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11.
Countries and companies use foresight studies to manage uncertainty. Environmental scanning and trend analyses are important tools for identifying and monitoring change. Trend analysis requires more than simply extrapolating to the future. The content of communication serves as the basis of inference so those trends could be explored.This research uses an interdisciplinary approach combining media content analysis and factor analysis to discover many ways Turkey and the world may restructure and what the new society may look like as perceived by the individuals who participated in the survey. It determines six types of individuals in Turkey with different personal attitudes towards megatrends. Similarities and dissimilarities with previous studies in Austria and Germany are identified and discussed. 相似文献
12.
Exploring Relationships Between Recreation Specialization,Restorative Environments and Mountain Hikers’ Flow Experience 总被引:1,自引:0,他引:1
This study explored the relationships between the perception of restorative natural environments, specialization in mountain hiking and flow experience. On-site interviews were conducted at mountain huts in the Salzkammergut, Austria, in 2009. The analysis of 369 hikers suggests that a relationship exists among recreation specialization, the perception of restorative environments and flow. With increasing specialization, people are more likely to experience flow. The restorative quality dimensions of “being away,” “fascination” and “compatibility” with the mountainous landscape were positive predictors of flow experience. 相似文献
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Abstract. Tenure decisions depend, among other factors, on a candidate's career age and publication record. We associate publications with journal articles indexed in EconLit and measure publication output in equivalents of both top‐five journal articles and European Economic Review (EER) articles. We find that the average age of a professor in the year of his/her first appointment is 38, i.e. he or she is appointed approximately eight years after completing the PhD. Between 1970 and 2006, the average publication record at the time of the first appointment is equivalent to 1.5 standardized top‐five articles or 2.3 standardized EER articles. Publication records vary across subfields and have become more substantial over time. We predict that someone aspiring to a tenured position after 2011 should aim at an equivalent of four standardized top‐five articles or six standardized EER articles. 相似文献
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15.
Dynamic multidimensional assessment of sustainability at the macro level: The case of Austria 总被引:1,自引:0,他引:1
This paper explores the issue of sustainability at the macro scale employing multi-criteria decision aid (MCDA) methods. The incommensurability of values and the essentially multi-dimensional and dynamic nature of sustainability challenge the use of composite measurement indices. This determined the choice of MCDA methods. Austria was chosen as a case study, due to the wide availability of data, especially on indicators of strong sustainability. The structure of the multi-criteria problem comprised the evolution of different sustainability dimensions over time. The process for selecting criteria included a critical assessment of institutional sustainability agendas (UN, EU and Austrian Government) and theoretical recommendations.After an assessment of MCDA methods, the NAIADE method demonstrated the most suitable properties for sustainability assessment. The application of this outranking approach was undertaken in three separate settings: long-term from 1960 to 2003, medium-term, 1970-1995, and short-term, 1995-2003 with varying numbers of criteria. The response of results to the addition of evaluating criteria and periods was tested. The degree of credibility for accepting preference relations was also employed for sensitivity analysis.According to the results of long-term and medium-term assessments, especially in the weak sustainability setting, sustainable progress is taking place in Austria. In the short term, in the stronger sustainability setting and, especially as the number of criteria increases, more incomparable periods appear and trends are less determined. Moreover, it is shown how results crucially depend on the methodological choices.This is one of the first applications of the multi-criteria tools to the dynamic analysis of sustainability at the macro scale. 相似文献
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Ingrid Behrsin Salvatore Paolo De Rosa 《International journal of urban and regional research》2020,44(1):90-107
This article traces the flow of municipal solid waste from southern Italy through a waste-to-energy facility and district heating system in Austria, examining the roles that waste's transformation from contaminant to commodity to fuel plays in interconnected, distributed, and contested urbanization processes. It contends that, while metabolic circulation hides socioecological costs in one place to facilitate valorization in another, specific spatial configurations emerge through territorialization—of waste economies, in this case—providing the spatial base to realize metabolic flows and to anchor political narratives. A decisive effect is that certain patterns of urbanization become locked-in, impeding alternative metabolic transitions and spatial configurations. Attending to the coproduction of three sites—Naples, Italy; Zwentendorf, Austria; and St Pölten, Austria—through the circulation and transformation of waste and energy the article provides an empirical multi-sited case study of a political ecology of urbanization. 相似文献
17.
Cesare Marchetti 《Technological Forecasting and Social Change》1983,24(3):197-206
The hypothesis that language and DNA represent two stages of the same evolutionary path is briefly evaluated. Volterra equations, so useful in describing the dynamics of competing systems are, in fact, equally efficient in describing social behavior, as shown in numerous examples. The emergence of language first, and science later, interpreted as a metalanguage, are attributed to a “hypercyclization” of basic competing utterances in analogy of hypercyclization of quasi-species of replicating molecules in Manfred Eigen's theory of DNA development and evolution. 相似文献
18.
《Journal of Quality Assurance in Hospitality & Tourism》2013,14(1-2):137-146
SUMMARY In this paper, we describe an international project for developing ‘Wellness Tourism’ across four regions of central Europe. The paper examines this project from the virewpoint of knowledge management and the partnerships involved in this project. 相似文献
19.
《Journal of medical economics》2013,16(1-4):93-106
SummaryThis study evaluated the relative clinical-and cost-effectiveness of venlafaxine (Efectin®, Wyeth Pharmaceuticals, Austria) extended release (ER), venlafaxine instant release (IR) and selective serotonin reuptake inhibitors (SSRIs) in the treatment of major depressive disorder. The study took an Austrian sickness fund perspective and the evaluation originally formed part of a reimbursement submission of venlafaxine ER to the Hauptverband — an umbrella organisation representing the Austrian sickness funds.At the time of the submission venlafaxine IR was reimbursed but published data and clinical practice suggested that it might be clinically inferior, less convenient and less acceptable to patients than the newer ER formulation. We believe this is the first study to directly compare the two venlafaxine formulations.Major depressive disorder is a serious mental illness associated with considerable morbidity and a significant economic burden. An extensive literature review was carried out to retrieve the relevant clinical data and a meta-analysis of the homogeneous data was undertaken to establish the most clinically effective first-line treatment. An Austrian Delphi panel was used to provide treatment pattern data and to estimate outcomes for patients undergoing further lines of treatment. A 16-week time horizon was adopted and decision analysis was employed to model the cost-effectiveness of the respective agents. 相似文献
20.
The decline in the number of farms, seen as one of the main dimensions of agricultural structural change, is presumed to predominantly take place in areas with farming difficulties, such as the disadvantaged European Alpine mountain regions. Especially regarding dairy farms, facing profound changes due to pending EU policy reforms, many questions remain unanswered concerning structural change patterns. This paper presents a follow-up qualitative study that for the first time visualizes a pattern of farm household strategies among Austrian dairy farmers in a specific particularly disadvantaged mountain region. The pattern contains disengaging farms, professionalizing farms, and three differing types of stable reproduction farms. The examination shows that this revealed typology provides a suitable framework for the ex ante indication of agricultural structural change. 相似文献