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131.
中国外汇储备投资组合选择——基于外汇储备循环路径的内生性分析 总被引:8,自引:0,他引:8
本文从中美两国经济的本质性差异出发,通过刻画中国外汇储备对外投资的"循环路径",构建了包括央行、金融市场和实体经济的斯塔克尔伯格及古诺模型,进而模拟出中国外汇储备对外投资对本国经济的间接贡献、合意的外汇储备投资组合,以及最优外汇储备投资规模。研究结果表明,中国外汇储备投资于美国风险资产的规模将影响外汇储备间接转化为美国对中国FDI的比例。同时,中国央行外汇储备规模及投资策略对危机时期的反应不足。改变外汇储备投资收益的主要方法包括降低居民的相对风险回避系数,通过政策引导促进居民消费,以及大力发展中国金融市场,降低对美国金融市场的依赖程度。 相似文献
132.
Chris M. Alaouze 《Empirical Economics》2003,28(3):599-613
The modified logit model (Amemiya and Nold, 1975) is generalised to the case where the error term is autocorrelated. The
asymptotic distribution (as n →∞ and T →∞) of a feasible GLS estimator of β is derived. Tests of linear restrictions on β and the significance of ρ are presented.
The results of the applied work suggest that the factors which explain the pricing behaviour of manufacturing firms, as reported
in the tendency survey conducted by the Australian Chamber of Commerce and Industry and the Westpac Banking Corporation, include
historical inflation rates of up to 7 quarters and capacity utilisation.
First version received: March 2001/Final version received: July 2002
RID="*"
ID="*" The first draft of this paper was written while the author was on study leave at the Department of Econometrics, University
of Sydney, Australia. 相似文献
133.
Christoph Alsleben 《Journal of Economics》2005,84(3):217-248
Both theoretical work on knowledge spillovers and regional policy initiatives often assume that there exists a general and unanimous advantage for firms to cluster. But opposed to the benefit is the disadvantage of sharing knowledge with other (rival) firms. This paper highlights the “downside” associated with knowledge spillovers and presents a four-stage game of location choice where spillovers result from labour poaching and where the strategic interaction between firms may make them avoid co-location with spillovers. The model provides an explanation for the dispersion of German high-tech industries found in a companion paper. 相似文献
134.
Shurojit Chatterji 《Economic Theory》2002,20(4):837-847
Summary. This paper provides conditions for the almost sure convergence of the least squares learning rule in a stochastic temporary
equilibrium model, where regressions are performed on the past values of the endogenous state variable. In contrast to earlier
studies, (Evans and Honkapohja, 1998; Marcent and Sargent, 1989), which were local analyses, the dynamics are studied from
a global viewpoint, which allows one to obtain an almost sure convergence result without employing projection facilities.
Received: April 7, 2001; revised version: September 5, 2001 相似文献
135.
我国海外投资的战略选择 总被引:1,自引:0,他引:1
夏绘秦 《西安财经学院学报》2003,16(5):20-23
随着国际直接投资的迅猛发展,我国海外投资事业也在不断扩展。但是,目前存在的问题除了投资规模偏小,分散经营和缺乏高素质跨国经营人才外,主要是缺乏战略性思考。本文主要从投资主体、投资地区、投资产业三个方面提出我国海外投资的战略选择,旨在于使海外投资事业有更进一步的发展。 相似文献
136.
137.
高技术产业与经济增长关联性的实证分析 总被引:3,自引:0,他引:3
文章通过1995~2004年高技术产业的相关数据,建立了数学模型,运用实证分析的方法,求得我国和典型地区高技术产业各行业对GDP的产出弹性,得出不同地区均有各自优势行业的结论,同时还分析了高技术产业对我国三次产业的调整作用,为我国高技术产业发展规划提供决策参考。 相似文献
138.
Abstract. This paper explores the extent to which majority rule is invulnerable to manipulation by individuals and coalitions, even
when majority rule is used to select more than one alternative. The resulting rule may or may not be strategy-proof, depending
on the size of the coalitions that can form, and on the nature of the individual preferences over sets of alternatives. No
individual can manipulate with respect to a wide family of preferences over sets. The only restriction on the domain of true and revealed
individual preferences is that the selection rule is always well defined.
Received: 1 November 1999 / Accepted: 7 May 2001
We thank two anonymous referees for suggestions that have significantly improved the paper. We are also grateful to l'Université
de Caen for sponsoring a Workshop on Social Choice Theory, where a first draft of this paper was presented in May, 1999, and
to the workshop participants for helpful observations. Work on the final version of the paper was done while one of the authors
was a guest of the Project on Intergenerational Equity supported by the Ministry of Education, Science, and Technology of
Japan. We are grateful to the Ministry and to the project leader, Professor Kotaro Suzumura, for their support. 相似文献
139.
Simple models of local government behavior predict equal effects of private income and unconditional federal grants on local
government expenditures. Numerous empirical analyses, however, find that the effect of grants is larger than the income effect.
We argue that this flypaper effect may be a result of weak political leaderships in multi–issue and multi–party decision–making
environments. In multi–issue institutions, a strong political leadership may reduce inefficiency due to interest group influence
and inter–party bargaining in the local council. Utilizing data for Norwegian local governments in the 1930s, we find that
political strength reduces the size of the flypaper effect. When the local council consists of only one political party, we
cannot reject absence of a flypaper effect, while the flypaper effect is large in fragmented local councils.
Received: June 2000 / accepted: February 2001 相似文献
140.
Tadeusz Bednarski 《Metrika》2002,55(1-2):27-36
An estimation method is presented which compromises robust efficiency with computational feasibility in the case of the generalized
Poisson model. The formal setup is built on flexible nonparametric extensions of the underlying model. The estimation efficiency
is expressed via minimax properties of tests resulting from expansions of estimators. The nonparametric neighborhoods related
to the proposed score function are exemplified and a real data case is analysed. The resulting method balances several qualitative
features of statistical inference: strong differentiability (asymptotic derivations are more accurate), efficiency and natural
model extension (quality of formal basic assumptions). 相似文献