2014年7月国内金融形势评述

2014年7月国内金融运行的主要特点是：广义货币和狭义货币增速双双回落;社会融资规模明显少于上月和去年同期;人民币贷款投放显著减少;企业存款增速回落较多,居民储蓄存款明显分流;银行间市场成交活跃,市场利率有所上升;与上月末比,人民币汇率贬值0．24％,海外市场对人民币汇率的贬值预期有所上升。     

2014年6月境外人民币离岸市场综述

2014年6月,境外人民币市场总体保持平稳发展势头。主要特点是：境外人民币资金池继续扩大;Hibor人民币隔夜拆借品种大幅上涨,境内外利差出现倒挂;境外人民币债券发行量较上月有所回落;香港美元兑人民币可交割即期汇价持续走低,境内外美元兑人民币远期汇价震荡下行,其中可交割品种汇价差异略有下降;香港交易所人民币期货交投活跃度略降,CME人民币期货日均交易额有所上升。     

贵州册亨板其磷矿床的发现及其经济地质意义

贵州册亨板其磷矿床产出于贵州西南部二叠纪台地边缘相礁灰岩分布区的古溶洞中,是贵州境内首次发现的风化淋滤型磷矿床,在矿床成因上类似于美国田纳西州中部奥陶系至泥盆系灰岩中的最具有经济意义的棕色岩磷矿床。对该类型磷矿的形成条件、形成环境和成矿作用进行深入研究具有重要的科学意义。经初步研究,板其磷矿区至少存在两个时期的古岩溶河道,磷矿床的发现为贵州南部的册亨、贞丰、望谟、罗甸等县的二叠纪礁灰岩分布区找矿工作带来了新的机会,提供新的思路和方向。板其磷矿床属于硅质低镁型风化矿床,适用于生产钙镁磷肥和磷酸,其开发为改善缺磷地区土壤结构、促进农业生产发展具有现实经济意义。     

Beyond Brenner's investment overhang hypothesis: the case of the steel industry

This article challenges the way liberal economic governance has come to be theorised as a passive and depoliticised form of governance. Using the classic case of the gold standard, it shows how state intervention came to be shaped by considerations of state power and diverged considerably from the traditional emphasis on free markets and stable conditions of investments. As I argue, the gold standard was constructed through political struggles over monetary governance which involved significant constraints for capitalist investors. Its institutions helped establish a new structure for exerting control over finance. By resituating the gold standard in a broader historical perspective, I show how nineteenth-century monetary governance, far from leading to a retreat of the state, established in fact the foundations of a new form of state intervention: modern central banking.     

Banking Competition and Capital Ratios

Empirical studies provide evidence that bank capital ratios exceed regulatory requirements. But why do banks maintain capital levels above regulatory requirements? We use data for more than 2,600 banks from 10 European countries to test recent theories suggesting that competition incentivises banks to maintain higher capital ratios. These theories also predict that banks that engage in arm's length lending have lower capital ratios, and that shareholder rights and deposit insurance characteristics affect capital ratios. Consistent with these theories, our evidence robustly indicates that competition increases capital holdings. Banks that lend at arm's length exhibit lower capital ratios, whereas banks in countries with strong shareholder rights operate with higher capital ratios. We also show some evidence that generous deposit protection schemes that exclude non‐deposit creditors are associated with higher capital ratios. Our results have important policy implications. First, while the traditional view suggests imposing restrictions on bank activities in order to restrain competition, our analysis indicates the opposite, even after adjusting the regressions for risk‐taking. Second, weak shareholder rights undermine market forces that would otherwise encourage banks to hold higher capital ratios.     

Enterprise systems in financial sector – an application in precious metal trading forecasting

The use of enterprise systems has become increasingly popular in the financial service industry. This paper discusses the applications of enterprise systems in the financial sectors and presents an application in gold price forecasting. We carefully examine the impacts of a few most widely assumed factors that have significant impact on the long-term gold price using statistical regression techniques. The analysis on our proposed linear regression mode indicates that the United States ultra scale of M2 money supply has been the most important catalyst for the rising price of gold, and the CRB index upward trend has also been the weighty factor for pushing up the gold price. In addition, the gold price has a low negative correlation with the Dow Jones Industrial Average, and low positive correlations with the US dollar index and the gold ETFs holdings.     

非法吸收公众存款罪与民间融资

近年来的司法实践,对非法吸收公众存款罪的认定有扩大化倾向。许多个案不考虑融资的目的是否为企业自身发展,不考虑是否造成损害后果、是否具有侵占、诈骗的故意等特征,抹煞非法吸收公众存款犯罪与合法的民间借贷的区别。这一扩大化的倾向与加入世贸后打破金融垄断、鼓励金融市场竞争、民间金融逐步合法化的趋势是背道而驰的,所以有必要对非法吸收公众存款罪与民间融资加以区分。     

基于CAPM的黄金风险溢价研究

运用CAPM理论中的边际风险价格的概念,通过分析一个包含了黄金市场和股票市场在内的市场资产组合,定量给出了黄金的风险溢价。同时检验了黄金收益是否在CAPM框架内有效。在与我国股市进行比较之后,得出投资者可将黄金包括到投资组合中去,以取得更好的风险收益比。     

论某铁矿不同勘探网度所探求的储量级别

本文依地质统计学的基本原理,在研究某铁矿矿体数学特征和估计其储量误差的基础上,定量地确定了该铁矿不同勘探网度所探求的储量级别。