Transitional Change in Poland

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基于中国经济转轨实践的分析方法研究——兼作对“北京共识”合理逻辑的一种解释

与中东欧有意识设计的转轨模式不同,中国经济转轨的实践动因源于如何更好地解决民生问题。这一动因也成为推动和评价转轨绩效的线索,并贯穿始终。迄今的转轨实践证明,转轨必然是一个渐进的制度形成过程,转轨过程、绩效与预期目标之间并不存在一元线性关系。因此,针对转轨过程的分析方法具有十分重要的政策指导作用。本文试图以中国转轨实践为研究对象,通过引入适应能力、路径选择、创新能力等指标,解释中国成功实践中的某种合理逻辑。这样做的意义在于尝试从中国的成功中总结可用于分析的一般性方法,同时也作为对“北京共识”的一种系统阐述。希望这项研究能使“中国模式”更具普世意义。     

China and the Exports of Other Asian Countries

We analyze the impact of China’s growth on the exports of other Asian countries, distinguishing China’s demand for imports from its penetration of export markets. We account for the endogeneity of Chinese exports by applying instrumental variables in a gravity model with country-pair fixed-effects. We find that China’s crowding-out effect is felt mainly in markets for consumer goods and hence by less-developed Asian countries, not in markets for capital goods or by the more advanced Asian economies. Meanwhile, China has been sucking in imports from its Asian neighbors, but this effect is mainly felt in markets for capital goods. Hence, more and less developed Asian countries are being affected very differently by China’s rise. JEL no. E5, F4     

Evaluating the comparative performance of countries of the Middle East and North Africa: A DEA application

Over the past few decades, countries of the Middle East and North Africa (MENA) have achieved varying levels of economic development. In this paper, data envelopment analysis (DEA) is employed to study the comparative performance of selected MENA countries. For 1999, our DEA identified four of the 18 countries studied as the most efficient: Bahrain, Jordan, Kuwait, and the United Arab Emirates. All are from the Middle East, with three being members of the Gulf Cooperation Council (GCC). Yemen was rated as the least efficient of all countries considered in the analysis. A regression analysis showed that the efficiency scores have a significant relationship with the richness of the countries (in terms of GNP per capita) but do not have a significant relationship with the size of the countries (in terms of population). Further, a time-series analysis using the Malmquist Productivity Index (MPI) indicated that the MENA countries achieved higher values of desirable attributes, and lower values of undesirable attributes, in 1999 compared to 1998. During 1998-1999, technology change contributed more to the improvement of MPI than did technical efficiency change.     

政策性金融与开发性金融之辨析及其转型定位研究

政策性金融和开发性金融是本质上截然不同的两个逻辑概念,前者既不是后者的一个初级阶段,后者也不是前者的一个组成部分;政策性金融也必须讲求财务效益,实现非主动竞争性盈利。策性金融理论是发展中的科学理论。我国政策性银行改革的方向,应该是政策性业务与非主动竞争性盈利的有机统一。政策性银行的定位,应该是包括其性质定位和职能定位的有机统一。     

全球消费导向对消费者全球品牌态度的作用及路径研究

本文以消费文化理论和社会认同理论为基础,探讨了在发展中国家,全球消费导向如何影响对于来自发达国家和发展中国家全球品牌的态度。结果表明,全球消费导向能够正面影响对发达国家全球品牌的态度,而且全球认同和民族中心主义在其中发挥互补性中介作用。研究结果证明了全球化背景下消费心理对于品牌态度产生重要影响,从这一角度为发展中国家消费者对发达国家全球品牌的偏好提供了新的解释,并为中国企业建设全球品牌提出了建议。     

Team and organizational resources, strategic orientations, and firm performance in a transitional economy

Firms in transitional economies are learning to develop strategies to exploit new market opportunities though bounded by their lack of market experience and resources as well as institutional and cultural heritage. This paper examines the managerial orientations of top managers in the transitional economy of China by focusing on a firm's team and organizational resources. Specifically, the following antecedents motivate a firm to put more emphases on strategic orientations: the firm has an effective top management team, strong managerial competences, and when the firm has ample endowment of slack resources, social network, and support from the institutional environment. Empirical results support that team orientation, managerial competence, social network, and local institutional support are instrumental in developing market-focused strategic orientations. In addition, strategic orientations with heavy emphases on overall low costs and product innovation relate to higher firm performance.     

发达国家食品安全监管体系及其启示

食品安全是关系到人们生命健康的重要问题,近期“毒奶粉”、“瘦肉精”、“地沟油”、“彩色馒头”等恶性事件频发暴露出我国食品安全监管体系中存在的严重漏洞。本文对发达国家食品监管体系的特点以及在该领域的成功经验进行了分析,对我国食品安全监管体系存在的问题进行了归纳,并提出了建设我国食品安全监管体系的具体思路。     

Complements or substitutes? New theoretical considerations and empirical evidence on the imports and FDI relationship in Central and Eastern European Countries

This paper addresses the imperative need to understand the relationship between inward FDI and trade by developing a new conceptual approach and providing empirical evidence. We use an expanded time dataset, from 1992 to 2008 and an enriched dataset of countries, sectors and location factors. In regards to the inward FDI versus imports relationship, results comply with our theoretical formulation and strongly indicate an overall complementarity with each other. In the case of FDI we find strong locational characteristics such as the large market size, the gradual improvement of the macro-environment and finally the quality of labour force to play a positive role.     

中亚国家区域经济合作现状及发展缓慢的原因分析

鉴于对外贸易和区域经济合作对本国经济增长和可持续发展的重要性,中亚五国纷纷发挥各自的自然资源优势,将发展外向型经济和加强对外贸易作为经济发展战略,但总体上说,中亚区域经济合作还较为分散,尚未形成合力。中亚国家政治诉求和经济利益目标不同,相互间贸易量小且投资很少,导致中亚经济体内部经济联系减弱,加之西方大国的利益角逐和对“主权”的敏感性,这些都减缓了中亚区域经济合作的进程。