上海世博会的乘数效应

本文主要运用投资乘数模型,对世博会为上海GDP的贡献进行了分析和预测,并对理论乘数效应在举办世博会中的制约因素进行了讨论,为上海市政府的宏观调控提出建议。     

Productivity Growth, Efficiency and Outsourcing in Manufacturing and Service Industries

This paper is a survey of recent contributions to, and developments of, the relationship between outsourcing, efficiency and productivity growth in manufacturing and services. The objective is to provide a thorough and up–to–date survey that provides a significant discussion on data, as well as on the core methods of measuring efficiency and productivity. First, the readers are introduced to the measurement of partial and total factor productivity growth. Different parametric and non–parametric approaches to the productivity measurement in the context of static, dynamic and firm–specific modelling are discussed. Second, we survey the econometric approach to efficiency analysis. The issues of modelling, distributional assumptions and estimation methods are discussed assuming that cross–sectional or panel data are available. Third, the relationship between outsourcing and productivity growth in manufacturing and services is discussed. The correspondence between a number of hypotheses and empirical findings are examined. Examples of varieties of relevant empirical applications, their findings and implications are presented. Fourth, measurement of inputs and outputs in manufacturing and services are discussed. Finally, to promote useful research, a number of factors important to the analysis of outsourcing, efficiency and productivity growth in the service sector are summarised.     

Volatility in the knowledge economy

Summary. We seek to explain the economic volatility of the last 6 years, in particular the rapid expansion and contraction of the knowledge sectors. Our hypothesis is that these sectors amplify the business cycle due to their increasing returns to scale, growing faster than others in an upswing and contracting faster in a downswing. To test this hypothesis we postulate a general equilibrium model with two sectors: one with increasing returns that are external to the firm and endogenously determined - the knowledge sector - and the other with constant returns to scale. We introduce a new measure of volatility of output, a real beta, and derive a resolving equation, from which we prove that the increasing return sectors exhibit more volatility then other sectors. We validate the main results on US macro economic data of real GDP by industry (2-3 digits SIC codes) of the 1977-2001 period, and provide policy conclusions.Received: 18 March 2002, Revised: 16 February 2004, JEL Classification Numbers: D5, D58, E10, L50, L52, O38, O51.Correspondence to: Graciela Chichilnisky     

Assessing the impact of patent infringement on new product sales

In order to assess the impact of patent infringement on the growth of a new product, a model is developed through the intervention model development processes of Box-Jenkins and Box-Tiao. Physical interpretations of model parameters and determination of associated damages suggest that the model can provide a sound basis for analyzing patent infringement disputes.     

中欧贸易与欧盟技术性贸易壁垒

近年来,技术性贸易壁垒(TBT)已成为发达国家实施贸易保护主义更为隐蔽、更为有效的手段.作为中国第三大贸易伙伴的欧盟,其实施的各种TBT措施对中国的出口产品产生了严重的影响.因此,必须建立欧盟技术性贸易壁垒预警机制,时时监控其新动向;坚持"以质取胜"的原则,大搞技术创新和产品创新,以更高的产品质量标准和专利注册超越其贸易壁垒.     

论民事诉讼回避对象的立法缺陷及完善

民事诉讼程序中回避制度的适用对象因受到当事人知情权和被申请主体资格等限制，在实践中无法得到有效的实现。这与我国回避制度的立法思想、立法技术和回避处理程序的行政化有密切关系。我国立法应当与司法改革的成果相适应，适当扩大回避对象的范围，并从程序性质的重新界定、告知制度的细化、制度之间的衔接等方面来保障当事人申请回避权的实现。     

基于资产质量的会计报表项目附注披露内容改进研究——兼谈可靠性与相关性

传统观念认为可靠性和相关性在大多数情况下此消彼长，不能同方向服务于会计信息使用者。但本文基于封相关性和可靠性关系的重新思考，认为相关性是封会计信息内容的要求，可靠性是封会计信息质量的要求，相关性必须与可靠性相结合才能有效地服务于会计信息使用者。本文以此为出发点，在简要探讨相关性内涵及其与可靠性之间关系的基础上，着重探讨相关性具体信息内容，并主要以资产负债表项目附注披露内容为研究对象，建议改进应收款项、存货、长期股权投资、固定资座、在建工程和无形资产等部分报表项目附注的披露内容，以反映企业资产的变现及预期收益能力，从而提高会计报表决策相关性。     

解读双重贸易技术壁垒:专利与标准的整合

本文通过考察当前国际贸易中日益盛行的双重贸易技术壁垒现象,提出了专利的标准趋势观,并进行了专利与标准的关联分析以阐释双重壁垒的成因及其杠杆效用,文末提供了一些应对思考,以助力企业对双重壁垒的成功跨越。     

国有商业银行资本充足率探析

资本充足率是《巴塞尔协议》的核心内容,是全球银行共同遵守的风险管理标准。然而我国的国有商业银行的资本充足率没有达到规定的标准,影响了这些银行在国际上的评级和融资能力,因此这篇文章的写作目的在于探索国有商业银行提高资本充足率的途径,以提高国有商业银行抗风险的能力,保障整个国家的金融安全。     

知识联盟"学习赛跑"的影响因素分析

通过分析影响知识联盟知识转移的各种因素和联盟动态演进的过程,重新定义了知识联盟成功的含义,并根据“学习赛跑”的理论模型讨论了知识联盟演进过程中各类影响因素的作用,给出了研究知识联盟动态演进过程的因素分析模型,为研究知识联盟提供了新的思路和方法。