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71.
This paper analyzes the multiple bounded format, in which uncertainty is directly incorporated into the WTP question. A new approach for analyzing multiple bounded uncertainty data is presented. The intuition underlying the approach is that uncertain individuals would like to state their WTP as intervals rather than precise values and that the width of the intervals is determined by the degree of uncertainty. The approach is compared to the one applied in Welsh and Poe [Welsh, M., Poe, G.L., 1998. Elicitation effects in contingent valuation: comparisons to a multiple bounded discrete choice approach. Journal of Environmental Economics and Management 36, 170–185] which treats uncertainty by conditioning responses on specific verbal probability statements. We argue that the conditioning approach overestimates mean and median WTP and that conditioning WTP estimates on probability statements like “probably” and “unsure” make them “fuzzy”. To empirically compare the two approaches we use data from 2004 concerning implementation of a predator protection policy in Sweden. Our analysis show that the suggested approach: (1) is more intuitive; (2) better fits the data; (3) estimates mean and median WTP with better precision; (4) is less sensitive to distributional assumptions; and (5) it is better suited for policy analysis. 相似文献
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Determinants of Current Account Imbalances in 16 OECD Countries: An Out-Of-Sample Perspective 总被引:1,自引:0,他引:1
We employ panel data as well as country-specific models to uncover empirically the determinants of current account imbalances.
We find evidence of slope heterogeneity likely rendering the fixed-effect estimator inconsistent. Mean group estimation is
followed to overcome the latter difficulty. Both estimation techniques are evaluated by means of in- and out-of-sample criteria.
The mean group estimator outperforms the fixed-effect approach and, moreover, only three economic variables are found to impact
on the current account balance significantly. These are the government budget balance, the domestic output gap and the changes
of the terms of trade. We finally propose a parsimonious dynamic model of the current account, including only these variables
and illustrate that it has similar predictive accuracy as country-specific benchmark models.
JEL no. F32, C23, C53 相似文献
75.
The role of tourism is of vital economic importance, particularly for small countries with a privileged geographical location and favourable weather conditions. This paper examines the importance of tourism as a conditioning factor for higher regional growth in Portugal by employing the conditional convergence hypothesis of Barro and Sala-i-Martin, associated with the endogenous growth theory. The panel data estimation approach provides evidence of the positive impact of tourism (through the accommodation capacity) on the growth in per-capita income among the Portuguese regions, increasing the rate of convergence. Therefore, tourism can be considered as an alternative source for stimulating higher regional growth in Portugal, if the supply characteristics of this sector are improved. 相似文献
76.
Rolf Brühl Nils Horch und Mathias Orth 《Zeitschrift für Planung & Unternehmenssteuerung》2008,19(3):299-323
Zusammenfassung Die Bildung von Forschungshypothesen ist zwar immer ein kreativer, sollte aber gleichzeitig kein unsystematischer
Prozess sein. Im vorliegenden Artikel liegt der Fokus auf der Methodenunterstützung des Entdeckungszusammenhangs.
Die Methode der Grounded Theory bietet einen Bezugsrahmen für qualitative empirische Studien, mit dem
Theorien entwickelt werden, die aus dem Textmaterial zu begründen sind. Eine Literaturanalyse verdeutlicht,
dass das Potenzial dieser Methode bisher in der Controlling- und Rechnungswesenforschung weitgehend ungenutzt
bleibt. Anhand einer Diskussion empirischer Studien, welche auf die Methode zurückgreifen, werden
Anwendungsm?glichkeiten der Grounded Theory für diese Disziplinen aufgezeigt.
Summary Creating research hypotheses is always a creative but not necessarily an unsystematic process. In our study we introduce a method supporting the logic of discovery. The grounded theory approach provides a framework for a systematic development of theories emerging from empirical data. A literature review stresses that the potential of the method so far is unused in accounting research. The grounded theory approach is introduced to support empirical work within this research field. Options for an application of the method in accounting research are shown by the means of a discussion of empirical studies. Furthermore the reader gets hints for reference studies.相似文献
77.
Erik Benrud 《Journal of Economics and Finance》2007,31(2):143-165
The demand for and supply of analysts’ opinions in this model yield an equilibrium that demonstrates how the information content
of the opinions reacts to changes in exogenous parameters. The model also shows how changes in the parameters make analysts’
opinions more or less dispersed; for example, a decline in investor risk aversion, a decrease in market volatility, and an
increase in information costs can lead to analysts’ opinions becoming more similar. Recognizing how exogenous factors can
affect the supply and demand of analysts’ opinions gives additional insights into questions concerning what may appear to
be herd behavior by analysts and also the relationship between forecast dispersion and information content. (JEL: G29, C71) 相似文献
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Ohne Zusammenfassung
Dipl.-Ing. (univ.) Michael Belau ist Director und Head of Rental Management
Dipl.-Wirtschaftsing. (FH) Michael Schildger ist Vice President und Head of Finance
Dr. Verena Sturm ist Manager Corporate Real Estate Services 相似文献
80.