养老社会保险隐性债务不等同于转制成本

能否妥善解决好养老社会保险转制成本问题,直接关系到养老社会保险筹资模式转制的成败.笔者在研究中发现,目前我国理论界,在对养老社会保险转制成本的认识上存在着重大的误区,往往将它与养老社会保险隐性债务混为一谈,结果导致养老社会保险转制成本被严重高估.事实上,二者之间是有重大区别的.依笔者之见,不仅养老社会保险转制成本与养老社会保险隐性债务之间存在着区别,而且养老社会保险隐性债务内部本身也存在着转制隐性债务与一般隐性债务之间的区别.     

On financial guarantee insurance under stochastic interest rates

We extend the financial guarantee insurance literature by modeling, under stochastic interest rates, private financial guarantees when the guarantor potentially defaults. By performing numerical simulations under plausible parameters values, we characterize the differential impact of the incorporation of stochasticity of interest rates on the valuation of both public and private guarantees.     

Deposit Insurance, Capital Adequacy Requirements and Interest Rate Dynamics

This paper examines the long run interaction among deposit insurance, bank deposit rates and capital adequacy requirements. Using analysis similar to the price discrimination model of Lott and Roberts (1991) we find that a competitive environment among banks would link the spread between insured and uninsured deposit rates to the size of the insurance premium. We also find that banks that choose to operate at the regulatory minimum capital level, would increase asset risk with increased capital requirements if (1) the implicit interest paid to insured and uninsured depositors is equally sensitive to changes in risk and capital adequacy and (2) the insurance premium is independent of the level of risk and capital adequacy. Under the present risk-based premium structure, asset risk has the potential to decline when the regulatory agency raises capital requirements. Finally, we examine the time series behavior of insured and uninsured interest rates to see if it is consistent with our theoretical model. We find that insured and uninsured rates, along with deposit insurance premiums, are cointegrated series as suggested by our model.     

新《保险法》的特点及其缺陷

本文主要分析了新《保险法》的特点及其不足之处,建议引入保单持有人这一主体,同时期盼保监委出台相关法律法规以拓宽保险资金的投资渠道。     

金融风险和财政风险相关性的系统分析

文章从金融风险和财政风险的涵义入手，首先分析了金融风险和财政风险的表现，然后分析了二者相关性的原因，接着又分析了二者之间的传导途径，最后从微观的三个方面对二者做了实证分析并得出相关的结论。     

THE THEORY OF WARRANTY CONTRACTS

Abstract. This paper surveys theories of the existence and design of warranty contracts. Insurance, signalling, and incentive motives are used to explain the existence of warranties. The incorporation of imperfections that prevent warranties from serving their basic purposes in a first-best way describes actual warranty practices.     

论中国农业发展银行的生存和发展

农发行业务萎缩的情况引发了对其存在必要性的质疑。文章从粮食安全和粮改深化等方面说明了农发行存在的必要性 ,并展望了其今后的发展。     

试论债权代位权对保险法的补充作用

在我国,机动车第三者责任保险是作为强制保险全面实施的,而受害人请求权的实现则需要靠被保险人这个环节来衔接,一旦被保险人不知所终(这种情况常常发生),已受到保险合同保障的受害人就会索偿无门,这不仅对受害人不公平,也违背了开设这个险种的初衷。在现有的保险法没有规定、     

统筹养老金征缴的新思路——析以企业利润为基数的统筹养老金征缴制度

社会统筹养老金的本质属性是互济性和公平性,以企业职工工资总额为计缴基数的征缴制度无法保证企业养老负担的均衡,不能体现统筹养老金的互济性和公平性.以企业利润为基数的征缴制度可以克服原有制度的缺陷,平滑不同企业间的养老负担,为企业市场竞争提供公平的环境,促进国民经济的发展.     

Pay me now (and later): Pension benefit manipulation before plan freezes and executive retirement

Large US firms modify top executives’ compensation before pension-related events. Top executives receive one-time increases in pensionable earnings through higher annual bonuses one year before a plan freeze and one year before retirement. Firms also boost pension payouts by lowering plan discount rates when top executives are eligible to retire with lump-sum benefit distributions. Increases in executive pensions do not appear to be an attempt to improve managerial effort or retention and are more likely to occur at firms with poor corporate governance. These findings suggest that in some circumstances managers are able to extract rents through their pension plans.