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1.
本文利用中国30个省级单位2001~2014年的面板数据,对人力资本和经济增长之间的关系进行实证分析,实证结果显示:人力资本和经济增长之间呈现出显著的"倒U型"关系:当人均劳动力受教育年限低于8.9年时,人力资本促进了经济增长速度;当人均劳动力受教育年限高于8.9年时,人力资本放缓了经济增长速度.进一步研究人力资本对三次产业发展的影响,本文发现人力资本和第一、第二产业比重之间呈现出显著的"倒U型"关系,而与第三产业比重呈现出显著的"U型"关系.这说明前期人力资本主要通过对第二产业的推动作用来促进经济增长;后期人力资本抑制了第二产业发展,而拉动第三产业发展潜力还没凸显,导致了人力资本增长给经济增长带来了负面效应.  相似文献   

2.
赵烁  施新政  陆瑶  刘心悦 《金融研究》2015,484(10):150-169
本文使用2000-2016年我国沪深A股上市公司数据,实证研究了公司被并购对其劳动力结构的影响。研究发现,公司被并购带来公司的劳动力结构优化升级,即公司会增加非常规高技能劳动力占比和高学历劳动力占比,降低常规低技能劳动力占比。渠道检验发现,并购会通过降低企业融资约束,促进企业生产技术升级来促进企业的劳动力结构优化升级。异质性分析发现并购对劳动力结构优化升级的影响在非完全换股并购和低绩效企业中更为显著。  相似文献   

3.
赵烁  施新政  陆瑶  刘心悦 《金融研究》2020,484(10):150-169
本文使用2000-2016年我国沪深A股上市公司数据,实证研究了公司被并购对其劳动力结构的影响。研究发现,公司被并购带来公司的劳动力结构优化升级,即公司会增加非常规高技能劳动力占比和高学历劳动力占比,降低常规低技能劳动力占比。渠道检验发现,并购会通过降低企业融资约束,促进企业生产技术升级来促进企业的劳动力结构优化升级。异质性分析发现并购对劳动力结构优化升级的影响在非完全换股并购和低绩效企业中更为显著。  相似文献   

4.
本文选取A股民营上市公司2007~2011年的面板数据,对章程中设置反收购条款的影响进行了分析,实证结果表明反收购条款对并购的影响存在一个作用区间:当并购交易规模达到10%以上时,反收购条款能显著降低目标公司被并购的可能性,这时错列董事会条款将发挥主要的反收购作用;当交易规模低于10%时,反收购条款对并购概率没有显著影响,这时累积投票制能显著促进并购的发生。与国外的研究结果类似,反收购条款对目标公司价值具有显著的负向影响,反收购条款的主要作用表现为对管理层的保护。  相似文献   

5.
本文以2005—2012年间中国19个行业的非平衡面板数据为基础,分三个层次通过建立变截距或变系数固定效应面板模型,研究了产业结构、产业政策对银行业信贷结构行业分布的影响。实证结果显示,产业政策、产业结构对信贷结构均有显著的正向效应,产业政策对第二产业信贷结构的影响力度大于对第三产业,不同行业的产业结构份额变化对银行信贷结构份额变化的影响程度不同,这种差异背后经常可以寻到产业政策的痕迹。  相似文献   

6.
本文利用2012-2016年我国高技术公司面板数据,研究并购可能性对我国高技术企业研发投入的影响。本文以新产业组织理论为基础,揭示并购通过改变企业对市场竞争的预期进而影响企业研发投入的机制。本文以政治关联为调节变量,研究其对并购和研发投入两者关系的调节作用。估计结果表明,并购可能性显著影响高技术企业的研发投入;而政治关联并非都抑制企业的创新,当政治关联的深度较深时,也会对企业创新带来正向作用。  相似文献   

7.
以流通产业为例,选取我国2000-2015年省域面板数据,依据内生经济增长及经济增长假说理论,从总体减贫、内部要素、区域差异、空间溢出等四个维度提出假设,讨论流通产业发展能否有效减少贫困.研究发现:流通产业发展具有显著正向减贫效应,且在第三产业内部构成中减贫效应表现突出;流通产业发展内部要素减贫效应存在显性差异;信息化水平减贫效应最大,劳动力、交通投资次之,人力资本减贫效应有待挖掘;流通产业减贫效应存在区域空间异质性;东部地区流通产业减贫效应显著且高于中、西部地区;流通产业减贫存在显著空间溢出效应.  相似文献   

8.
人民币汇率升值对我国就业影响浅析   总被引:1,自引:0,他引:1  
本文主要是从汇率变动对就业的传导机制出发,研究人民币升值对我国就业的影响。根据以往研究成果及历年数据发现,人民币升值会直接导致出口企业用工需求的下降,会导致资源在不同部门、不同产业的流动,实现就业量与就业结构的变化。升值同样会通过FDI对不同产业用工需求及产业结构施加影响,改变不同产业的吸纳劳动力就业的能力。  相似文献   

