《三侠五义》研究史述评

该文通过一些文献资料的阅读研究,把近年来学者关注《三侠五义》研究的几方面总结为：《三侠五义》的版本及成书过程研究;《三侠五义》的人物形象研究;《三侠五义》的叙事艺术研究;《三侠五义》的价值及侠义精神研究;俞樾对《三侠五义》的修订及后人续书之研究。最后,认为对小说次要人物形象的研究、包公现代意义的阐释以及与相关小说的比较研究还有待进一步深化。     

供应链需求信息共享中信息泄露的机理研究

文章针对供应链成员间共享信息被频繁泄露及其对供应链运作产生的不良后果,构建了单个供应商和两个数量竞争的零售商组成的供应链的信息泄露模型,研究了需求信息不对称条件下需求信息泄露的产生机理,指出供应商为了获得更多收益,会将具有需求信息优势的零售商的私有信息泄露给其他零售商,并在此基础上探讨了需求状况以及零售商销售产品的类型对需求信息泄露行为的影响。     

Forecasting house prices using dynamic model averaging approach: Evidence from China

Forecasting house price has been of great interests for macroeconomists, policy makers and investors in recent years. To improve the forecasting accuracy, this paper introduces a dynamic model averaging (DMA) method to forecast the growth rate of house prices in 30 major Chinese cities. The advantage of DMA is that this method allows both the sets of predictors (forecasting models) as well as their coefficients to change over time. Both recursive and rolling forecasting modes are applied to compare the performance of DMA with other traditional forecasting models. Furthermore, a model confidence set (MCS) test is used to statistically evaluate the forecasting efficiency of different models. The empirical results reveal that DMA generally outperforms other models, such as Bayesian model averaging (BMA), information-theoretic model averaging (ITMA) and equal-weighted averaging (EW), in both recursive and rolling forecasting modes. In addition, in recent years it is found that the Google search index, instead of fundamental macroeconomic or monetary indicators, has developed greater predictive power for house price in China.     

马克思主义经济学与西方经济学关于公共物品的思想体系比较

逐步实现基本公共服务均等化已经成为我国新时期落实科学发展观的重要任务和战略主题。西方经济学学者研究公共物品理论以唯心主义"理性人"为假设前提,马克思主义经济学则以唯物主义的"社会人"假定展开分析。对公共物品的这两种思想体系进行比较分析,有助于把握公共物品思想的发展脉络和社会主义市场经济条件下公共物品的内涵、特征和本质,明确其范围和供给方式,进一步转变政府职能,促进我国基本公共服务均等化,构建社会主义和谐社会,实现社会公平。     

Social networks,job satisfaction and job searching behavior in the Chinese labor market

This study first investigates determinants of job searching strategies and then examines if social networks are connected with better job outcomes. Unlike previous studies that focus solely on income, this paper pays more heed to job satisfaction. Based on data drawn from China General Social Survey, we find that disadvantaged job seekers rely primarily on informal channels; whereas experienced and better-educated job seekers tend to search for jobs through formal channels. However, those reaping the largest benefit from using networks are the job seekers who are able to use formal and informal channels jointly. By disaggregating the whole sample, we further find that the promoting effect of network use is contingent on factors such as gender and types of jobs. Network use brings about larger benefits to female and job seekers target to prestigious occupations. Finally, it appears that whether a job seeker can receive influential help depends primarily on the social status of the contacts rather than their tie strength. The results of our paper thus urge us to examine the combination of different searching strategies rather than studying them separately.     

