Factors Influencing the Incidence of Bribery Payouts by Firms: A Cross-Country Analysis

This article explores micro- and macro-level variables that influence the incidence of bribery payouts by firms. A rich data set with information from 55 countries was utilized to achieve this objective. Results of logit regression models indicate that there are a number of micro- and macro-level factors that significantly affect the incidence of bribery payouts. This suggests that it is not only the characteristics of a firm but also the environment of doing business that affect the firm’s bribery decision. The results of this study provides information that may help firms develop strategies to reduce corruption in their respective industries and thereby improve their image of corporate social responsibility. The analysis also points to possible policy directions that governments could undertake in order to reduce the incidence of bribery in their country.      

困局下的四川丘陵地区县域经济发展--关于射洪经济发展模式研究

四川省丘陵地区县域经济在全省经济发展中具有重要地位。本文以四川省丘陵地区示范县——射洪为考察对象,对其卓有成效的县域经济发展模式——“市场主导下工农联动模式”进行了分析研究,并阐明了该模式对四川省丘陵地区县域经济发展的启示。     

进一步完善企业所得税优惠政策

本文通过对现行企业所得税优惠政策存在的问题进行研究分析,提出了完善促进高新技术产业发展、扶持中小企业发展、促进就业再就业等税收优惠政策的若干建议。     

对云南省执行企业所得税优惠政策的调查与思考

从云南省执行企业所得税优惠政策的实践可以看出,在经济欠发达区域,税收优惠政策的作用尚未有效发挥,存在着一些影响政策运行的现实问题。据此,本文提出了完善企业所得税优惠政策的思路及建议。     

当前宏观经济形势与2004年的比较与思考

当前,国内外经济形势错综复杂。文章通过对近期和2004年中国宏观经济形势的比较,分析其中的异同,以厘清未来走势,并为宏观调控提供借鉴。两个时期部有一些相同点：中国经济从低谷走出,乐观情绪升温,房价骤涨,通胀开始抬头,中国跟随世界进人新一轮加息周期,人民币升值压力不断加大。两者不同点是：当前货币增长速度远远快于2004年。贸易顺差更大,信贷和财政状况逊色。未来,预计CPI回升势头更快,央行面临回收流动性的压力更大,贸易摩擦加剧,中美息差可能进一步扩大,人民币的升值压力将加大。     

对中央银行非常规政策退出的几点思考

当前,随着全球经济复苏态势的不断显现,关于非常规货币政策的有序退出也逐步提上了各国央行的议事日程。该文对于非常规货币政策的概念、类别,以及金融危机以来美日欧等主要经济体所采取的非常规政策进行了梳理,在此基础上对于非常规货币政策的效果评价,及非常规货币政策的退出时机、节奏和顺序等战略决策进行了相关探讨和思考。     

2009-2010年债券市场运行分析与展望

2009年,在适度宽松的货币政策和积极财政政策引导下,我国债券市场得以克服国际金融危机负面影响,继续保持稳定运行态势。各类证券发行量稳步增长,二级市场交易量温和放大,指数出现回调,债市与股市互动明显。展望2010年,在通胀预期和货币政策从紧预期影响下,市场利率有望上行,指数震荡幅度加大,商业性证券发行量继续增加,政府债券发行会有所控制。     

基于马尔可夫分析的人民银行分支机构人力资源配置预测

本文以人民银行济南分行为例,在对辖区2006—2008年人力资源配置情况进行分析的基础上,尝试运用马尔可夫分析法,对2009、2010年人力资源配置情况进行分析预测,以期为分支机构人力资源优化配置提供参考。     

A Content Analysis of Compatible Fit among Message Elements in Philanthropy Ads

This research examined philanthropy ad messages in terms of four key elements: philanthropy goal, beneficiary, expected fundraising impact, and how the suggested donation is appraised. A content analysis was carried out to systematically study ad messages from nonprofit organizations on the Philanthropy 400 list. Specifically, the frequency of appearance of each type of message elements was analyzed in terms of four theoretical concepts: regulatory focus (promotion vs. prevention goal), egoism/altruism (self vs. others as beneficiary), temporal orientation (present vs. future fundraising impact), and efficacy appraisal (self- vs. response-efficacy in how a donation is appraised). Since past research further suggests that persuasion may be enhanced when message elements are well matched in terms of “compatible fits,” this study further analyzed how the four message elements were combined in usage. The findings of this research show that while most nonprofit organizations actively utilized all four types of elements in their messages, the current practice did not follow the guidelines as would be suggested by compatible fits literature. In this respect, more research is needed to understand the discrepancy and provide better guidelines for future communication strategies in the nonprofit sector.     

山东省"十五"期间规模工业行业调查与比较分析

通过山东与广东、浙江、江苏及全国的“十一五”期间规模工业比较分析,认为:山东省规模工业综合实力明显增强,重工业比重明显上升,行业成长性全国第一,规模工业增加值占GDP比重居四省第一,规模工业利润率水平高于全国和其他省份水平,但是,山东省规模工业行业集中度低于其他三省,规模工业中装备制造业总体比重较弱,产业层次相对偏低,制造业工资水平低于其他省份和全国平均水平,城市化进程严重落后于工业化进程。最后,提出未来山东规模工业的发展方向是加快发展装备制造业,发展高新技术产业,大力发展循环工业和生态工业园区,以加快推进城市化进程带动山东工业化进一步发展。