9.
本文基于中国2000—2018年31个省市的面板数据,从理论上研究了人民币实际有效汇率和人民币名义有效汇率对中国第一产业、第二产业和第三产业的增加值占国内生产总值的影响,并运用相关计量经济模型就人民币汇率变动对国内产业结构的影响进行了实证检验.研究结果表明,人民币汇率贬值在短期内对第一、第三产业的发展有促进作用,对第二产业的发展存在抑制作用.而从长期来看,人民币汇率贬值对第一产业和第二产业的发展有抑制作用,对第三产业的发展有促进作用.并且由于存在短期纠偏机制,当受人民币汇率干扰的影响,三大产业偏离均衡时,都将受到一个反向的调整力度.  相似文献   

10.
以我国经济社会核算矩阵研究小组编制的宏观社会核算矩阵表为基础,构建动态一般均衡模型考察人民币汇率双向波动对我国经济各产业部门的影响.研究结果发现:一是人民币持续升值会导致服务业、建筑业的产出增加,但对其他大部分产业的产出有着消极影响.人民币在先贬值后升值的情形下会使建筑业的产出先减少后增加,农业和工业的产出先增加后减少,而服务业的产出呈现持续下降趋势.二是价格变动对名义汇率和实际汇率的影响机制各不相同.汇率的变化对各产业的劳动力需求变化有着重要影响,汇率持续升值会减少农业部门对劳动力的需求,增加建筑业和服务业对劳动力的需求.持续贬值情形下会增加农业部门的劳动力需求,减少服务业和建筑业的劳动力需求.三是持续升值或是贬值的货币政策并不能长期扩大出口或增加进口,该政策只能在短期内起到刺激经济发展的作用.总之,长期来看,仅靠货币政策调控经济不利于我国经济和各产业的持续发展,应该同时制定有针对性的政策措施来应对汇率变动带来的不利影响.  相似文献   

11.
This paper investigates the asymmetric equilibrium relationship among labor productivity, labor demand, and the exchange rate in Taiwan's manufacturing industry using a threshold cointegration test that allows asymmetric adjustment. The findings show that there is a temporal delay in the reaction of labor demand to change in labor productivity, and vice versa. However, a temporal impact of exchange rate shock on labor demand and labor productivity is statistically unobvious. A trade-off between productivity growth and employment growth is not found.  相似文献   

12.
This paper provides an analysis of revenue and welfare effects associated with a VAT exemption of financial services, which is common among OECD countries. We follow a general equilibrium approach that considers effects of repealing the VAT exemption not only on consumer demand and intermediate-input demand for financial services, but takes account also of the VAT distortion of labor supply. We derive formal expressions for revenue and welfare effects, which can be quantified with a minimum of information about behavioral effects. Using VAT statistics as well as national accounts, we provide quantitative estimates of the effects of repealing the VAT exemption in Germany. Our baseline estimate indicates that tax revenues would increase by some €1.7 billion or 1.3 % of VAT revenues (excluding import turnover tax). Provided these revenue gains are used to finance a reduction in the VAT rate or in other distortive labor taxes our results indicate a modest welfare gain of about €1 billion, or 0.04 % of GDP.  相似文献   

13.
基于1995-2014年全国31个省(市)新生代劳动力供给与产业结构数据,构建面板FGLS模型,考量新生代劳动力供给变化影响产业升级效应.结果表明:全国新生代劳动力供给数量与质量上升均有利于我国产业升级;分地区新生代劳动力供给数量增加对中部地区产业升级正向影响效应显著,西部次之,东部较弱;新生代劳动力质量改善对西部地区产业升级的助推作用最大,中部次之,东部较小.因此,应适当放开计生政策和延长退休年龄以缓解劳动力供给数量下行压力,扶持西、中部地区教育事业发展,加速提高当地人均受教育年限,以加快缩小区域差距等.  相似文献   

14.
基于2008年10月~2014年3月的30个工业行业出口面板数据,运用FGLS方法,根据不同工业行业要素密集度考量美国量化宽松货币政策对我国工业出口贸易的影响。结果表明,美国量化宽松货币政策通过人民币汇率对我国资本密集型、劳动密集型和技术密集型行业的出口呈现出显著负面影响,通过国际大宗商品价格指数对我国劳动密集型和技术密集型行业出口产生显著负面影响,美国实际工业产出对我国三类工业行业出口呈现出显著正面影响。  相似文献   

