Prospect theory in the wild: how good is the nonexperimental evidence for prospect theory?

ABSTRACT

Prospect theory is widely thought to be one of the best-confirmed accounts of human decision-making under risk. There are numerous claims in the literature that various kinds of nonexperimental, observational evidence provide strong support for prospect theory. We investigate the veracity of these claims using a set of philosophy of science morals and a careful delineation of models of choice under risk, focussing on the extant versions of prospect theory and their various components. We challenge the claim that prospect theory is well supported because it explains the equity premium puzzle. In addition, we analyse a major international survey thought to support prospect theory and argue that the support is questionable, both for statistical reasons and because the evidence itself is mixed. Our analyses highlight some important ideas in the philosophy of science and caution against strong claims about support for prospect theory that rely on nonexperimental, observational evidence.     

试论“治道”与中国管理哲学

本文针对牟宗三先生所提出的“政道”与“治道”说,考察了中国传统思想史中“治道”概念的内涵,认为所谓“治道”,其广义的指涉范围包括了中国古代学者们针对如何治理国家的问题所提出的理论、学说、思想等构成的以“治国平天下”为宗旨的知识体系。从管理哲学的角度,研究中国传统治道思想,也是可能的。     

“连接自然与文化” ① ：西方哲学背景下 的全球议题

文化遗产保护是动态发展的概念，总结了文化景观 的3类意义：1)文化景观作为物质实体；2)文化景观作为概念 和过程；3)文化景观作为方法和工具。指出当前世界遗产及 文化景观保护中存在的自然和文化分离现象，揭示了西方哲学 的二元两分法的背景根源。介绍了IUCN和ICOMOS为融合 自然与文化而进行的“连接实践项目”和“自然文化之旅”2 个项目，推广他们在不同地理和文化背景下，为更好地连接自 然与文化遗产的治理和管理实践所作出的杰出贡献和引领作 用，主张非西方原住民社区、地方社区应该在推进“自然文化 之旅”工作中占有核心地位。     

构建计算(机)哲学体系的探索研究

分析了计算教育的现状,给出了计算哲学的概念,提出了计算哲学的基本框架,探讨了构建计算哲学的客观依据和现实意义。     

The relationship between technology and science: Some historical and philosophical reflections. Part I

This essay offers a detailed review of the literature on the relationship between technology and science. It is in two parts. Part I begins by describing science and technology, and the differences between them. It then discusses the commonly-held technology-as-applied-science (TAS) view; the origins of this view, the support for it, and the strong historical and philosophical challenges to it, beginning more than half a century ago, are explored. The development of the steam engine is then offered as a brief case study to illustrate that science-technology relations are more complex than implied by the TAS view. Part I concludes with a consideration of ontological arguments supporting the reverse view, namely that technology is often a necessary precursor to science.Part II, to be published in a following issue, explores some of the consequences of the TAS view. One consequence is that it has generated a story-line in which scientific ideas are emphasised and other factors necessary for technological innovation have been down-played. Another consequence is that, even in cases where technology does apply scientific knowledge, the process of application is often considered obvious; the difficulties of translating ideas into artefacts may not be appreciated. The essay argues for the telling of a more complex story of science-technology relations, one which recognises their historical independence in the past, and their mutual, two-way interaction in many modern fields of endeavour. It concludes with a consideration of some economic and educational implications.     

资产评估法律责任的法律法规分析

我国资产评估行业经过十几年的迅速发展，已经成为与注册会计师和律师并列的三大中介服务行业之一，是我国市场经济体系的重要组成部分。然而，近几年证券市场上公开披露的重大违规案例，很多都直接或间接与资产评估有关，尤其“麦科特”公司虚假上市案，资产评估“诉讼爆炸”时代即将来临，资产评估法律责任引起广泛关注。本从资产评估法律责任的相关法律法规的比较入手，找出了其存在的问题，并进行了理论分析。     

石化企业提高信息管理水平试析

面对经济全球化及因此而引发竞争日益加剧的情况，石化企业如何更好地满足客户的需求，提高企业自身的经济效益，将是石化企业向市场转轨过程中亟待解决的问题。文章从石化企业资源及建立企业模型入手，从企业总体发展战略的高度，采用现代管理思想和先进的信息技术来改造传统石化企业，从而提高企业自身竞争力，应对经济全球化发展的挑战。     

日本民事诉讼法学的理论演变与解释方法论

解释方法论在日本民诉法研究中并不是显著的命题。长期以来,日本民诉法解释并不特别重视法律条文和立法者本意,解释方法论遵循的主要是利益衡量论,近年始有学者对它提出批判。日本民诉法解释方法论选择既源于民事诉讼法的目的被定位于纠纷解决,也与战后比较法研究中利益衡量论的引入有关。日本民诉法利益衡量论有别于民法中的利益衡量论,也有别于受德国法影响的亲实体法解释方法论,这种方法论并不局限于衡量或分配原被告之间的财产或价值,更多地蕴含了对作为制度利用者的当事人的便利、 制度运营者的公共利益、民事诉讼程序的动态发展等要素的考量。     

论旅游是合乎人性的生存——对旅游现象的哲学生存论诠释

以人的生存性发展为理论焦点的哲学生存论认为:人的存在叫做生存,生存的本质是超越。超越总是指向未来的某种可能性,人类的进化史揭示出这种可能性总是指向更好生存的向度。因此,生存的超越性使得谋求更好的生存成为人的本性。人性具有生成性、累积性和复杂化的特征,是对人的本性的具体化和现实化,而这个现实化的过程就是人生。文章认为,为了实现人的本性,旅游活动从迁徙和旅行活动中生长出来,成为一种合乎人性的善的生活。生存论认为旅游和人相互生成:旅游只对人发生,只有人才旅游;旅游是人的一种更好的生存方式,旅游必然对人发生;旅游是人对现实的超越,是谋求更好生存的人的本性的实现。因此,在现代社会,旅游是人性的重要组成部分,是对人的本性的实现。     

绿色发展理念在高职教师队伍建设中的应用

绿色教育是现代高职教育持续健康发展必须坚守的理念,而践行绿色教育理念核心之一是在师资队伍建设中切实提高教师的整体素质。从生态教育思想出发,针对教师队伍的建设与完善问题,找寻绿色教育发展理念在教师队伍素质提高、知识结构调整、师资队伍学术氛围营造及稳定教师队伍等方面应用的基本思路,对高职教师队伍的建设与完善有一定的指导意义。