应用比例改变法进行旅游需求的预测

针对旅游需求进行预测，为旅游企业制定战略计划和策划旅游产品的营销方案提供指导；通过实际数值算例验证此方法的有效性。     

欠发达地区县域经济发展问题的调查与思考——以安徽省六安市为例

发展县域经济是贯彻落实科学发展观、统筹区域和城乡协调发展、建设社会主义新农村的切入点和着力点,也是实现全面小康社会的重要途径。文章以安徽六安市为例,通过问卷调查和采访,发现欠发达地区县域经济发展中存在发展方向认同偏离、资源瓶颈、环境不优、观念束缚、政府支持力度不足等问题并提出对策。     

城市营销:政府角色的迷失

城市竞争引起政府对城市营销的重视,但城市政府在城市营销中却因定位不清而迷失了角色。首先是越位,表现为政府超越自身职权从事城市营销活动;其次是错位,体现为政府在城市营销中未能抓住关键和重点;最后是缺位,政府缺少对自身在营销中真正的角色把握,未能优秀有效地完成自身应完成的任务与职责。     

加快农村劳动力转移的财政政策思考——以贵州省为例

农村劳动力的成功转移，对于增加农民家庭收入，提高农民生活水平，促进农村城镇化进程，实现城乡协调发展有着重大贡献，贵州省目前农村劳动力转移存在诸多限制因素，本文通过对贵州省农村劳动力转移过程中存在的问题以及劳动力转移不足的原因进行分析，提出了优化教育资源配置，优化产业结构，构建农村服务体系，加快农村公共基础设施建设等加快贵州省农村劳动力转移的具体财政对策建议.     

Lease Financing and Corporate Governance

Lease financing is a well‐recognized mechanism for reducing the agency costs of debt. This study examines whether firms that attempt to control the agency costs of equity through strong governance structures, including Chief Executive Officer compensation alignment and board structure, are more likely to use an agency cost reducing debt structure, such as leasing. For a sample of large firms, we find that firms who use more incentive compensation and have more outside directors also tend to use more lease financing, suggesting these agency cost reducing measures are complements.     

信息时代的企业组织变革研究

随着信息时代和全球经济一体化的到来,企业面临的竞争压力越来越大,企业要想更好地获得发展,就需要进行相应的组织变革,以适应环境的变化.文章首先从企业内外部环境的变化,分析信息时代企业组织变革的必要性,进而探讨了企业组织的变革方向,即扁平化、虚拟化、网络化、柔性化的发展趋势.     

人民币实际汇率的决定及其调整趋势研究

本文通过VAR模型证实了生产率、国内消费需求和国际收支状况等因素是人民币实际汇率的决定因素。虽然巴拉萨——萨缪尔森效应在我国存在，但是并不明显，我国长期以来的国内消费需求不足导致了人民币实际汇率的持续低估。在经济基本面因素不变的情况下，人民币仍将保持走低趋势，但是随着我国经济结构的优化升级、生产率的持续增长和国内消费需求的不断提高，人民币实际汇率将会趋于不断升值。     

Office Construction in Singapore and Hong Kong: Testing Real Option Implications

We advance the real-option-based empirical analysis of commercial real estate investment in three respects. First, we test several real option implications for real estate construction that have not been examined in the commercial real estate investment literature. In particular and in line with the predictions of real option models, we show that the effects of real interest rate and the expected demand growth on hurdle rent become more negative when the market volatility is greater. Second, we use a cointegrating vector of office employment and office stock to provide a better control of the demand for new construction than traditional indicators based on real estate prices and vacancy rates. Third, whereas the existing studies focus on the U.S. commercial real estate markets, we study two major office markets in Asia, namely Singapore and Hong Kong. We rely on the local stock market in the two city states to derive forward-looking measures of office demand growth expectations.

The impact of market freedom on the adoption of third-party electronic marketplaces: A fuzzy AHP analysis

Electronic-marketplace (EM) is an innovative model for interfirm transactions that are undertaken via the Internet. However, in view of higher investment costs and other associated risks, many small and medium-sized enterprises (SMEs), instead of establishing their own EMs, turn to adopt third-party-hosted EMs. In literature, most relevant studies to the adoption of the third-party-hosted EM were conducted on the research contexts of free market. Industries under the protection of government policies may have limited degree of market freedom, different from industries without these protection policies. Thus, this study intends to compare the decision choice of EM adoption between industries with various degree of market freedom. The decision choice of EM adoption consisted of many strategic factors that were constructed in terms of a three-layer hierarchical structure proposed in this paper. A fuzzy analytic hierarchical process (Fuzzy AHP) was utilized to estimate the relative importance of these individual strategic factors involved in the decision-making process of adopting third-party EMs. The research findings indicated there were some similarities and differences in the decision choice between the two industries of interest. The variety of market freedom can account for the differences in the decision choice of EM adoption. In addition to enhancing our understanding of the EM adoption decision of participative companies, the research findings also provide insightful information to third-party EM providers so that they may improve the effectiveness and efficiency of resource allocation.     

北京地区银行业交叉销售的现状、问题及对策

北京地区的经济、金融发展位居全国前列,地区金融市场逐渐走向成熟,交叉销售则是在成熟市场中挖掘业务机会、获取增长和利润的最佳途径.本文以北京地区银行业为分析对象,研究其交叉销售的现状、问题并提出相应的对策.