主体功能区土地政策研究

“十一五”规划提出了推进形成主体功能区的基本思路,十七大报告明确提出,“主体功能区布局基本形成”是全面建成小康社会的基本标志之一。推进形成主体功能区需要用土地政策规范空间开发秩序和开发行为。文章以相关政策文献为依据,阐述了主体功能区土地政策的内涵和功能,重点从宏观和微观两个层面,研究了主体功能区土地政策选择,以期为国家、省区市主体功能区规划提供参考。     

Did Leaving the Gold Standard Tame the Business Cycle? Evidence from NBER Reference Dates and Real GNP

Cover and Pecorino (2005) claim that the March 1933 departure from the gold standard is the most probable break point ushering in an era of longer U.S. expansions, both absolutely and relative to subsequent recessions. Their analysis is based on cycle durations as defined by National Bureau of Economic Research (NBER) reference dates. However, much of macroeconomic analysis is based on (i) growth cycles (i.e., periods when the economy's production is above or below trend) rather than absolute increases or decreases in economic activity; and (ii) aggregate time series' volatility as the prime indicator of macroeconomic stability. In light of this, we reevaluate the March 1933 break point. First, using HP‐filtered quarterly gross national product (GNP), our analysis of growth cycle durations still implies a break point near 1933. Second, we test for structural breaks in the volatility of GNP growth rates and deviations from trends. These tests suggest a structural break considerably later than 1933, perhaps as late as the 1950s.     

河北省沿海与内陆经济差异与协调发展研究

文章主要采用区位商、泰尔指数分解等方法对河北省沿海与内陆之间的区域经济差异的总体特征和空间特征进行量化分析,得出下列结论：近年来河北省沿海与内陆地区的经济发展差距不断扩大,并且对河北省整体经济发展差异的贡献逐年增加。并在此基础上探讨了差异的形成原因,提出了沿海与内陆经济协调发展的相应对策。     

利用GARCH-M类模型和极值理论对上证综指的研究

金融时间序列具有分布的厚尾性、波动的集聚性等特征,传统的方法难以准确的度量其风险。文中运用一种新的估计VaR和ES的方法,即采取两阶段法。首先用GARCH-M类模型(GARCH-M、EGARCH-M和TGARCH-M)拟和原始收益率数据,得到残差序列;第二步用极值分析的方法分析的尾部,最后得到收益率序列的动态VaR和ES。最后对三个模型的计算结果进行比较。     

绿色壁垒对我国纺织服装业的影响研究

为了避免绿色壁垒对我国纺织服装业造成更大的经济损失,保持行业的持续健康发展,本文分析了绿色壁垒对我国纺织服装业带来的积极影响和消极影响,进而提出应对绿色壁垒消极影响的措施。     

Financial investor sentiment and the boom/bust in oil prices during 2003–2008

From both theoretical and policy perspectives, it is important to understand if financial speculation contributes to the boom/bust in oil prices during 2003–2008. In this paper, we disentangle the effects of financial speculation from those of economic fundamentals by focusing on exogenous changes of financial speculation in oil markets identified by changes in financial investor sentiment. Furthermore, we focus on a quasi-experiment setting, and investigate both sentiment-driven overvaluation of oil prices and subsequent mispricing correction. Our findings suggest that financial speculation might have contributed to the 2003–2008 boom/bust in oil prices.     

Internal branding experiences in the financial services sector in South Africa

There is little doubt that employees are critical to the delivery of the service brand. Although existing models propose methods of internal branding, very little is known about the actual corporate experience. Academics around the world have spent decades probing internal marketing, its subset—internal branding—and the impact of internal branding on service delivery. This research focuses on how organisations execute internal branding, revealing critical success factors as well as obstacles encountered. The research was conducted in five large organisations in the financial services sector in South Africa. Each organisation is a highly recognisable consumer brand; the oldest of which is nearing 200 years of being in business and the youngest is just 20 years old. This research adds to the body of knowledge regarding organisational practice of internal branding. Key themes are identified, three of which are largely absent from extant models and literature.     

中小企业融资难的新解读

中小企业融资难问题已成为制约我国市场经济体制改革的重要因素。对主要发达国家经验的梳理,可以得到解决该问题的一般规律。基于我国中小企业发展的特点、金融系统结构失衡、政府职能错位三个方面的解读,可以发现我国中小企业融资难问题具有特殊性。本文提出的建议,包括构建"银政合作"模式,推进金融体制改革,创建中小型金融机构。     

旅行社供应链管理初探

在旅游业转型时期,旅行社为主体的供应链模式将发生变化。尤其在电子商务的冲击下,以旅行社为代表的旅游代理商面临着极大的挑战,以单个企业运作的旅游企业再也不能适应时代的要求,基于供应链管理的旅游业管理模式便应运而生。目前大多数旅行社在供应链管理中存在企业对建立旅行社供应链管理模式的重要性认识不足、供应链上各企业缺乏合作、没有形成整体合力、信息系统不完善、供应链上的各企业对市场环境变化不敏感等问题。应采取注重旅行社供应链管理模式下的合作伙伴关系、提高对建立旅行社供应链管理模式的重要性的认识、完善管理信息系统、加强供应链上各企业信息技术标准的规范化建设、旅行社的集团化发展、实行跨文化管理等措施来解决旅行社供应链管理中的瓶颈问题。