中美第三方物流市场需求的比较分析

第三方物流作为一种新兴的产业在我国飞速发展并得到热切关注。本文描述中美第三方物流发展概况并分析比较中美第三方物流市场需求，从而认识到我国应借鉴美国等西方发达国家经验，加快我国第三方物流发展，特别应加强第三方物流信息与增值服务。     

陕西省建筑业管理模式创新研究

针对陕西省建筑业中存在的问题，站在发展的角度对其管理模式的创新提出了一些设想及相应的措施。     

兰州城市人居环境可持续发展综合评价

在提出兰州市城市人居环境可持续发展评价指标体系和评估方法的基础上,综合分析、评价了兰州城市人居环境可持续发展的整体水平、发展的持续性及其系统的协调状况,并据此对兰州城市人居环境向良性方向发展提出相应的对策建议.     

基于政府职能转变的绩效审计研究

政府部门绩效审计的根本推动力量来源于政府职能的转变。立足科学发展，将实施绩效审计纳入政府职能转变之中。多方位和谐推进，解决实施绩效审计时出现的问题。     

轨道交通对房价影响的范围及时间性研究——基于重庆轨道交通二号线的实证分析

基于重庆轨道交通二号线的实证分析,研究了其对周围房价的影响范围,结果表明其对大渡口区域的影响范围最大为2.5km,同时研究了轨道交通二号线对房价影响的时间性,发现轨道交通线路全面开工和全线竣工通车两个时点均是影响房价幅度的峰值点.     

CMM模型和我国软件业生产过程标准化

CMM模型是国际上最流行的一种软件生产过程标准。本文比较了国内外软件业生产过程标准化的现状,分析了阻碍我国软件业开展CMM评估的原因,并在此基础上,提出在我国推行CMM标准亟待解决的几个主要问题。     

上海世博会的乘数效应

本文主要运用投资乘数模型,对世博会为上海GDP的贡献进行了分析和预测,并对理论乘数效应在举办世博会中的制约因素进行了讨论,为上海市政府的宏观调控提出建议。     

Productivity Growth, Efficiency and Outsourcing in Manufacturing and Service Industries

This paper is a survey of recent contributions to, and developments of, the relationship between outsourcing, efficiency and productivity growth in manufacturing and services. The objective is to provide a thorough and up–to–date survey that provides a significant discussion on data, as well as on the core methods of measuring efficiency and productivity. First, the readers are introduced to the measurement of partial and total factor productivity growth. Different parametric and non–parametric approaches to the productivity measurement in the context of static, dynamic and firm–specific modelling are discussed. Second, we survey the econometric approach to efficiency analysis. The issues of modelling, distributional assumptions and estimation methods are discussed assuming that cross–sectional or panel data are available. Third, the relationship between outsourcing and productivity growth in manufacturing and services is discussed. The correspondence between a number of hypotheses and empirical findings are examined. Examples of varieties of relevant empirical applications, their findings and implications are presented. Fourth, measurement of inputs and outputs in manufacturing and services are discussed. Finally, to promote useful research, a number of factors important to the analysis of outsourcing, efficiency and productivity growth in the service sector are summarised.     

Volatility in the knowledge economy

Summary. We seek to explain the economic volatility of the last 6 years, in particular the rapid expansion and contraction of the knowledge sectors. Our hypothesis is that these sectors amplify the business cycle due to their increasing returns to scale, growing faster than others in an upswing and contracting faster in a downswing. To test this hypothesis we postulate a general equilibrium model with two sectors: one with increasing returns that are external to the firm and endogenously determined - the knowledge sector - and the other with constant returns to scale. We introduce a new measure of volatility of output, a real beta, and derive a resolving equation, from which we prove that the increasing return sectors exhibit more volatility then other sectors. We validate the main results on US macro economic data of real GDP by industry (2-3 digits SIC codes) of the 1977-2001 period, and provide policy conclusions.Received: 18 March 2002, Revised: 16 February 2004, JEL Classification Numbers: D5, D58, E10, L50, L52, O38, O51.Correspondence to: Graciela Chichilnisky     

阴山北麓农牧交错带观光农业资源优势与开发构想--以武川为例

随着经济的发展,在人们生活条件改善和物质水平提高的同时,城乡居民对高质量的生存环境和丰富的业余生活提出了强烈要求,观光农业作为一种全新的旅游方式受到了人们的青睐。内蒙古武川县属阴山北麓农牧交错带,县境内以缓坡丘陵为主,结合当地的带状种植,形成优美的田园风光,且地理条件优越,具有很大的旅游潜力。本文从武川县发展观光农业旅游的意义、区位、资源及政府扶持等优势出发,分析了在武川县建立观光农业园区的可行性,并提出建立田园景观观光区、采摘区、高新技术农业园区和人文历史名胜旅游区的开发构想和建议。