15.
Not all M&As are alike--and that matters   总被引:1,自引:0,他引:1  
Bower JL 《Harvard business review》2001,79(3):92-101, 164
Despite all that's been written about mergers and acquisitions, even the experts know surprisingly little about them. The author recently headed up a year-long study sponsored by Harvard Business School on the subject of M&A activity. In-depth findings will emerge over the next few years, but the research has already revealed some interesting results. Most intriguing is the notion that, although academics, consultants, and businesspeople lump M&As together, they represent very different strategic activities. Acquisitions occur for the following reasons: to deal with overcapacity through consolidation in mature industries; to roll up competitors in geographically fragmented industries; to extend into new products and markets; as a substitute for R&D; and to exploit eroding industry boundaries by inventing an industry. The different strategic intents present distinct integration challenges. For instance, if you acquire a company because your industry has excess capacity, you have to determine which plants to shut down and which people to let go. If, on the other hand, you buy a company because it has developed an important technology, your challenge is to keep the acquisition's best engineers from jumping ship. These scenarios require the acquiring company to engage in nearly opposite managerial behaviors. The author explores each type of M&A--its strategic intent and the integration challenges created by that intent. He underscores the importance of the acquiring company's assessment of the acquired group's culture. Depending on the type of M&A, approaches to the culture in place must vary, as will the level to which culture interferes with integration. He draws from the experiences of such companies as Cisco, Viacom, and BancOne to exemplify the different kinds of M&As.  相似文献   

16.
This paper examines whether and how financial technology (Fintech) affects the cross-border M&A decision-making and the performance of acquiring firms. Using a sample of Chinese A-share listed firms over the period of 2011–2019, we find that local Fintech development effectively facilitates firms' cross-border M&A activities. This effect is more prominent for firms with lower innovation capability, with higher profitability, and those in key participant provinces of the Belt and Road Initiative. We provide evidence that Fintech supports the decision-making of cross-border M&As due to the mitigation of financing friction and the decrease in information disadvantage. Further analysis also shows that the acquirer's cross-border M&A performance is higher when it is located in a province with better development of Fintech. Our paper provides new insights into the impact of technology-enabled innovation in the financial industry on the behavior of firms in non-financial industries.  相似文献   

17.
This paper examines the impacts of M&A advisors’ industry expertise on firms’ choice of advisors in mergers and acquisitions. We show that an investment bank's expertise in merger parties’ industries increases its likelihood of being chosen as an advisor, especially when the acquisition is more complex, and when a firm in M&A has less information about the merger counterparty. However, due to the concerns about information leakage to industry rivals through M&A advisors, acquirers are reluctant to share advisors with rival firms in the same industry, and they are more likely to switch to new advisors if their former advisors have advisory relationship with their industry rivals. In addition, we document that advisors with more industry expertise earn higher advisory fees and increase the likelihood of deal completion.  相似文献   

18.
This paper analyzes the impact of economic policy uncertainty (EPU) of home and host countries on cross-border mergers and acquisitions (M&As) using EPU indexes and the amount and quantity of China's cross-border M&As in 21 countries from 2001 to 2017. First, we find that uncertainty in the economic policy of the home country drives cross-border M&As, uncertainty in the host country's economic policy significantly inhibits cross-border M&As, and when the economy is in a pro-cyclical period, alleviates the influence of the host country's economic policy uncertainty on M&As. Second, the impact of the host country's economic policy uncertainty on cross-border M&As differs before and after the financial crisis. The host country's economic policy uncertainty is positively correlated with cross-border M&As before the crisis and significantly negatively correlated with it after the crisis. Third, the impact of economic policy uncertainty in the home and host countries on cross-border M&as is significant in developed countries but not significant in developing countries finally, differences in bilateral uncertainty and bilateral market growth are significantly positively correlated with the scale of M&A  相似文献   

19.
We examine the impact of lifetime work experience of top executives on mergers and acquisitions (M&As) behavior and outcome. Based on hand-collected data of top executives in a sample of Chinese firms during 2002–2018, we construct a generalist ability index of top executives to study the impact of generalist top executives (GTEs) vs. specialist top executives (STEs) on M&As. Our findings suggest that GTEs conduct more M&As than those of STEs. The results are robust to alternate specifications of M&A frequencies and after accounting for endogeneity issue. Furthermore, the M&A announcement and long-term returns are better for acquirers with GTEs than those with STEs. We attribute the findings to GTEs' ability of searching target ex ante, making the M&A process efficient, and fully leveraging their social networks post M&A. In addition, we find the increase in M&A activities in GTE firms are primarily due to GTEs' experience of M&As rather than their talents. Finally, the M&As from GTEs improve investment efficiency and are less likely to divest targets post M&As. In sum, GTEs conduct more M&As and they create value in the process.  相似文献   

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