Stability and growth in the world oilseed market

Little research has been done on the economics of oilseeds and oilseed products, in proportion to their dietary importance in the world. The author discusses the political and economic aspects of the world oilseed market, as well as the main technical characteristics of the product. He argues that soybean is the key to stability in oilseed markets, and discusses possible policy options in the light of projected increases in both production and processing of oilseeds by developing countries.     

Optimal Flex Cropping and Storage of Spring Wheat under a Progressive Income Tax

This article presents two versions of a stochastic dynamic programming model: one version is used to obtain the optimal decision rule for flex cropping of spring wheat assuming sale of grain at harvest, while the second version is used to obtain the jointly optimal decision rule for flex cropping and storage of spring wheat. The objective function for the model is the expected present value of after-tax income. The first version of the model illustrates that the flex cropping strategy that maximizes the present value of after-tax income differs from the strategy that maximizes the present value of before-tax income. The second model illustrates that production and grain-storage marketing decision rules are inseparable under a progressive income tax. That is, the optimal flex cropping strategy assuming sale of grain at harvest differs substantially from the flex cropping strategy when grain storage is permitted. L'article propose deux versions d'un modèle de programmation dynamique stochastique: I'une est utilisée pour obtenir la décision optimale d'emblaver ou non en blé de printemps en prévision de la vente du grain à la moisson, I'autre recherchant une décision optimale d'assolement du blé avec intention de stocker à la récolte. La fonction objective du modèle est la valeur actuelle attendue du revenu après taxe. La première version révéle que la stratégic d'assolement axée sur une valeur actuelle maximale après imposition, diffère de celle qui est axée sur la valeur actuelle du revenu avant impostion. Le second modèle montre que les décisions de production et de vente ou de stockage du grain sont inséparables dans un régime d'imposition progressive. C'est-à-dire que la stratégie optimale axée sur la vente à la moisson est sensiblement différente de celle qui suppose le stockage du grain à la récolte.     

Separate Crop Accounts for the Western Grain Stabilization Program

Payouts from the Western Grain Stabilization Program are determined on the basis of prairie-wide net cash flow from grains. Of particular importance is what happens to the returns to wheat – the predominant crop. Thus while wheat producers in aggregate can be expected to benefit from the current program, producers of nonwheat crops may not. This paper examines the economics of separate crop accounts as a way of providing greater sensitivity to such producers. It is concluded that the gains are not large enough to warrant such a program change. Les paiements versés en vertu du Programme de stabilisation des grains de ?Ouest sont déterminés à partir des fonds autogénérés par la production céréalière à ?échelle des Prairies. Or, il est particulièrement important de savoir ce qu'il advient des revenus provenant de la production du blé, la culture prédominante dans cette région. Ainsi, même si on peut s'attendre que dans ?ensemble, les producteurs de blé tirent avantage du programme actuel, tel n'est peut-être pas le cas pour les producteurs ?autres céréales. Dans le présent article, nous examinons les aspects économiques ?un traitement séparé du blé et des autres céréales en guise de moyen pour mieux tenir compte des besoins de ces producteurs. Nous concluons que les avantages ainsi obtenus ne sont pas suffisamment importants pour justifier un tel changement du programme.     

Toward a usable general theory of oligopoly

Summary This paper propounds a determinate and operational framework for the analysis of the oligopolistic firm's and industry's price-output equilibrium. It emphasizes the implicit collusion and restrained rivalry in the realistic market structure revealed by empirical investigators, and thereby takes a different route from the traditional Cournot-Stackelberg and game-theoretic approaches. It incorporates the multiobjective nature of the firm's decisionmaking, and draws upon nonlinear programming and parametric programming theory to offer a flexible framework to accommodate a wide variety of behavior patterns in such industries. Several simple examples employing fictional data are used to illustrate the models.     

Pricing Efficiency in the Mortgage Market

Traditionally, the presence of serial correlation has been presumed to indicate an inefficient market for financial assets. As Latham [15] discusses, while the absence of serial correlation implies market efficiency, its mere presence does not imply inefficiency. Rather, market efficiency is a characteristic of security pricing. This study investigates pricing efficiency in the mortgage market. Using mortgage loan quotations for 343 institutions over a 71-week period, the empirical findings show that a wide variety of mortgage contracts are efficiently priced.