宏观审慎政策:选择什么目标,需要什么工具

包括逆周期性资本比率、动态准备金、贷款价值比率、资本管制等在内的现有宏观审慎政策工具,分别有不同的效果及其局限性,而且宏观审慎政策的有效实施需要与货币政策、财政政策协调配合。因此,采取谨慎还是积极的政策框架取决于理论研究和政策试验的结果。     

对政策性金融机构法律地位的理论思考

在指出我国政策性金融机构已运作20余年却仍无专门法律可依的局面、认清政策性金融机构法律地位是立法前提的基础上,明确界定了政策性金融机构的本质特征是公共性,并逐一梳理了公私法人之争、《民法通则》法人之争,最终作出了政策性金融机构是特殊公法法人的论断.     

政策工具视角：中国汽车产业政策的主要问题与对策研究

产业政策对一个产业发展具有重要作用,然而汽车产业政策实施的这些年,我国汽车产业的发展状况并没有明显的改善。文章以《汽车产业发展政策（2009年修订）》为例,采用定量的政策工具分析框架研究方法,结合产业政策强制性和产业活动类型两个维度进行了文本分析。研究结论发现汽车产业政策中存在的诸多问题,如信息传播和规劝政策工具过多、政府管制过度、私人市场方面的政策工具相对较少以及研发重视不足。最后文章据此提出增强汽车产业政策的导向性和操作性、充分发挥市场机制作用、加大研发投入力度等政策启示。     

Rent Management – The Heart of Green Industrial Policy

At the heart of green industrial policy is rent management: government creating and withdrawing opportunities for profitable investment. This paper asks what the key factors are for rent management to succeed. Drawing on a range of literatures, the paper first deals with the critical success factors for ‘normal’ rent management and then turns to one of the most pressing and controversial issues of our time: how to bring about the transition to green energy. This is extra challenging because technological uncertainties are high, time horizons for investment are long, yet action is required now.     

Don't Tax Me? Determinants of Individual Attitudes Toward Progressive Taxation

This contribution empirically analyzes the individual determinants of tax rate preferences. For that purpose, we use representative survey data from the German General Social Survey, which offers information on attitudes toward progressive, proportional and regressive taxation. On the basis of theoretical considerations, we explore the factors which, beyond an individual's financial interest, should drive preferences for progressive taxation. Our empirical results confirm that the narrow redistributive self‐interest does not offer the sole explanation of the heterogeneity in individual attitudes. Rather, we show that the choice of the favored tax rate is also driven by fairness considerations and beliefs on the role of effort for economic success.     

Unlikely Pivotal States in Competitive Free Trade Agreement Diffusion: The Effect of Japan's Trans-Pacific Partnership Participation on Asia-Pacific Regional Integration

How can a state with dysfunctional trade politics spur the negotiation of major free trade agreements (FTAs)? Using the case of Japan's participation in the trans-Pacific Partnership (TPP), we develop an analytical framework on FTA diffusion that takes into account multidimensional (economic, legal and political) competitive pressures, and the ability of states to act as pivots in triggering FTA cascades. We disaggregate the makeup of a pivotal state into two main components – capability and credibility – and underscore Japan's significant latent capabilities, but also its serious credibility shortcomings. The TPP's boost to Japan's credibility raised the possibility of significant economic, legal and political externalities for specific countries which responded by accelerating FTA initiatives that had long stalled: the trilateral China–Japan–Korea FTA, a 16-state East Asian FTA and the Japan–European Union trade negotiations. This study extends the theoretical frontier in policy diffusion studies by clarifying the combination of factors that allows some states, but not others, to activate the externalities behind the dissemination of defensive FTAs.     

Industrial Policy and Islamic Finance

Debates on industrial policy have typically focused on interventions in the ‘real’ sector to facilitate the transformation of a resources-based economy to one that is based on manufacturing. Although the financial sector has always figured strongly in these discussions, its development, or rather repression, is almost always considered in the context of serving the ‘real’ sector. In contrast, this paper contributes to the emerging literature on government policies to develop financial sectors into independent and internationally competitive sources of economic growth on their own right through an analysis of the development of Islamic finance in Malaysia. The paper argues that the emergence of Islamic finance in Malaysia, and the country's evolution into a key player of the sector in the global market, can be attributed to developmental efforts or industrial policies adopted by the government. The case of Islamic finance in Malaysia suggests the continuing relevance of industrial policy for developmental purposes. More importantly, it demonstrates that developing countries can chart a path towards services-led growth, the next frontier in economic development.     

增强台州市民营企业自主创新能力的区域政策支持体系建设

针对我国浙江省台州市如何增强民营企业自主创新能力的区域政策支持体系问题,采用实证研究的方法,通过对台州市部分民营企业的问卷调查,分析了增强台州市民营企业自主创新能力提升的区域政策的建设与发展,并进一步探讨了台州市运用区域政策促进民营企业自主创新能力提升的制约因素,最后从优化政策的视角提出建设创新政策支持体系来增强民营企业自主创新能力的对策和建议。     

燃料乙醇政策研究及定价机制探讨

针对目前燃料乙醇行业发展的困境,结合现行法规政策体系、补贴政策和定价机制,分析存在的问题,借鉴美国法规体系、目标标准、补贴措施和RFS实施与管理,提出政策建议、燃料乙醇新定价机制与燃料乙醇推广环节的补偿机制。     

美国量化宽松货币政策对中国经济的冲击效应研究

基于VAR模型,运用2010年12月—2013年3月间中美月度数据,对美国量化宽松货币政策对我国经济影响进行探讨,以期有效化解美国量化宽松货币政策对我国宏观经济带来的负面冲击,并为此提出科学的理论依据和有针对性的对策方案。