Adjustment to trade reform in Ecuador

This paper simulates output adjustments and income redistribution in Ecuador with the emerging Free Trade Agreement of the Americas (FTAA). The Specific Factors (SF) model of production is used to develop comparative statistics elasticities of changing prices on factor prices and output as Ecuador adjusts to free trade. Skilled and unskilled labor stands to lose due to falling prices in the services and agricultural sectors. Returns to capital and output fall in sectors exposed to import competition while they increase in sectors expected to enjoy higher export demand. The magnitude of the adjustment is large.     

Unintentional drowning in urban South Africa: a retrospective investigation, 2001–2005

Drowning is a major public health concern in low- and middle-income countries. In South Africa there is sound information and an emerging knowledge base for drowning prevention. However, there remains a scarcity of analyses of drowning in the country. The purpose of this analysis was to quantify the magnitude and describe occurrence of unintentional drowning deaths in five major South African cities, recorded between 2001 and 2005 by the National Injury Mortality Surveillance System. Drowning in South African cities occurred at rates of between 1.4 and 2.7/100,000 population. The majority of drowning occurred among males, while the highest rates were observed among 0–4 year olds. Most drowning deaths occurred during recreational periods, over weekends and in the afternoon. Of adult drowning victims, 41.5% were alcohol-positive at the time of death. This study is based on one of only two known systematic sources of drowning mortality in Africa. It provides an indication of drowning rates in South African cities with young children and males at considerably more risk. The most likely locations for drowning varied from city to city. Among adult victims, especially men, alcohol is an important risk factor.     

Estimating profit efficiency among South African retail firms using stochastic frontier approach

This paper analyses profit efficiency of selected retail firms in South Africa over the 2005–2006 period. A stochastic frontier analysis method is used. The 24 retail firms covered are ranked in terms of their efficiency performance over this period. Their efficiencies have also been tracked over time. Approximately 50% of the firms are estimated to have profit efficiency estimates higher than the average estimated for the sampled firms. The top 10 firms are performing significantly better than the average profit efficiency of 0.39. The profit efficiency of the top three firms is more than double the observed average profit efficiency performance of the sampled retail firms. However, the bottom 50% of the retail firms has performed poorly.     

An analysis of stability of the north–south growth model of trade: Saddle-path stability of the generalized grossman–helpman model with skilled and unskilled labours

Abstract

Following the Common Agency approach to political equilibrium, we examine how domestic interest groups can influence national policies toward FDI and how the choice of instrument by the government can affect lobbying activities. Domestic firms lobby for lower subsidies when a discriminatory subsidy on FDI is applied. However, when a subsidy is applied uniformly to both groups, they may lobby for higher subsidies. The nature of lobbying is also different for proportional and lump-sum profit subsidies when uniformly applied. The qualitative effect of the number of domestic firms or the degree of corruption on the equilibrium depends on the choice of instruments. Finally, with the help of numerical simulation, we examine whether there is any potential conflict between the government and the lobby groups on the choice of the instrument.     

Climate Change and Trade Opportunity in Climate Smart Goods in Asia: Application of Gravity Model

This article highlights the export potential trade gap in climate smart goods (CSG) in Asia in 2008. Using the trade gravity equation, this article estimates trade value and measures potential trade gap. This potential trade gap suggests that there is a scope to increase the export of CSG. This study identifies individual trade partners and focuses on the trade opportunity in CSG in Asia.     

Employee Flow as an Integrated and Qualitative System: Impact on Business-to-Business Service Quality

Purpose: This article develops and tests the effect of a complete model of employee flow on business-to-business (B2B) customer service outcomes.

Methodology: Employee flow in organizations refers to all inflows, outflows, and internal movements of staff, and is a crucial human resources area. However, research rarely deals with employee flow as a whole. Instead, studies generally limit themselves to individual employee flow aspects, such as employee turnover, and limit outcomes to internal organizational issues. This study employs hierarchical regression and structural equation to model the effect of an integrated and qualitative measure on B2B service quality through the INDSERV scale.

Findings: Employee flow, especially net outflows, affects service quality perceptions through various mediated relationships. Employee flow affects outcome quality through potential and soft process quality and impacts hard process quality through potential quality. Relationship frequency, supply chain integration of the customer, and environmental characteristics are significant moderators.

Research implications: The introduction of complete employee flow as a predictor variable is a research advance and can be extended to many research settings. Confirmation that INDSERV scales have an internal progression is new and informs future model building.

Practical implications: Managers, especially in bigger and service-oriented companies, might employ integrated employee flow indices as a practical management metric. The tendency of B2B processes to separate client and customer staff (e.g., through technological bridges and call centers) is discouraged by the finding that employee flow affects outcomes partly through soft process, relational quality. Managers should attend to frequency and customer integration.

Contribution: The use of integrated and qualitative employee flow models in modeling service outcomes, especially in B2B settings, is an original contribution, as is the hitherto untested progression within the subconstructs of the INDSERV B2B service quality scale.     

The “Dominos” that Need to Fall into Place for a Reunification of Korea: Making Sense of a United Korea

With the death of North Korea leader Kim Jong-il, the level of uncertainty will dramatically escalate in an already highly uncertain market. The question becomes, is there a market opportunity for Western organizations, and when should Western organizations attempt to enter North Korea? In addition, there is a large question looming over the potential changes in the country, that being, if and when reunification with South Korea will occur. This article examines the potential of a unified market on the Korean peninsula.     

South African Managers' Perceptions of Prospective South African-US Joint Ventures

Abstract

This study explores South African managers' expectations of prospective South African-United States international joint ventures. One hundred and three middle level South African managers responded to a theory-based original survey questionnaire that included questions about various aspects of prospective US-South African joint ventures. US companies invest in South Africa to gain access to its market and South African companies get into joint ventures with US companies to tap into their financial resources. US government's imposed tariffs and South African government's administrative barriers seem to be the most crucial problems for the prospective joint ventures. Implications for international managers are offered.     

北京市南窖沟域产业转型发展路径研究

创新沟域经济建设模式,对资源型地区实现经济顺利转型和发展具有重要意义。本文通过对房山区南窖沟域深入调研,总结并阐述了在煤矿产业退出后,该沟域通过科技创新助力,构筑产业基础;依靠文化创意推动,培育产业融合关键节点;实施生态工程带动,优化人居环境及调动内外因素积极性,推动区域经济转型,实现了沟域经济发展和农民增收。尽管如此,南窖沟域面临经济下滑趋势、环境和基础设施薄弱、历史遗留事件未能有效解决等问题。应继续加大财政转移的支付力度、动员社会力量参与经济建设、巩固农业基础产业、强化政府服务职能,以促进沟域健康可持续发展。     

The impact of tourism on poverty in South Africa

This paper evaluates the potential impact of tourism on poverty in South Africa on the basis of recent survey data on international tourism spending patterns. It looks at three scenarios, using an applied general equilibrium model. The main finding is that the poor benefit very little in the short term from additional tourism income. A further finding is that domestic and international tourist expenditure affect the economy differently; both markets are therefore important. In essence, the research confirms that tourism receipts can be used as a tool to alleviate poverty, but in South Africa this must be supported by policies that focus on the labour market and human resource development.