山东省农业发展灰色系统预测

本文依据灰色系统理论建立了山东省农业的GM（1，1）模型并进行了预测，分析了山东省农业的发展态势，提出了保证农业持续和稳定发展的措施。     

Teaching accountants to learn and "building blocks" for accounting education

Conclusions Accounting professionals and academicians have expressed significant interest and are pursuing a variety of changes in accounting curricula. There is a broad range of opinions regarding the nature of the changes needed in accounting education, which range from dramatic redesign to little or no change. There is a need to develop a framework for accounting education that is consistent but flexible to accommodate the majority of the accounting educational needs. The "building blocks" of accounting education presented in this paper provide educators with a basic pedagogical framework for an appropriate learning process. The framework of accounting education specifically focuses on the accounting component of the educational process and identifies the nature of courses and appropriate teaching strategies based upon their goals and objectives. Most educators recognize that only "one" accounting curriculum is insufficient to meet the needs of a variety of constituents. Therefore, it is essential to adopt an appropriate general framework for coursework is adopted to address the development of many diverse accounting programs.     

"突破菏泽"经济发展模式的几点思考

菏泽市，古称曹州。历史上，菏泽因水而穷。建国前，黄河三年两决口，菏泽人民饱受自然灾害之苦，生产条件恶劣，工业几乎空白。建国后到改革开放前，菏泽处于吃粮靠统销、生产靠贷款、生活靠救济的“三靠”状态。长期恶劣的生存环境使不少菏泽百姓逐渐形成了不敢积累、不愿意积累、无意识积累的生活习惯。从1992年到2002年的10年间，菏泽市GDP年均增长6．8％，比全省平均水平低6个百分点，菏泽市累计实际利用外资仅占全省累计实际利用外资的1％，累计出口总值仅占全省累计出口总值的0．5％。2003年菏泽市人均GDP3337元，仅为全省平均水平的25％。1992年菏泽GDP同德州、聊城、滨州经济实力大体相当，现在差距却越来越大，从这些数字中折射出一个严峻的现实：菏泽何去何从？     

试析保险欺诈

保险欺诈是保险公司面临的一项难题。保险欺诈的形式有订立保险合同时的欺诈和保险索赔时的欺诈。保险欺诈的产生有其本质根源、社会根源、心理根源和保险业的内部根源。寻找有效的防范保险欺诈的方法需要从加大保险宣传、充分利用法律武器及提高保险公司的承保和理赔管理水平各方面入手。     

论个人资信评估体系的构建主体

结合其他国家建立信用体系的经验及我国进行信征集试点城市的现状来分析以政府牵头为主，金融机构先行为主及第三方自发为主的三个构建主体方案的利弊，最终得出一个适合中国国情的、合理的、高效的个人资信体系构建主体。     

反商业贿赂与政府采购机制的完善

政府采购已成为财政支出的重要组成部分.巨大的利润空间给政府采购带来了商业贿赂的风险.运用成本-收益理论、政府规制俘获理论和公平理论,分析其产生的根源及可能带来的后果,可采取相应措施消除政府采购中商业贿赂因子的现实途径.     

个人教育投资的均衡分析

人力资本投资的关键形式是教育投资。文章认为,个人教育投资的均衡条件是边际成本等于边际收益。因为个人教育投资的边际成本递增,边际收益递减,所以必须采取多种措施刺激个人教育投资的积极性,才能促进我国教育事业的大发展。     

企业组织变革中的冲突管理研究

中国的企业面临前所未有的复杂的市场环境。组织重组,组织流程再造,公司股权体制改革……企业或多或少都在进行这样或那样的组织变革,在变革过程中,冲突的产生是不可避免的。对于变革中的冲突应该怎样进行有效的管理是关系到变革成败的重大问题。本文指出应该区分变革过程中的建设性冲突和破坏性冲突,并针对不同类型的冲突采用与之相适应的冲突管理方式。     

Sources of gains from international portfolio diversification

This paper looks at the determinants of country and industry specific factors in international portfolio returns using a sample of forty eight countries and thirty nine industries over the last three decades. Country factors have remained relatively stable over the sample period while industry factors have significantly increased during the last decade and dropped again since 2000. The importance of industry and country factors is correlated with measures of economic and financial international integration and development. We find that financial market globalization is the main driving force behind the changes in relative magnitude of the different shocks. Country factors are smaller for countries integrated in world financial markets and have declined as the degree of financial integration and the number of countries pursuing financial liberalization has increased. Higher international financial integration within an industry increases the importance of industry factors in explaining returns. Economic integration of production also helps in explaining returns. Countries with a more specialized production activity have higher country shocks.     

对发展我国汽车金融公司的思考

随着我国加入WTO以后对汽车金融服务业的进一步开放,国外汽车金融公司纷纷进驻这个极具潜力的庞大市场.2003年底我国先后颁布了<汽车金融公司管理办法>和<汽车金融公司管理细则>,至2005年1月,通用、大众、丰田汽车金融(中国)公司相继开业.本文在介绍成熟汽车金融公司特点的基础上,针对我国汽车金融公司的具体情况,提出一些对策与建议,希望能够对我国的汽车金融公司的发展有所裨益.