增长失衡与政府责任——基于社会性支出角度的分析

当前中国的发展出现了以国富与民生关系失衡为本质特征的增长失衡。本文从教育、医疗和社会保障等与民生有关的政府责任切入,指出当前中国与民生状况直接相关的政府社会性支出的不足,是导致增长失衡的重要原因。为此,政府应在提供教育、医疗和社会保障等方面承担起基本的责任,加快财政支出结构转型,增加社会性支出的比重,改善民生状况,纠正增长失衡;并通过社会性支出的增加,促进人力资本积累,推动增长路径的转变,实现经济长期健康发展。     

Inter-enterprise arrears in economies in transition

In the context of economies in transition, the paper argues that an excessive liquidity squeeze could throw the economy into a persistent state of low economic activity. In such bad equilibrium, enterprise transactions become largely demonetized, with a chain of arrears, a form of involuntary credit, spreading over the entire system. The empirical analysis of the Romanian experience seems to support the view advanced in the paper.     

分析国际资本流动趋势调整武汉招商引资思路

如果要在更大规模上吸引外资投资于武汉市制造业,必须把握国际资本流动的特点和发展趋势,以适时制定与之相匹配的前瞻性外资战略和政策.本文在阐述国际资本流动特点的基础上总结了目前外资流动的四大趋势:中国吸引外资扩大化趋势;并购化趋势;流向政策透明地区趋势;产业集群显现优势趋势,以期对武汉市政府制定相应外资政策提供借鉴.     

Unemployment insurance: The role of electoral systems and regional labour markets

Levels of insurance against unemployment vary considerably across countries. Replacement rates, the ratio relating income from unemployment to what people earned when they were employed, are higher in countries with proportional electoral systems than in countries with majoritarian systems. Also, replacement rates are positively correlated with per capita income and negatively correlated with the countries' unemployment rates. I develop an electoral competition model that replicates these stylized facts.     

The long-run effects of the real exchange rate on employment and wages in Canadian manufacturing

ABSTRACT

The literature on real exchange rate effects on the labour market is dominated by short-run analysis showing that there is heterogeneity in the responses of firms or industries to a real exchange rate shock. Analysing data on Canadian manufacturing industries, I conclude that there is a common long-run equilibrium across all manufacturing industries controlling for their openness to trade after varying adjustments to a real exchange rate shock have taken place. This conclusion is important from the perspective of policy making because it helps to form expectations about the effects of a real exchange rate movement on the labour market. The results suggest that real appreciation leads to economically significant reductions in employment in manufacturing in the long run. Real wages decrease in industries that are highly engaged in international trade and somewhat increase in industries that are relatively closed to international trade. Both employment and real wages converge quickly to the long-run equilibrium.     

资本预算中管理期权理念及其定价分析

传统的资本预算方法认为投资机会一旦出现,就应该立即进行投资,事实上企业不仅可以决定是否投资于某项目,而且可以决定何时从事该项目的投资,我们称之为管理期权。本文利用二叉树和复制技术对隐含在投资项目中的管理期权进行了定价,并指出"二叉树法"低估了管理期权的价值。     

人力资本价值、外部性与产权

人力资本价值包括使用价值和稀缺性价值,随着经济形态的演变,人力资本价值将上升,而且人力资本具有极强的正外部性,这是人力资本产权确立的重要基础.我国在进行物质资本产权制度改革的同时必须尽快建立一个有效的人力资本产权制度,以促进人力资本的形成和有效利用,这是我国在知识经济时代能否实现现代化目标、赶上发达国家的重要前提.     

对福建资本市场推动"海西战略"产业发展的分析

从"海西战略"产业发展的要求出发,分析福建资本市场在"海西战略"的产业发展资金筹措、重点行业配置效率、产业转移配置效率等方面的作用与影响,得出福建资本市场对"海西"建设起到了较好的推动作用,必须大力发展福建资本市场.     

"净利+利息+折旧"抑或"净利+税后利息+折旧"?——对会计资格考试辅导教材中经营现金净流量计量方法的商榷

计算项目净现值(NPV)等投资决策指标时,现金流量与折现率应具有匹配关系。从两者的匹配关系看,全国会计专业技术资格考试辅导教材《财务管理》一书中的经营现金净流量(NCF)计量公式有欠妥当。因为以项目的加权平均资本成本(WACC)作为折现率时,与之相应的NCF的计量方法不应是教材中的“净利 利息 折旧”,而应该是“净利 税后利息 折旧”,或者是“息税前利润(1-所得税率) 折旧”。     

不确定条件下企业资本结构研究及现实意义

资本结构理论是现代金融理论的重要基石之一。经典的资本结构理论以有效市场为基础,忽视了不确定性对企业融资行为的重要影响。把不确定性纳入企业资本结构模型研究,讨论了在不确定性环境下,如何通过资本结构的优化,实现企业价值最大化,对中国公司融资行为实践有重要的现实意义。