不确定性与早期劳动合同 --契约理论的一个新发展

在劳动力市场上 ,劳动者和厂商未来的生产率都具有不确定性。早期劳动合同或签约由于一方面可以保证劳动者被排除在劳动力市场之外 ,同时也保证了厂商被排除在事后职位市场的风险之外 ,因而厂商和劳动者具有签订早期劳动合同的激励。尽管早期劳动合同或签约存在成本 ,但只要事前利益超过事后无效率的损失 ,那么早期劳动合同或签约就会发生。对于那些不能获得完全市场保险的人来说 ,签约是一种帕累托最优。早期劳动合同或签约是市场失灵的一种证明 ,早期劳动合同是一种不完全合同 ,也是一种非正式合同 ,它是对契约理论的一个发展。     

关于我国《证券法》修改的若干思考

<证券法>是我国证券市场的根本大法,对中国证券市场的发展起到了巨大的推动和规范作用,同时也为证券市场长期稳定发展奠定了坚实的法律基础.但随着我国证券市场的快速发展,<证券法>也暴露出不少问题.虽然出于实际操作的需要,相关单位出台了一些通知、规定试图对<证券法>予以补充,但证券法的修改确实已迫在眉睫.对<证券法>的修改应把握前瞻性和着眼大处这两点,充分考虑对投资者保护的民事责任制度、分业管理与混业经营、市场体系的多层次性、与相关法律的协调等十大问题,着眼于整个证券市场长远的发展,在处理现实问题的同时为证券市场的进一步开放和市场发展预留空间.     

QFII制与中国证券市场

随着中国融入世界经济的前进步伐，我国证券市场将迟早向国际资本开放。在目前人民币没有实现自由兑换及外汇管制的条件下，作为过渡措施的QFII制度将引入中国证券市场。本就QFII制度作了初步介绍，对该制度在中国证券市场推行的意义、引入条件及其可能带来的风险进行了初步的分析。     

完善我国社会保障财政制度的法律思考

财政作为社会保障的核心组织者和保障资金的重要提供者，在社会保障中起有着十分重要而独特的作用。本文分析了建立和完善我国社会保障财政制度的必要性，并从社会保障预算、社会保障税、社会保障财政转移支付三个方面对我国社会保障财政制度的法律完善进行了探讨。     

基于忠诚度的知识型员工流失预警管理研究

员工忠诚是员工对企业的行为忠诚与态度忠诚的有机统一.基于忠诚度的知识型员工流失预警指标包括社会环境、员工个人特性、企业状况、领导的影响力、报酬制度、员工在企业的状况等.根据这六个指标确定的指标权重建立的评价集,可计算出员工的忠诚度,从而对员工流失进行预警管理.     

基于金融安全的资本流动：理论解读与中国实证

基于IS-LM-BP模型阐述了资本流动—经济非均衡的生成机制,揭示了资本流入规模、资本流入结构、外汇储备及经常项目是影响一国资本流动金融安全的主要因素。通过建立资本流动影响金融安全的测算体系,对1996～2005年我国资本流动进行了实证分析,结果表明：(1)中国资本流动状况总体较好,状态界定为安全；(2)资本流入规模正常,但期限结构不够合理；(3)现阶段我国资本流动的安全运行有保障。     

Annual report readability and corporate agency costs

Annual reports are the main sources of information for outside investors’ investment decisions and enable shareholders to supervise the management. Difficulties with the readability of these reports may therefore have serious consequences. Using 19,221 firm-year observations of Chinese A-share listed firms from 2001 to 2015, we investigate the association between annual report readability and corporate agency costs, where readability is proxied by report file length and/or file size. We find that firms with better annual report readability experience lower agency costs, and the negative association between readability and agency costs is more pronounced in firms with higher external audit quality, internal control quality or analyst coverage. These results hold after several robustness checks. The positive effect of annual report readability is stronger in private firms than in state-owned enterprises, and becomes stronger after the implementation of new accounting standards in 2007. Readable annual reports can help in monitoring corporate insiders’ opportunistic behavior and thus reduce agency costs.     

我国开放式基金的证券选择和市场时机把握能力研究

运用参数检验方法对我国42只股票型开放式基金的证券选择和市场时机把握能力进行了分年度检验,结果发现,开放式基金在2003年具有较强的证券选择能力,但不具备市场时机把握能力,在2004年上半年显示出了一定的市场时机把握能力,却从总体上表现出负向证券选择能力.基于2003年的基金年报分析显示,开放式基金在对未来市场趋势的预测上存在明显的"羊群行为".     

雇佣模式对员工创新行为的影响机制研究

雇佣模式如何影响员工创新行为已成为企业内外广泛议论的话题。从创新行为的组织影响因素出发,逐渐渗透到个体影响因素,探究工作安全感、组织认同感在雇佣模式与创新行为之间的中介作用,以及雇佣模式与心理契约感知不同维度对创新行为的交互作用。通过对439名不同地区员工调查发现：与无固定期限员工相比,固定期限员工更倾向于表现出较少的建言行为、组织公民行为和角色创新;工作安全感和组织认同完全中介了雇佣模式对建言行为的影响,部分中介了雇佣模式对组织公民行为和角色创新的影响;固定期限员工在交易型和平衡型心理契约感知下,表现为相对消极的组织公民行为和角色创新。     

Bank distress prediction: Empirical evidence from the Gulf Cooperation Council countries

In this paper we apply a simple hazard model to develop an early warning system of bank distress in the Gulf Cooperation Council countries. Specifically, we identify a set of leading indicators of bank distress that are used subsequently to predict the probability of bank failure in these countries. The investigation covers a wide set of bank level variables and other variables including the influence of bank management, competition, diversification, ownership and regulation. Similar to the previous empirical evidence, we found that good management lowers the likelihood of distress. Moreover, competition and diversification were found to be bad for the health of banks. This result is consistent with some empirical evidence on diversification; however, it contradicts the bulk of literature on competition, which suggests a negative influence on the probability of distress. The ownership structure and the capital requirement index were uninformative. Similar to the previous literature, the institutional development index was statistically relevant predictor. The bank specific and other CAMEL type variables as well as the systematic shocks in the financial and macroeconomic environment were all found to be in line with the findings of related empirical studies. Finally, we find that by conditioning on the relevant covariates, a simple hazard model has performed fairly well in predicting bank distress in the GCC countries.