National telecommunications planning in Brazil

During the past 15 years Brazil has undergone a process of rapid modernization in its telecommunications. Starting from a chaotic situation, institutional foundations were established and an ambitious development programme carried out. A fundamental piece of this programme was a planning process that proved to be flexible and adequate to handle the social and economic disparities of the country. The policies that have emerged from the planning process were implemented and provided good economic results and satisfaction to customers.     

How important is the credit channel in the transmission of monetary policy in Mexico?

This article empirically examines the importance of the credit channel of monetary policy in Mexico for the period 2004–2013. We estimate a vector autoregressive (VAR) model to analyse the effects of a monetary policy shock on real output, and we also use a threshold VAR model to investigate asymmetric effects of contractionary and expansionary policies. The empirical results suggest that a contractionary monetary policy results in a fall in the supply of loans together with an increase in the spread between the lending and deposit rate. To the extent that some borrowers are dependent on bank loans for credit, the reduced supply of loans amplifies the effects of monetary policy on output associated with the traditional interest rate channel. Our results also suggest that the importance of the credit channel is larger for contractionary shocks than for expansionary shocks.     

The U.S.–Brazil relationship opportunity: Business synergies for a dynamic global environment

The U.S.–Brazil relationship features an intersection of public and private sectors characteristic of the post‐2000 dynamics of international business and governmental relations. As a triple helix reference for the private sector, the public sector, and academia, this article explores how further alignment of public and private interests of the United States and Brazil can improve the bilateral relationship between the two largest countries in the Western hemisphere. The first section recaps the U.S.–Brazil public relationship and cultural perspectives shared between Brazil and the United States. The second section reviews the relevance of the U.S.–Brazil relationship in Brazil's economy and business marketplace. Sections 3 through 5 discuss specific trade, investment, and tax agreements that can be mutually beneficial for the United States and Brazil. The final section recommends further areas for public–private cooperation between the United States and Brazil.     

Book Review

Kindleberger, Charles P., The International Economic Order: Essays on Financial Crisis and International Public Goods, Cambridge, MA: MIT Press, 1988, xi + 235 pages.

Root, Franklin R., International Trade and Investment (6th ed.), Cincinnati, OH: South-Western Publishing Co., 1990, viii + 696 pages.

Krugman, Paul, Rethinking International Trade, Cambridge, MA: The MIT Press, 1990, viii + 282 pages.

Schmiegelow, Michele, and Henrik Schmiegelow, Strategic Pragmatism: Japanese Lessons in the Use of Economic Theory, New York: Praeger, 1989, 212 pages.

Lynn, Leonard H., and Timothy J. McKeown, Organizing Business: Trade Associations in America and Japan, Washington, DC: American Enterprise Institute for Public Policy Research, 1988, xviii +191 pages.

Patterson, Seymour, The Microeconomics of Trade, Kirksville, MO: Thomas Jefferson University Press, 1989, vii + 223 pages.

Whalley, John, The Uruguay Round and Beyond—Final Report from the Ford Foundation Project on Developing Countries and the Global Trading System, Ann Arbor: MI: The University of Michigan Press, 1989, xi + 211 pages.

Baumol, William J., Edward N. Wolff, and Sue Anne Batey Blackman, Productivity and American Leadership: The Long View, Cambridge, MA: The MIT Press, 1989, x + 395 pages.

Carter, Barry E., International Economic Sanctions: Improving the Haphazard U.S. Legal Regime, Cambridge, UK: Cambridge University Press, 1988, xiv + 290 pages.

Dornbusch, Rudiger, The Road to Economic Recovery: Report of the Twentieth Century Fund Task Force on International Debt, Background Paper, New York: Priority Press, 1989, vi + 123 pages.

Edwards, Sebastian, Real Exchange Rates, Devaluation and Adjustment, Cambridge, MA: The MIT Press, 1989, xi + 371 pages.     

Investment and the real exchange rate’s profitability channel in Mexico

The paper estimates different versions of an equation for private investment in Mexico during the post-liberalization period 1988–2013, with the aim of studying the operation of the recently discussed real exchange rate’s profitability channel. During this period, the real exchange rate (RER) was broadly positively correlated with the Mexican price/wage ratio and the Mexican/US relative profit margin in the manufacturing sector, particularly so when the RER experienced large fluctuations, before the end of disinflation in the early 2000s. In the estimations, the effect of the profit margin appears to be ‘deeper’, wiping out the effect of the RER when the two variables are included together in the investment equation. From this, the paper argues that the positive effect of the RER on investment, observed in previous studies that omitted the profit margin, reflects indirectly the positive link of the RER with the profit margin, supporting the existence of a profitability channel in Mexico.     

Contratos de riesgo de petróleo,patrones de conducta y desempeño de empresas: Análisis de panel de datos

Using data from financial and economic performance of International Oil Companies (IOCs) in the exploration-extraction (E&E) business, along with institutional and market orientation of governments and National Oil Companies (NOCs) that receive project offers, the international E&E market is analyzed in both institutional development and behavioral patterns of type of E&E contract following an agency theory approach. Additionally, given Mexico's recent energy reform being launched between 2015 and next 2019, the various types of E&E contracts are analyzed, comparing license contracts with production sharing and risk service ones. Next, using panel data methods an analysis of 17 enterprises between 2005 and 2015 is presented, where so-called global IOCs show higher returns and commitment than specialized ones, demonstrated by their net income and return on equity, or ROE.     

A spatial dominance approach to evaluate the performance of stocks and bonds: Does the investment horizon matter?

The common advice by practitioners is to allocate a greater proportion of stocks for long-term investors than for short-term investors. However, part of the academic literature disagrees with this advice. We use a spatial dominance test which is suited for comparing alternative investments for a given time horizon. Using daily data for the US from 1962 to 2012, we test for dominance of cumulative returns series for stocks versus bonds at different investment horizons from 1 to 15 years. We find evidence that bonds second order spatially dominate stocks for horizons from 1 to 4 years. In contrast, for horizons of 6 years and longer, we find evidence that stocks dominate bonds. The conclusion that bonds dominate stocks at short horizons, while stocks dominate bonds at long horizons is consistent across different periods and international markets. When different portfolios of stocks and bonds are compared, we find that for long investment horizons only those portfolios with a sufficiently high proportion of stocks are efficient in the sense of spatial dominance.     

The impact of broadband on jobs and the German economy

This study calculates the impact of investment in broadband technology on German employment and economic output. Two sequential investment scenarios are analysed: the first one reflects the government’s National Broadband Strategy that extends through 2014, and the second covers the ultra-broadband evolution from 2015 to 2020. The authors conclude that the required investment of close to 36 billion euros is justifi ed by the substantial benefi ts that would be generated in terms of both additional jobs and GDP growth.