Accounting Policy Disclosures and Analysts' Forecasts

Using an international sample, I investigate whether the extent of firms' disclosure of their accounting policies in the annual report is associated with properties of analysts' earnings forecasts. Controlling for firm‐ and country‐level variables, I find that the level of accounting policy disclosure is significantly negatively related to forecast dispersion and forecast error. In particular, I find that accounting policy disclosures are incrementally useful to analysts over and above all other annual report disclosures. These findings suggest that accounting policy disclosures reduce uncertainty about forecasted earnings. I find univariate but not multivariate support for the hypothesis that accounting policy disclosures are especially helpful to analysts in environments where firms can choose among a larger set of accounting methods.     

我国证券投资基金羊群行为的实证研究

国外的研究显示，发达国家市场机构投资者的羊群行为并不十分明显。作为新兴市场主体的中国机构投资者在这方面的行为特征如何呢？本文使用经典的LSV方法以及Wermers扩展方法，对我国金融市场上以证券投资基金为代表的机构投资者交易行为进行了实证研究。结果发现，我国证券投资基金之间具有较明显的羊群行为，并具有以下特点：同时使用正负反馈操作策略；在流通盘较大和较小的股票上的羊群行为显著；成长型基金的羊群行为显著等。针对这些发现，笔者探究了羊群行为产生的原因，并提出了一些避免过度羊群行为的措施．     

Staging of Venture Financing, Investor Opportunism and Patent Law

Abstract:  Stage financing provides a real option that is valuable when facing external uncertainty. However, it may also induce investor hold-up, if the property rights on an invention are not sufficiently protected. As a consequence, the entrepreneur may not work hard. Investor opportunism is less likely to occur, if investors' residual cash-flow-rights are contingent on verifiable 'milestones' in the previous stage. Equity-linked financing also provides high-powered incentives to the investor not to 'steal the idea' because his payoff becomes sensitive to the project value. The paper provides a new explanation for both types of contractual provisions.     

我国证券公司法人治理结构规范与发展探析

证券公司法人治理结构的规范与发展是证券公司健康发展的内在需要 ,也是我国证券市场乃至国民经济健康发展的需要。本文通过阐述公司法人治理结构的基本范畴、治理原则、组织形式 ,阐明其基本作用 ,通过比较国际上证券公司法人治理结构的特点及我国特征 ,指出了中国证券公司法人治理结构存在的问题和缺陷 ,提出完善中国证券公司法人治理结构的具体措施 ,强调了法人治理结构的规范和发展中应进一步鼓励股权结构多元化、分散化 ,积极引入独立董事制度 ,进行以经营者为主体的约束和激励制度创新 ,建立完善风险监控机制和信息披露规则。     

我国证券公司列入客户关系管理(CRM)系统的趋势

适应我国加入世贸组织的需要，我国中小证券公司变革经营管理理念，引进适应本公司发展的管理方式，特别是CRM管理系统将普及征券公司和各类企业中，成为企业必备的管理体系。     

Measuring the Impact of Corporate Investment Announcements on Share Prices: The Spanish Experience

We bring together three disparate strands of literature to develop a comprehensive empirical framework to examine the efficiency of security analysts' earnings forecasts in Singapore. We focus specifically on how the increased uncertainty and the negative market sentiment during the period of the Asian crisis affected the quality of earnings forecasts. While we find no evidence of inefficiencies in the pre-crisis period, our results suggest that after the onset of the crisis, analysts (1) issued forecasts that were systematically upward biased; (2) did not fully incorporate the (negative) earnings-related news; and (3) predicted earnings changes which proved too extreme.     

证券民事赔偿基金制度评价研究

以我国民事赔偿基金制度为研究对象，运用层次分析法设计了证券民事赔偿基金制度的评价指标体系，利用模糊数学方法构建了证券民事赔偿基金制度的评价模型，并尝试对我国证券民事赔偿基金制度的雏形进行了评价。     

Changing the Concepts to Justify the Standards*

In this paper, I discuss the current project to converge the IASB and FASB conceptual frameworks, specifically efforts to purge the converged framework of concepts that hinder the promotion of balance sheet valuation using fair values. I discuss why I believe these efforts to be misguided, based on how investors who analyze financial statements employ accounting information. I focus on stewardship, reliability, and earnings — terms either demoted in importance or at risk of being eliminated in the framework convergence project. I explain their salience to financial statement users and argue against their deletion or demotion.     

Convergence of Real Capital Market Interest Rates—Evidence from Inflation Indexed Bonds

This paper investigates the convergence of long‐term ex ante real interest rates (RIRs) obtained from Canadian, French, UK, and U.S. inflation indexed government bonds. In contrast to previous research, our evidence suggests full convergence in the long run and, hence, capital market integration. For the same sample period, global convergence is rejected for RIRs measured in conventional terms. From these results, we conclude that previous tests of the long‐run real interest rate parity might have suffered from weak measurement of real capital market interest rates.     

Regulatory Uncertainty and Financial Contagion: Evidence from the Hybrid Capital Securities Market

This paper examines the negative market impact that resulted from the insurance regulators’ potential reclassification of 140 hybrid capital securities in spring and summer 2006. It illustrates how financial contagion can spring from a regulatory policy change that lacks transparency. We investigate the impact of the uncertainty surrounding the regulators’ true classification criteria by measuring the effect of the reclassification announcements on hybrid new issue volume, cumulative average abnormal returns, bid‐ask spreads, and yield spreads. The financial contagion adversely affected the entire hybrid capital securities market for six months. The effect was most pronounced among those hybrids that were eventually reclassified as common equity equivalents. It was greater for Yankee Tier 1 hybrids, which had been more popular with insurance firm investors prior to the reclassifications, than among non‐Tier 1 hybrids.