论理性消费视角下生态和谐社会的建构

传统的消费观念和消费心理在目前资源和环境日益恶化的奈件下，已经难以为继。如何调整消费心理。进行合理消费已成为当前社会需要解决的重大课题。     

浅谈假日经济对中国经济的长期拉动效应

假日经济已成为国民经济的重要组成部分,并在国民经济中发挥着日益重要的作用。但在假日经济的发展过程中,也出现了一系列的负面效应,影响了假日经济的持续发展。文章就如何发挥假日经济的长期拉动效应,提出了相应的对策。     

中国西部大学生旅游消费现状调查和对策——以宝鸡市为例

目的:总结西部大学生旅游消费的特点,并据此提出可行的对策;方法:运用问卷调查的方法;过程:以宝鸡市部分在校大学生为研究对象,分析他们旅游意向、旅游时间和地点、旅游消费方式、旅游经费来源、旅游消费结构和旅游消费行为的影响;结论:有以下几点:①大部分大学生打算去旅游,从来没有打算去旅游的人主要是来自农村的学生,主要经济原因;②大学生旅游的目的主要是休闲散心,增长见闻,所以选择的景点主要是自然风景区和民族风情区;③大学生大都选择寒暑假出游;④大学生更愿意与情侣出游,很少人选择与父母出游,而且倾向于自助游;⑤大学生旅游花费来源主要来自父母。     

基于BP网络对我国通货膨胀率的预测及其分析

本文首先由我国的CPI计算出通货膨胀率,综合分析了我国通货膨胀率和GDP增长率数据。其次,用带有动量项和自适应学习率的BP神经网络预测出2008～2009年我国CPI,从而推算出2008～2009年我国通货膨胀率分别是4.99%和4.91%左右。并提出了一些相应的政策建议。     

南京市居民消费结构变动趋势分析

居民消费结构是反映人民生活质量变化和社会经济状况改善的一个重要指标。对居民消费结构的特征和变动趋势进行分析,既能把握居民消费变化的规律和发展趋势,又能为宏观经济管理和微观经济决策提供依据,无疑具有十分重要的理论意义和现实意义。本文使用SPSS13．0统计分析软件对南京市居民的消费进行统计分析,以期把握南京市居民的消费变化规律和发展趋势。     

International interest rates and US monetary policy announcements: Evidence from Hong Kong and Singapore

This paper investigates the responses of market interest rates to US monetary policy announcements for the US and two emerging economies, Hong Kong and Singapore which are similar on many respects but have experienced opposite exchange rate regimes in the last twenty years. Our results, based on market expectations extracted from federal fund futures rates, document that FOMC announcements significantly affect the term structure of interest rate in the US and both Asian countries. Further, international interest rate differentials around FOMC meeting dates tend to be negative for short maturities with the impact gradually dissipating as bond maturity increases. Finally, for the case of Singapore, we find that domestic interest rates react to both external and domestic monetary policy announcements with a magnitude that is larger over the full bond maturity spectrum for domestic announcements. These results are robust to time-varying futures risk premia and alternative measures of interest rates expectations.     

Generalized piecewise linear histograms

We extend the concept of piecewise linear histogram introduced recently by Beirlant, Berlinet and Györfi. The disadvantage of that histogram is that in many models it takes on negative values with probability close to 1. We show that for a wide set of models, the extended class of estimates contains a bona fide density with probability tending to 1 as the sample size n increases to infinity. The mean integrated absolute error in the extended class of estimators decreases with the same rate n^–2/5 as in the original narrower class.     

Inflation,interest and exchange rates in the transition1

Central and Eastern European economies have made extraordinary progress in their trade and exchange regimes. Surprisingly, instant convertibility was established for a great variety of exchange rate regimes. In spite of diversity, all these countries have followed a common pattern: severe initial undervaluation - the cost of speed and unrestricted trade - followed by rapid real revaluation and incipient protectionism. Since 1994 in many cases an embarrass de richesse has appeared: high capital inflows which are either inflationary or costly to sterilize. A major cause of these flows - or at any rate of the high cost of sterilization - is the presence of significant interest rate differentials higher than required to cover the risk of devaluation. These are the necessary consequence of a policy of positive real interest rates and of real revaluation from excessively undervalued exchange rates. Lower interest rates are recommended, both to stem financial capital inflows and to reduce the cost of their sterilization.     

农村居民食物消费的可持续发展

农村居民食物消费的可持续发展不仅决定着农村居民的健康水平 ,还决定着农村居民食物消费的可持续性。通过对我国农村居民食物消费的合理性分析 ,提出了农村居民食物消费的合理选择和可持续发展对策。