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11.
金融资产波动性建模和预测是金融理论与实践中的一个重要课题,已经有了许多建模与预测方法。本文利用我国股市的高频数据进行实证研究,分别运用CARP,模型和GARCH模型进行波动性预测,进而对两个模型的预测能力进行对比,结果表明:CARP,模型在波动性预测方面比GARCH模型的效果更好。 相似文献
12.
W. Scott Bauman C. Mitchell Conover Don R. Cox 《The Journal of Financial Research》2002,25(2):169-186
Previous research finds that large companies previously judged to be excellent growth companies have subsequently been poor investments. We examine small companies selected by Business Week on the basis of multiple criteria used in annual articles featuring highly rated growth companies. We study the investment performance over the three years before eleven annual Business Week publications and the three years after publication. We find positive excess returns in the pre‐publication period, but negative excess returns in the post‐publication period. This reversal in investment performance appears to be due to a mean‐reversion tendency in operating performance, in which the earnings and the past rates of return on capital of such companies subsequently decrease significantly. 相似文献
13.
Mike Adams 《International Journal of the Economics of Business》1996,3(2):213-226
Using 1988–93 panel data drawn from the New Zealand life insurance industry, this paper examines empirically the notion that the choice of distribution system is an efficient contracting solution to incentive conflicts between owners, managers and sales agents in life insurance firms. Consistent with what was hypothesised, the empirical results suggest that choice of distribution system is distinguished by organisational form, firm size, and sales commission. However, contrary to expectations, the variables representing product diversity and asset specificity were found not to be statistically significant. The empirical results thus lend mixed support for prior predictions. 相似文献
14.
Tina Hviid Rydberg 《Finance and Stochastics》1997,1(3):251-257
Simple sufficient conditions for the existence of a unique equivalent martingale measure are provided. Furthermore, these
conditions give us a handle on situations where an equivalent martingale measure cannot exist. The existence of a unique equivalent
martingale measure is of relevance to problems in mathematical finance. Two examples of models for which the question of existence
was unresolved are studied. By means of our results existence of a unique equivalent measure up to an explosion time is proved. 相似文献
15.
Gabrielle Demange 《Economic Theory》2002,20(1):1-27
Summary. This paper defines and studies optimality in a dynamic stochastic economy with finitely lived agents, and investigates the
optimality properties of an equilibrium with or without sequentially complete markets. Various Pareto optimality concepts
are considered, including interim and ex ante optimality. We show that, at an equilibrium with a productive asset (land) and sequentially complete markets, the intervention
of a government may be justified, but only to improve risk sharing between generations. If markets are incomplete, constrained
interim optimality is investigated in two-period lived OLG economies. We extend the optimality properties of an equilibrium with
land and give conditions under which introducing a pay-as-you-go system at an equilibrium would not lead to any Pareto improvement.
Received: October 5, 1998; revised version: April 3, 2001 相似文献
16.
Carlos N. Bouza 《Metrika》2002,56(2):171-179
The estimation of the population mean when ranked set sampling [rss] is used for selecting the sample and non responses [nr]
are present, is studied. The nr stratum is sub sampled using simple random sampling with replacement. Two strategies are analyzed.
One of them is based on the selection of a sub sample from the nr in each cycle. The other uses sub samples selected among
the nr in each rank.
The accuracy of the proposed estimators is characterized by the corresponding expected variances. Simulations and real life
data are used for analyzing the behavior of them.
Acknowledgements: This paper was developed partially during the visit of the author to Université des Antilles et Gouyane. The author gratefully
acknowledges the helpful suggestions of the referees and thanks the support of DAAD for visiting Humboldt University where
a version of the paper version was made. 相似文献
17.
Kent Hargis 《The Journal of Financial Research》2002,25(1):19-38
I examine the effect of different forms of foreign investment liberalization on risk in emerging equity markets, including international cross-listings and closed-end country funds, and in the domestic equity market as foreign investment restrictions are eliminated. I find that in Latin American markets volatility declines significantly with different forms of foreign investment liberalization, and in Asian markets volatility does not increase significantly. Volatility is driven by domestic factors in South America, but the transmission of volatility from the United States to Mexico increases after liberalization. The market risk exposure increases in Argentina after liberalization, in Chile with an index of American Depositary Receipts, and in Thailand with greater foreign ownership, reducing the diversification benefits of these markets. 相似文献
18.
供应链构建的机制分析 总被引:2,自引:2,他引:0
介绍了供应链的概念,交易成本经济学的基本理论,并把二者结合从经济学的角度分析了供应链构建的经济学机理,为供应链理论的发展提供了一个新的研究方向。 相似文献
19.
20.
Efficient Liability Rules: Complete Characterization 总被引:5,自引:0,他引:5
Received May, 18, 2000; revised version received March, 19, 2001 相似文献