Experts’ perceptions of the sloping land conversion program in the Loess Plateau,China

China’s Sloping Land Conversion Program (SLCP) is the world’s largest payment for ecosystem services program for improving ecological conditions and farmers’ livelihood. Communicating the SLCP outcomes across diverse stakeholder groups in ecological, socio-economic, political and institutional contexts can facilitate the effective implementation of the new round of the SLCP. Experts from various fields involved in the SLCP have developed good connections with governments, agencies, and farmers; therefore they can play an invaluable role in informing urgent policy changes. This study is based upon 24 interviews with the SLCP experts with the aims of assessing their perceptions of ecological, economic, political and social impacts of the SLCP on the Loess Plateau of China, and then gathering their policy recommendations to ensure that the new round of the SLCP would be implemented efficiently. Content analysis based on the grounded theory is used in present study. Judging from expert-based consensual statements from this study’s interviews, the main concerns about the first round of the SLCP on the Loess Plateau are that the dramatic increase in the farmer’s income and livelihood is mainly from off-farm sources rather than the SLCP subsidy, that equitable government compensation is dependent on the outcome of the SLCP, that the aggressive SLCP causes soil drought which have negative effects on ecological restoration, and that the stakeholders’ interaction could be improved. Based on the analyses of the experts’ interviews, the recommendations are summarised as follows: strengthening the farmers’ environmental awareness and vocational skills, establishing multi-source financial supports and flexible compensation mechanisms, establishing participatory planning that requires stakeholder involvement especially farmers and insisting that scientific studies on the ecological restoration of the Loess Plateau must be shared with local governments and farmers.     

丝绸之路经济带上中亚五国水资源一体化管理探析

近年来,中亚五国在淡水资源分配严重不均的不利条件下,实现了水资源利用的改善,主要体现为获取改善水源的人口比例不断上升、年度淡水抽取总量普遍下降和农业用水比例下降。中亚五国水资源利用的改善,得益于各国推行的水资源一体化管理战略,其水资源一体化管理战略强调公众参与原则,实践中体现在建立公众管理的组织机构、搭建公众与政府交流沟通的信息网络平台和制定公众管理的法律法规等方面。我国当前水资源严重不足且管理主体单一,应引入公众管理,建立政府管理主导、公众管理补充的新型水资源多中心管理体系;成立用水户组织,并支持和鼓励利益相关方参与决策;建设和完善信息网络平台,提高公众管理能力;制定配套法律法规,规范公众管理。     

我国互联网金融发展及其风险监管研究——以P2P平台、余额宝、第三方支付为例

互联网金融的代表产品诸如余额宝、P2P、第三方支付对传统银行业务带来冲击和影响,但又蕴藏着机遇与风险,一方面它是互联网时代金融行业创新发展的新阶段;另一方面,其准入无门槛、行业无准则、监管无机构的"三无"现状也隐藏了巨大的信用风险。针对理财产品、信贷平台、第三方支付存在的风险,提出余额宝类互联网金融理财要依托电商生态网络进一步扩张,将医疗服务等多层次产品和服务供应商融入该生态网络,提升交易量;P2P平台可与银行合作,传统金融机构也可开展P2P金融;第三方支付平台要加强监管、缴纳风险准备金、加强立法。     

底子薄、空间窄、生态弱地区发展中政府—市场角色定位研究——以三峡重庆库区为例

三峡重庆库区在经济社会发展中受到经济底子薄弱、发展空间狭窄和生态环境脆弱三重叠加约束,这是新时代推进西部大开发中必须攻克的难题。破解三重约束叠加难题必须正确定位政府和市场在发展中的角色和地位,具体而言,在当前三峡重庆库区追赶全国人民平均生活水平这一特殊时期,应采取政府主角—市场配角模式,三箭齐发：破解经济底子薄弱难题,必须建立内生动力培育长效机制并推动库区经济高质高速发展;破解发展空间狭窄难题,必须跳出库区,在重庆全域范围内来重构生产力和城乡大格局;破解生态环境脆弱难题,必须由长江中下游生态受益区对三峡地区生态建设进行补偿。同时,要积极育新育大育强市场主体;充分发挥市场在库区微观资源配置中的决定作用。     

我国实施MBO对内部人控制的影响

经理层融资收购是公司控制权市场作用的一种表现形式,它不但可以作为公司外部治理机制发挥作用,而且能够影响公司内部治理机制的运作效率。但是,经理层融资收购在解决公司治理结构方面也不是万能的。本文分析了我国实施MBO后新的“内部人控制”问题,提出了相应的政策建议。