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991.
Didier Nibbering Richard Paap Michel van der Wel 《International Journal of Forecasting》2018,34(2):288-311
This paper studies what professional forecasters predict. We use spectral analysis and state space modeling to decompose economic time series into trend, business cycle, and irregular components. We examine which components are captured by professional forecasters by regressing their forecasts on the estimated components extracted from both the spectral analysis and the state space model. For both decomposition methods, we find that, in the short run, the Survey of Professional Forecasters can predict almost all of the variation in the time series due to the trend and the business cycle, but that the forecasts contain little or no significant information about the variation in the irregular component. 相似文献
992.
Carlos N. Bouza 《Metrika》2009,70(3):267-277
This paper is devoted to the analysis of the estimation of the mean of a sensitive variable. The use of a randomized response (RR) procedure gives confidence to the interviewed that his privacy is protected. We consider that a simple random sampling with replacement design is used for selecting a sample. The behavior of the RR procedure, when ranked set sampling is the design used, is developed under three different ranking criteria. The usual gain in accuracy associated with the use of ranked set sampling is exhibited only by one of the designs. The behavior of the models is illustrated using data provided by a study of samples of persons infected with AIDS. 相似文献
993.
994.
Kenneth K. Boyer G.Keong Leong Peter T. Ward Lee J. Krajewski 《Journal of Operations Management》1997,15(4):331-347
This research examines whether investments in advanced manufacturing technologies (AMTs) such as flexible manufacturing systems (FMS), computer aided design (CAD), computer aided manufacturing (CAM), robotics, etc., are more likely to lead to improved performance if they are supported by improvements in the manufacturing infrastructure of the company. This question is evaluated using data gathered from 202 manufacturing plants chosen from industries generally considered to have relatively high investments in technology.Multiple item scales are developed and adapted from sources in the literature to measure investments in technology, infrastructure, and the performance of the plant. Evidence supporting the reliability and validity of these scales is provided. Hierarchical regression is used to analyze the relationship between technology, infrastructure, and performance. The results suggest that there is an important interaction between the adoption of advanced manufacturing technologies and investments in infrastructure. Firms that invest in both AMTs and infrastructure perform better than firms which only invest in one or the other. Separate analyses on sub-samples of firms with the highest and lowest investments in AMTs show that infrastructural investments have a stronger relationship with performance in the high investment group. Thus, the data indicate that infrastructural investments provide a key to unlocking the potential of advanced manufacturing technologies. 相似文献
995.
Denis Lescop 《Review of Economic Design》2007,10(4):273-284
We study Bayesian mechanism design in the context of the siting of noxious facilities. Under incomplete information, we characterize
optimal mechanisms facilitating the siting and cost sharing of the facility. These mechanisms are allocatively and Pareto
efficient. However, it appears that transfers occur when the good is not provided. This result is due to the weakening of
the incentive notion to Bayesian–Nash equilibrium and to the balanced budget condition. This phenomenon disappears if the
setting is perfectly symmetric.
相似文献
996.
Peter Skott 《The Manchester School》1997,65(5):599-601
Human capital theory has been criticized for using an ordinal variable (human capital) as if it were cardinal (Leslie, D. (1995). “On the Proper Use of Ordinal Variables in Labour Market Models”, The Manchester School, Vol. 63, No. 2, pp. 196–205). It is shown in this note that this particular criticism is unwarranted: the use of human capital in the models discussed by Leslie satisfies Leslie's own criterion for the proper use of ordinal variables. 相似文献
997.
Miguel A. León‐Ledesma Peter McAdam Alpo Willman 《Oxford bulletin of economics and statistics》2015,77(1):40-65
Capital‐labour substitution and total factor productivity (TFP) estimates are essential features of many economic models. Such models typically embody a balanced growth path. This often leads researchers to estimate models imposing stringent prior choices on technical change. We demonstrate that estimation of the substitution elasticity and TFP growth can be substantially biased if technical progress is thereby mis‐specified. We obtain analytical and simulation results in the context of a model consistent with balanced and near‐balanced growth (i.e. departures from balanced growth but broadly stable factor shares). Given this evidence, a constant elasticity of substitution production function system is then estimated for the US economy. Results show that the estimated substitution elasticity tends to be significantly lower using a factor‐augmenting specification (well below one). We are also able to reject conventional neutrality forms in favour of general factor augmentation with a non‐negligible capital‐augmenting component. Our work thus provides insights into production and supply‐side estimation in balanced‐growth frameworks. 相似文献
998.
999.
1000.
Peter B. Jubb 《International Journal of Auditing》2000,4(2):153-167
Auditors are being depicted as whistleblowers, a phenomenon which, given negative social attitudes to whistleblowers and informers more generally, can be harmful to the profession and individual practitioners. A recently published general‐purpose definition of whistleblowing is applied to the audit function, considering internal and external auditing separately. The definition is briefly described. It depicts whistleblowing as a disclosure which expresses accusation and dissent; and entails an ethical dilemma of divided loyalty, the origins of which lie in a prima facie duty to respect an organisations proprietary rights over its information. The case argued here is that internal audit disclosures and those arising from the dominant external statutory audit do not qualify as whistleblowing as defined. Whistleblowing is also examined as an audit metaphor but is discarded as unsuitable mainly on grounds of ambiguity. 相似文献