我国社会融资规模的指数化构建分析

我国社会融资规模概念在2010年提出后,一直在不断完善中,2014年2月,央行也首次公布了地区社会融资规模的统计结果。社会融资规模作为一项比新增贷款更为全面的货币政策中介指标,能够反映人民币贷款体现不出来的问题,但其在要素构成方面一直有较多探讨。本文对我国2002年1月至2013年12月的社会融资规模数据进行指数化研究,得出各指标的不同权重,试将社会融资规模指数化,以便更好的利用于研究分析中。     

社会资本视角下微型金融与贫困居民收入增长研究

本文利用百色市432户贫困农户的问卷调查数据对微型金融与贫困居民收入增长之间的关系进行了实证分析,结果显示：微型金融对百色市贫困居民收入存在直接影响,但影响程度较小;微型金融通过社会资本途径对提高贫困居民的收入水平作用明显.因此,应充分发挥微型金融在反贫困中的作用.     

投资者异质信念影响股票价值溢价吗？--基于分析师收益预测的角度

本文利用资产组合分析和包含分歧风险因子的多因素模型,分析了投资者异质信念对股票价值溢价的影响。研究结果表明：投资者异质信念对价值型股票组合和流通市值大的股票组合的价值溢价具有显著影响,且投资者异质信念程度越大,这类股票组合的价值溢价也越大。     

General Equilibrium Analysis of International TFP Growth Rates

The paper presents a study of the total factor productivity (TFP) performance among developed countries between 1985 and 1990. The analysis includes the three large economies: the US, Japan and Europe. A general equilibrium model of these economies is used to estimate TFP growth at the sectoral and at the aggregate levels. The model is based on the fundamentals of the economies and employs only data on input-output flows, factor inputs across sectors, consumption and trade patterns and endowments. Prices are endogenous in the model. They are obtained as shadow prices from the model's linear program and then used to measure TFP growth and decompose it in a technical change effect, a demand effect and a terms-of-trade effect. The technical change effect is highly correlated with the conventional Solow residual measure. This result lends support to the standard measure of technological change.     

国内政府效能问题研究综述

政府效能作为行政管理和现代政府能力的核心,对政府改革的成败起着关键性的作用。近年来,随着政府机构改革的深入,效能建设越来越多地受到各地方政府的重视,这使得政府效能问题在国内迅速成为一个新的研究热点。文章整理和分析国内现有文献资料,从政府效能的概念、影响因素以及评价指标体系3个方面对目前国内政府效能的研究现状进行综述,期望对进一步的研究工作提供参考。     

国内政府职能问题研究综述

政府效能作为行政管理和现代政府能力的核心,对政府改革的成败起着关键性的作用。近年来,随着政府机构改革的深入,效能建设越来越多地受到各地方政府的重视,这使得政府效能问题在国内迅速成为一个新的研究热点。文章整理和分析国内现有文献资料,从政府效能的概念、影响因素以及评价指标体系3个方面对目前国内政府效能的研究现状进行综述,期望对进一步的研究工作提供参考。     

Two Types of Disagreement in Group Discussions of Japanese Undergraduates

In this study we investigated the nature of disagreement, which is a necessary component of a good discussion. We obtained 27 group discussion scenes by Japanese undergraduates that were evaluated by two ways: impression rating and ranking. As a result of factor analysis for the impression rating data, five factors were extracted: activeness, multidirection and unification of discussion, relationships of participants, development and sophistication of discussion, and sincerity of the participants, and each factor scores of each scene was simultaneously calculated. Each scene’s rank score was also calculated by relative comparisons. A significant positive correlation was found between the mean factor and the rank scores except for Factor 3 (relationships of participants). To consider the reason for the difference relating to Factor 3’s score, we scrutinized the discussion process of four scenes of the different patterns of the factor and rank scores. From the analysis of conversations, we suggested that this difference reflected ways of disagreement. By introducing a probative discourse tags for discussion (pDTD), we reasoned that the frequency of disagreement made Factor 3’s score negative and the absence of the second part of adjacency pairs made the rank score worse. The explicit speech and actions of blame such as emotional and aggressive expression, and neglect of treatment for the minor opinion made also the discussion unfair, but we think that these behaviors might erupt from the ground made by the accumulated implicit behaviors such as the absence of the second part. We finally concluded that the criticism type of disagreement increased the rank scores, and its censure type produced lower results, and the proper ways of disagreement in group discussions were discussed.     

INCOME DISTRIBUTIONS IN INPUT-OUTPUT MODELS

The analysis of income distribution (ID) has traditionally been of prime importance for economists and policy-makers. However, the standard input–output (I–O) model is not particularly well equipped for studying current issues such as the consequences of decreasing access to primary inputs or the effects of specific redistributive policies. This paper addresses this gap in the existing literature. We propose that IDs can excellently be studied by restructuring the I–O relations. A new coefficients matrix is defined, the so-called augmented input coefficients matrix. This matrix is the sum of the intermediate input coefficients matrix and newly constructed matrices of sector-specific input coefficients that represent the existing distribution of income. We show that shifts in the distribution can be modelled by attributing weights to these matrices and vary these according to system-specific rules. Numerical illustrations based on the existing literature are given throughout the paper.     

影响新疆稳定和长治久安的主要因素及对策分析

新疆地处亚欧大陆腹地,邻近中亚、南亚、西亚国家,是我国对外开放的重要门户,是欧亚大陆通道的重要枢纽。新疆发展和稳定,关乎全国改革发展稳定大局,维护新疆社会形势稳定和长治久安意义重大。