Intraday Lead-Lag Relationships Between the Futures-, Options and Stock Market

In rational, efficiently functioning and complete markets, returns on derivative and underlying securities should be perfectly contemporaneously correlated. Due to market imperfections, one of these markets may reflect information faster. The use of high-frequency data and the choice for a small unit time interval to measure these lead-lag relations comes at the cost of some or many missing observations, causing traditional estimators to either under- or overestimate covariances and correlations. We use a new estimator to estimate lead-lag relationships between the cash AEX index, options and futures. We find that futures returns lead both options and cash index returns by approximately 10 minutes. The relationship between options and the cash market is not completely unidirectional.     

Programme Evaluation with Unobserved Heterogeneity and Selective Implementation: The Mexican PROGRESA Impact on Child Nutrition

This paper considers the impact of Programa de Educación, Salud y Alimentación ( PROGRESA ), a large Mexican rural anti-poverty programme that had an evaluation sample in which overall treatment was randomly assigned to some communities but not others, on child nutrition. When we examine the impact of PROGRESA based on the presumption of randomized allocations, we find that PROGRESA had no or even a negative impact on child nutrition. However, not all children designated to receive nutritional supplements actually did so. Our preferred estimates – child fixed-effects estimates that control for unobserved heterogeneity that is correlated with access to the supplement – indicate a significantly positive and fairly substantial programme effect of the nutritional supplements on children 12–36 months. They imply an increase of about a sixth in mean growth per year for these children and a lower probability of stunting. Effects are somewhat larger for children from poorer communities but whose mothers are functionally literate. The long-term consequences of these improvements are non-trivial; its impact working through adult height alone could result in a 2.9% increase in lifetime earnings.     

对西部特色农业结构调整的思考

西部开发战略的重要内容之一,就是开发西部特色农业,而开发西部特色农业首先要搞好农业结构调整.农业结构调整的内容有:农产品品种结构、农业生产内部结构、农产品加工转化增值和食粮主产区域结构的调整.农业结构调整也要注意一些问题,趋利避害,从实际出发,因地因时制宜,把握全局,平稳进行.     

会计电算化使用方法和技巧

本文作者通过三年多时间对会计电算化的使用和摸索,提出了一些会计电算化的使用方法和技巧,供企事业单位的会计工作者参考和借鉴.     

基础力学课程教学改革的研究与实践

该文在深入分析基础力学各相关课程相互关系的基础上，认为基础力学课程的改革，应该优化组合备相关课程内容，减少重复内容，形成新的教学体系；应该在教学手段上注意现代化教学手段与传统教学手段的结合，激发学生的学习兴趣，提高课堂的效率；也强调实验环节的重要性，要注重学生动手能力的培养。     

论邓小平的党内民主思想

在指导中国革命、建设和改革的伟大实践中,邓小平提出了丰富而系统的党内民主思想.主要包括：全面论述了发展党内民主的必要性和重要性,强调我们党一定要造成毛泽东提出的生动活泼的政治局面,我们党内一定要有充分的民主;从不同角度论述了党内民主包含的科学内涵和基本内容,强调党员在党章和党纪面前人人平等,坚决保障全体党员依照党章享有的权利,正确对待党内不同意见;提出了一系列发展党内民主的原则、途径和方法,强调在党内要坚持民主集中制、集体领导、少数服从多数等原则,开展批评和自我批评,实行党内监督,进行民主教育.     

Exit Options in Corporate Finance: Liquidity versus Incentives

This paper provides a first study of the optimal design of active monitors'exit options in a problem involving a demand for liquidity and costly monitoring of the issuer. Optimal incentives to monitor the issuer may involve restricting the monitor's right to sell her claims on the firm's cash-flow early. But the monitor will then require a liquidity premium for holding such an illiquid claim. In general, therefore, there will be a trade off between incentives and liquidity. The paper highlights a fundamental complementarity between speculative monitoring in financial markets (which increases the informativeness of prices) and active monitoring inside the firm: in financial markets where price discovery is better and securities prices reflect the fundamentals of the issuer better, the incentive cost of greater liquidity may be smaller and active monitoring incentives may be preserved. The paper spells out the conditions under which more or less liquidity is warranted and applies the analysis to shed light on common exit provisions in venture capital financing.     

区域经济一体化在构建大牡丹江战略中的实践

十七大报告、牡丹江市第十次党代会报告和十届四次全会报告中都提到区域经济协调发展的问题,这是一个关系国家、地区发展的重要战略。本文结合三个报告和大牡丹江战略来阐述区域经济一体化在牡丹江的实践。     

振兴东北老工业基地的高端人才支撑——关于沈阳市职业经理人队伍建设的思考

在现今经济发展日新月异的社会,企业作为社会财富的创造者和社会经济运营的最基本细胞,始终处于社会中坚地位。职业经理人队伍就是为企业而生,因企业发展需求而发展壮大的,并成为企业巨轮的船长主宰着企业的前途与命运。本文采用用事实说话的方法,围绕着沈阳市职业经理人队伍建设核心议题,从沈阳城市振兴的人力资源建设出发,结合国内外对这一问题的认识和研究,叙述了沈阳城市职业经理人队伍现状,深入分析了队伍建设面临的问题,指出了职业经理人应该具备的职业素养和个人修为,从企业、政府、社会以及猎头公司角度探讨了加强队伍建设的方法,试图寻求一条加强城市职业经理人队伍建设的有效路径。