全球复苏分化下中国金融政策的基调

目前全球经济正处于后危机时代的剧烈动荡和政策调整期,全球宏观经济政策走向将由危机应对时期一致的行动、单向的大规模刺激不断转向后危机时期的退出政策分化.不同国家在复苏格局与退出节奏上存在较大的差异,在一定程度上加大了全球经济复苏进程的不确定性.中国作为全球复苏最强劲的经济体,资本市场出现剧烈反应的重要原因就是内、外紧缩冲击政策可能导致的叠加以及内部不同退出政策的叠加放大了资本市场对中国经济的担忧,因此,全球复苏与退出分化下的中国经济金融政策走向应该是防止内、外退出政策短期内的密集出台产生的叠加效应.     

基于制度经济学的我国农村金融需求分析

农户和农村企业的存、贷款金融需求具有多层次差异性、高成本与高风险、季节性和时间性及需求多元化等四个方面的特征.应从金融供给层次化,加快发展农村保险市场和非正规金融市场等三方面改善农村金融服务.     

次级债市场发展与中国商业银行资本金结构调整

对于商业银行而言,发行次级债是一种快速、高效、便捷的资本补充方式,也是一种主功、长期的负债来源。我国商业银行资本充足率的现状和发展趋势预示着次级债的发行将呈上升趋势。但是和国外商业银行相比,目前我国商业银行的次级债发行尚处于起步阶段,国外商业银行的一些成熟的经验和做法值得我们借鉴。本文在分析我国次级债市场前景的基础上,对中外商业银行发行次级债的目的、募集方式、发行期限、定价、类型、持有对象作了比较和借鉴,提出了现阶段我国商业银行发行次级债的发展策略。     

亚洲债券基金的兴起及其发展:金融市场框架与研究综述

亚洲金融危机的爆发,在给亚洲的金融体系造成重创的同时,也促使亚洲各国认识到开展区域内金融合作的重要性,亚洲债券基金就是金融合作的种种尝试之一。亚洲债券基金的成立,标志着亚洲金融合作进入一个崭新的阶段。本文在结合亚洲金融合作的大趋势背景下,介绍了亚洲债券的最新发展、现实意义、发展方向以及存在的问题等。     

流动性过剩的形成机制

对流动性这个词汇的运用需要非常谨慎．在不同的文献里有不同的角度。在目前的讨论中．比较多是分析、防范、恐慌的．本身有负面的判断，但从全球化的发展趋势来看，它会持续相当长一段时间．是我们必须正视和加以利用的。     

Nash Equilibrium and Decentralized Negotiation in Auctioning Divisible Resources

We consider the problem of software agents being used as proxies for the procurement of computational and network resources. Mechanisms such as single-good auctions and combinatorial auctions are not applicable for the management of these services, as assigning an entire resource to a single agent is often undesirable and appropriate bund sizes are difficult to determine. We investigate a divisible auction that is proportionally fair. By introducing the notion of price and demand functions that characterize optimal response functions of the bidders, we are able to prove that this mechanism has a unique Nash equilibrium for an arbitrary number of agents with heterogeneous quasilinear utilities. We also describe decentralized negotiation strategies which, with approrpate relaxation, converge locally to the equilibrium point. Given an agent with a sequence of jobs, we show how our analysis holds for a wide variety of objectives.     

Computing deltas without derivatives

A well-known application of Malliavin calculus in mathematical finance is the probabilistic representation of option price sensitivities, the so-called Greeks, as expectation functionals that do not involve the derivative of the payoff function. This allows numerically tractable computation of the Greeks even for discontinuous payoff functions. However, while the payoff function is allowed to be irregular, the coefficients of the underlying diffusion are required to be smooth in the existing literature, which for example already excludes simple regime-switching diffusion models. The aim of this article is to generalise this application of Malliavin calculus to Itô diffusions with irregular drift coefficients, where we focus here on the computation of the delta, which is the option price sensitivity with respect to the initial value of the underlying. To this end, we first show existence, Malliavin differentiability and (Sobolev) differentiability in the initial condition for strong solutions of Itô diffusions with drift coefficients that can be decomposed into the sum of a bounded, but merely measurable, and a Lipschitz part. Furthermore, we give explicit expressions for the corresponding Malliavin and Sobolev derivatives in terms of the local time of the diffusion, respectively. We then turn to the main objective of this article and analyse the existence and probabilistic representation of the corresponding deltas for European and path-dependent options. We conclude with a small simulation study of several regime-switching examples.     

上市银行信息披露:国内外文献综述

银行信息披露在加强其风险管理水平的同时短期内可能引发存款流失和股价波动，银行信息披露的成本、收益和最优程度都具有不确定性，信息披露作用机制有相应的制约务件，监管部门应该提供明确、谨慎的指引。     

移动支付产业变迁趋势及政策建议

支付是经济活动链条中的重要环节,承担着资金划拨和转移的基础性功能。随着 现代信息通信技术的发展,电子商务的持续渗透,“互联网+”等各项政策的利好推动,以移 动支付为代表的新兴电子支付方式迅速兴起,成为促进消费、便利民生的推动力量。在演进历 程方面,现代化支付体系建设为移动支付奠定基础,电子商务发展助推远程支付方式普及,线 上线下融合的商业模式推动了移动支付迅猛发展。本文结合当前移动支付市场情况,从监管政 策、行业格局、技术创新等角度提出了移动支付产业发展趋势,以及促进移动支付产业健康发 展的相关政策建议。     

全流通过程中股票市场格局的变化趋势

从一个经典的动态不完全信息信号博弈模型的视角分析当前中国股票市场解禁的非流通股股东与现存普通流通股东的博弈行为,结果表明:当前针对大小非减持的信息披露机制有其积极意义;同时我国股票市场会发生一些重大变化.特别是价值发现功能和经济睛雨表的功能将逐步增强.