论接续犯的认定

接续犯属于实质的一罪,而连续犯属于实质的数罪。二者区别的关键在于数个危害行为在时间上的密接性程度。在理解接续犯的既遂形态时,应当将数个危害行为作为一个整体。     

Arjo Klamer,Conversations with Economists: New Classical Economists and Opponents Speak Out on the Current Controversy in Macroeconomics.

The impotency of fiscal policy resulting from budget deficits is called into question. Empirical observation is used to separate the underlying mechanism of the economy from the “intellectual toys and games” that constitute much of macroeconomics theory today.     

Last chance tourism and the Great Barrier Reef

The publically documented decline in health of the Great Barrier Reef (GBR) has led to its labelling, in media and academic literature, as a last chance tourism destination. That is, a place tourists travel to experience before it is gone. While the GBR has been labelled as such, no empirical evidence has identified that this is actually occurring. This article explores if tourists are motivated to visit the GBR to see it before it's gone, and examines the level of concern tourists have about the range of issues that are threatening the GBR. Drawing on 235 questionnaires with on-site tourists, the results indicate that tourists are seeking travel to the GBR in a bid to see the reef before it's too late. These tourists – identified as “seeking a last chance experience” – were also found to be more environmentally conscious, and have a higher level of concern about the overall health of the GBR. In terms of threats to the GBR, respondents indicated that they were mainly concerned about coral bleaching/disease and climate change, with tourism only considered as a moderate to low concern. The implications of this are discussed.     

Adversarial and Amiable Inference in Medical Diagnosis,Reliability and Survival Analysis

In this paper, we develop a family of bivariate beta distributions that encapsulate both positive and negative correlations, and which can be of general interest for Bayesian inference. We then invoke a use of these bivariate distributions in two contexts. The first is diagnostic testing in medicine, threat detection and signal processing. The second is system survivability assessment, relevant to engineering reliability and to survival analysis in biomedicine. In diagnostic testing, one encounters two parameters that characterize the efficacy of the testing mechanism: test sensitivity and test specificity. These tend to be adversarial when their values are interpreted as utilities. In system survivability, the parameters of interest are the component reliabilities, whose values when interpreted as utilities tend to exhibit co‐operative (amiable) behavior. Besides probability modeling and Bayesian inference, this paper has a foundational import. Specifically, it advocates a conceptual change in how one may think about reliability and survival analysis. The philosophical writings of de Finetti, Kolmogorov, Popper and Savage, when brought to bear on these topics constitute the essence of this change. Its consequence is that we have at hand a defensible framework for invoking Bayesian inferential methods in diagnostics, reliability and survival analysis. Another consequence is a deeper appreciation of the judgment of independent lifetimes. Specifically, we make the important point that independent lifetimes entail at a minimum, a two‐stage hierarchical construction.     

我国上市公司外部融资偏好的成本动因分析

按照西方融资方式的“啄食”顺序理论,企业的外部融资顺序应先债券融资后股权融资。我国股权融资相对于债券融资具有资本成本、代理成本、信息成本和寻租成本的优势,使上市公司的外部融资顺序出现了“重股权融资、轻债券融资”的偏好。应从完善公司治理结构、规范信息披露、着力发展资本市场、加快形成经理人市场等方面入手,以改变不合理的融资现状。     

高新技术企业创新体系研究

创新是高新技术企业发展的动力和源泉。本文试从建立以技术和高新技术产业化为主体的人才库、增中科技投入、建立技术创新体系和与市场紧密联系的研究开发与生产的运行机制、以及营造有利于企业创新的竞争环境等方面，来阐述高新技术企业的创新。     

论全球化对社会主义的影响

全球化是一个客观的历史过程.全球化既对社会主义提出了挑战,又为社会主义的发展提供了历史机遇.社会主义国家应抓住时机,发展自己,关键是发展经济.     

处于后配额时代的中国纺织业

纺织品配额的取消对中国纺织业的发展既是机遇又是挑战,配额取消后,阻碍贸易的因素仍然存在,如美、欧盟的设限及反倾销。此外我国纺织企业本身存在很多不足,如出口现状仍是靠数量和低价取胜,品牌不具国际性等。我国纺织业若能借此良机,改变经营方式,提高品质,最终实现由中国制造向中国品牌的转变,才能自如参与“后配额时代”的全球竞争。     

农民增收的现实选择与方向：一种政策倾向

现实中,农业的成功和农民增收困难之间的悖论,反映出对农业不切实际的苛求。本文旨在说明,要构建良好的农民增收机制,寻求农民增收减负的现实途径,必须要靠经济长期发展。其政策含义是:保持宏观政策与体制改革方向的相容性,实现发展阶段的适时转换。     

国有大中型企业在市场经济中的机遇和挑战

对企业来说,建立社会主义市场经济,既是一种机遇,也是一种挑战。如何抓住机遇,迎接挑战,对企业至关重要。为此企业应积极更新观念,树立现代管理思想;建立适应市场经济的运行机制;并应采用先进、高效的管理方法和手段,以便增加企业的市场竞争能力。