations—the so‐called end‐users of derivatives. The authors argue that it does not. They show that a nonmargined derivative is equivalent to a package of (1) a margined derivative and (2) a contingent line of credit. The main effect of a margin mandate is to require that this package be marketed as two distinct products. But it does not change the total financing or capital required to hedge. Nor does it raise the cost to banks or other dealers of offering the package, at least not directly. Nevertheless, there may be indirect effects if, for example, the clearing mandate succeeds in lowering total counterparty exposures and therefore systemic risk. Although the authors do not explore these effects, they do offer one explanation for the popularity of over‐the‐counter, and thus noncleared, derivatives: accounting rules and bank regulations that treat the implicit lines‐of‐credit embedded in nonmargined derivatives differently from explicit lines of credit used to fund margins.  相似文献   

18.
本文对国内2000~2009年间上市银行利差率的决定因素按照银行经营的安全、效率和盈利指标,结合行业和宏观经济状况等因素进行了实证分析。结论表明,虽然股份制上市银行经营状况普遍优于国有银行,但其经营行为可能会部分抵消央行的利率政策,同时股票市场发展对银行经营没有显著性影响。  相似文献   

19.
我们对中外银行业的利差水平进行比较后发现我国商业银行的利差水平较低。邓宁的投资发展路径理论I(DP)给我们提供了研究利差(SP)与人均国民生产总值(PGNP)之间相关性的理论依据。研究发现,人均国民生产总值是影响利差变化的重要变量,并且随着人均国民生产总值的变化,利差与其呈开口向上的二次函数关系。因此可能存在一个伴随人均国民生产总值变化的利差演变路径,而我国正处于利差水平逐步上升的演变阶段,今后一段时间我国商业银行利差水平还将持续上升。  相似文献   

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