黑天的故事——“文革”时代的地下手抄本

“文革”手抄本中讲述的这些故事,不过是中国革命这一台大戏的细碎片段而已。也正因为这样,我们才可以借助于它们而管窥到,那场炽烈的革命是怎样走向了自己的反面。以往这些手抄本之所以受到轻视,主要是因其太过原始和低俗,不过正如本文所证明的, 其实恰恰鉴于这种出奇的原始和低俗,反而更值得好好琢磨一番。说穿了,这些已被兀鹰啄食干净的文明骷髅,竟是在无情地警示着,经过那场彻底的浩劫,一切都只有无所遮蔽地重新开始了,再没有什么理由去讲什么“文明古国”之类的大话了。     

生活垃圾堆肥处理技术发展的几点思考

结合多年来在生活垃圾管理特别是堆肥厂的日常运行管理方面的经验，阐述了目前我国生活垃圾堆肥处理技术应用现状和堆肥厂实际运行过程中存在的具体问题，并对今后堆肥技术的发展提出几点建议，即：正确综合评价垃圾堆肥技术，给予垃圾堆肥技术正确定位，选择合理堆肥工艺，充分发挥垃圾堆肥的优势，提高堆肥质量，开拓堆肥产品市场是今后垃圾堆肥技术发展的关键。     

The Political Economy of Exchange Rate Regimes: Evidence from Hong Kong and Taiwan

This paper investigates whether the macroeconomic performance of a small- open economy depends on the choice of exchange rate regimes. Hong Kong and Taiwan - two economies with many similar macroeconomic characteristics, but different in their choices of exchange rate regimes - provide a good setting to study the relation between the choice of exchange rate regime and macro-economic performance. We examine the basic facts of growth and inflation and the coefficients' stability of their vector autoregression (VAR), as well as cyclical characters of other aggregate variables in Hong Kong and Taiwan. Our empiric finding indicates that macroeconomic performance is not systematically related to exchange rate regimes.     

Emotional and interpersonal competencies and leader development

A variety of recent leader development programs have focused on improving leaders' emotional and interpersonal competencies. Decades of leadership research suggest that these “people skills” are crucial for leader effectiveness. This paper reviews the history of these leader development programs as well as research on emotional and interpersonal competencies. Suggestions for grounding leader development programs in sound research on emotional and social competencies, as well as an agenda for future research on the development of leader emotional and interpersonal skills, are provided.     

基于BP网络对我国通货膨胀率的预测及其分析

本文首先由我国的CPI计算出通货膨胀率,综合分析了我国通货膨胀率和GDP增长率数据。其次,用带有动量项和自适应学习率的BP神经网络预测出2008～2009年我国CPI,从而推算出2008～2009年我国通货膨胀率分别是4.99%和4.91%左右。并提出了一些相应的政策建议。     

Are Expected Inflation Rates and Expected Real Rates Negatively Correlated? A Long‐Run Test of the Mundell‐Tobin Hypothesis

Some empirical evidence suggests that the expected real interest and expected inflation rates are negatively correlated. This hypothesis of negative correlation is sometimes known as the Mundell‐Tobin hypothesis. In this article we reinvestigate this negative relation from a long‐term point of view using cointegration analysis. The data on the historical interest rate on T‐bills and the inflation rate indicate that the Mundell‐Tobin hypothesis does not hold in the long run for the United States, the United Kingdom, and Canada. We also obtain similar results using the real interest rate on index‐linked gilt traded in the United Kingdom.     

加入WTO吉林省面临的机会与挑战

我国加入WTO后，面对贸易自由化的局面以及众多的机遇和挑战，吉林省要进行合理的资源配置。     

Public Sector Capital and the Production Efficiency of U.S. Regional Manufacturing Industries

This paper applies a stochastic frontier production model with time-varying technical efficiency to investigate the relationship between public capital and technical efficiency. It is based on the proposition that public capital has an effect on actual output by enhancing technical efficiency, thereby reducing the gap between maximum potential output and actual output. Empirical results using panel data from U.S. state manufacturing industries during 1969–86 show that technical efficiencies varied substantially, both between states and between years; variations in technical efficiency are significantly explained by variations in public-sector capital.
JEL Classification Numbers: O20, H54, C23.