Dynamic scoring: Alternative financing schemes

Neoclassical growth models predict that reductions in capital or labor income tax rates are expansionary when lump-sum transfers are used to balance the government budget. This paper explores the consequences of bond-financed tax reductions that bring forth a range of possible offsetting policies, including future government consumption, capital tax rates, or labor tax rates. Through the resulting intertemporal distortions, current tax cuts can be expansionary or contractionary. The paper also finds that more aggressive responses of offsetting policies to debt engender less debt accumulation and less costly tax cuts.     

打造"金三角"发展模式 努力创建特色学院

“十一五”期间,是我省实现老工业基地全面振兴、建设和谐辽宁、提前进入全面小康社会的重要历史阶段。《辽宁省教育事业发展“十一五”规划》确定了全省教育事业发展的指导思想、奋斗目标和主要任务。我院教育事业的发展面临新的机遇和挑战,需要增强危机意识、发展意识和创新意识,深化对科学发展观的认识,深化对构建特色学院的认识;要明确指导思想和发展定位,采取有效措施和途径,打造“金三角”发展模式,努力创建特色学院,实现一流、有特色的职业管理院校的建设目标。     

通货膨胀对产出缺口反应程度的不确定性分析

本文试图通过分别探讨国有单位和其他单位两个部门中影响工资对劳动力供求缺口做出调整的因素来研究工资对劳动力供求缺口反应程度的规律性趋势,进而推断通货膨胀对产出缺口反应程度的规律性趋势。研究表明,国有单位的工资调整将受到计划和市场因素共同影响,并且计划性因素要占到主导作用从而使得该部门的工资调整趋于粘性,同时其他单位的工资调整将受到工人与厂商对经济周期长度和波动幅度预期的影响,这两方面预期因素再通过生产函数与工资成本加成定价原则影响到菲利普斯曲线的中通胀对产出缺口的反应程度。在这种情况下,中央银行的政策操作应谨慎行事。     

井下作业企业实施品牌战略探讨

针对目前井下作业企业在品牌建设中普遍存在的问题进行深入分析，着重剖析了制约品牌建设的各种不利因素．提出了在现有条件下井下作业企业如何实施品牌战略的设想，指出井下作业企业要实现成为世界级的公司目标，就必须走向世界，积极参与国际竞争，进一步加强品牌战略。     

Asymmetric volatility in the foreign exchange markets

We examine the presence or absence of asymmetric volatility in the exchange rates of Australian dollar (AUD), Euro (EUR), British pound (GBP) and Japanese yen (JPY), all against US dollar. Our investigation is based on a variant of the heterogeneous autoregressive realized volatility model, using daily realized variance and return series from 1996 to 2004. We find that a depreciation against USD leads to significantly greater volatility than an appreciation for AUD and GBP, whereas the opposite is true for JPY. Relative to volatility on days following a positive one-standard-deviation return, volatility on days following a negative one-standard-deviation return is higher by 6.6% for AUD, 6.1% for GBP, and 21.2% for JPY. The realized volatility of EUR appears to be symmetric. These results are robust to the removal of jump component from realized volatility and the sub-samplings defined by structural-changes. The asymmetry in AUD, GBP and JPY appears to be embedded in the continuous component of realized volatility rather than the jump component.     

美国低成本航空公司经营战略研究

以美国西南航空公司为例,通过分析其竞争战略、价值链系统和经营决策要素,说明低成本航空公司经营成功的经验。以此为借鉴,对中国发展低成本航空公司的不利条件进行分析,指出应通过实行市场化和引入民营资本等措施发展中国的低成本航空市场,以增强行业的整体竞争力。     

加快中小企业发展是西部大开发的大战略

中小企业是推动国民经济发展的生力军。加快中小企业发展是实施西部大开发的一项大战略。西部加快中小企业发展具有独特的优势 ,遇到了良好的发展机遇。甘肃省加快发展中小企业具有广阔的前景 ,必须把加快中小企业发展作为一种带动整个经济发展的大战略。下大力实施“五动” ,即政府推动 ,市场拉动 ,利益驱动 ,能人带动 ,环境松动。     

MANAGING VENDOR INVENTORY IN A DUAL LEVEL DISTRIBUTION SYSTEM

Collaborative arrangements among members of the supply chain have received a great deal of interest in recent years as a means of reducing costs. One such arrangement is vendor managed inventory (VMI). VMI allows the vendor to make decisions concerning the quantity and timing of deliveries to the retailer. Such an arrangement offers the potential of a more efficient supply chain by removing the negative effects of retail ordering policies. A thorough review of the literature was conducted to identify factors likely to impact the performance of a VMI partnership. Computer simulation was used to study the effects of these factors from both the vendor's and retailer's perspectives. The results lend insight into the performance of VMI and guidance for managers as to the environments in which VMI is most effective.     

我国A股、B股市场并轨的前景探析

B股市场的前途问题是一个困扰市场参与者的主要问题,而前途的不明朗源于B股市场定位的困惑和功能失调。筹资功能方面,1991～2004年12月B股市场通过股票发行总计筹资50.03亿美元,通过配股筹资3.27亿美元,而同期A股市场对应的数据是5695.7亿元和2276.74亿元,而且最近3年B股市场的     

强化成本管理提高经济效益

成本管理是市场经济条件下生存和发展的永恒课题.目前企业成本管理失控既有宏观外部原因,也有微现内部原因,本文分析解剖了企业成本管理弱化的原因,提出了相应的对策建议.