Less Government—More Wealth? On the Macroeconomics of a Smaller Public Sector in Europe

In this paper, we analyze the reactions of European economies to a fiscal policy strategy aiming at diminishing the public sector. Within the framework of the MSG3 model, a macroeconomic model of the world economy, we perform several simulation experiments to explore the effects of reducing government expenditures permanently in different phases of the business cycle. For this purpose, we combine the fiscal contraction with negative and positive, Euro Area-wide and global, supply and demand shocks. It turns out that adverse Keynesian effects on output and employment tend to be mostly weak and short-lived, whereas long-run effects on output and employment are favorable. Due to these long-run effects, the fiscal contraction policy raises welfare as measured by an asymmetric quadratic objective function. The size of these welfare effects depends on the initial situation in a non-trivial manner.     

How many voters are needed for paradoxes?

Summary. This paper presents a general procedure for finding profiles with the minimum number of voters required for many important paradoxes. Borda's and Condorcet's classic examples are revisited as well as generalizations. Using Saari's procedure line, we obtain an upper bound for the minimum number of voters needed for a profile for which the Condorcet winner is not strictly top ranked for all weighted positional procedures. Also we give a simple upper bound on the minimum number of voters needed for a set of prescribed voting outcomes. In contrast to situations wherein small numbers of voters are needed, we consider paradoxes requiring arbitrarily large numbers of voters as well as large numbers of alternatives. Finally we indicate connections with statistical rank based tests. Received: April 18, 2001; revised version: May 25, 2001     

Wage inequality, technology, and trade

The recent widening of wage inequality has been attributed by some to skill-biased-technical-change and by others to trade liberalization. This paper examines the two explanations within a unified model and also presents a new modeling of skill-biased-technical-change, where skilled workers replace unskilled ones. As a result technology adoption is endogenous and does not occur in all countries. Hence, wages for both types of workers, trade patterns and also factor productivities in all countries are endogenously determined. The model sheds light on the relationship between technology and trade, on the reasons for global productivity differences and on the causes for the recent rise in wage inequality.     

第三方逆向物流信息系统分析与设计

指出信息系统在第三方逆向物流企业中的重要性,分析了第三方逆向物流企业的业务流程和数据传输流程,并提出设计C/S与B/S相混合的第三方逆向物流信息系统的设计方案,并进一步探索了如何通过ASP.NET技术来实现。     

中国移动运营市场竞争格局情景分析

中国的移动运营市场一直是中国移动(2000年前为中国电信)和联通两家的双寡头竞争格局.鉴于情景分析法的特点和移动运营市场面临的形势,对移动运营市场后3G时代的竞争格局分析适宜采用情景分析法来预测中国进入3G时代后移动运营市场的几种竞争格局.并可以对每种格局产生的可能性、途径以及各种情景所带来的后果进行详细的比对,这样对我国移动运营市场的健康良性发展可提供一些有益的决策参考.     

第三方物流企业运作模式分类与特征研究

以资源整合方式、服务内容、服务范围三个维度为界定依据,对第三方物流企业(TPLs)的运作模式进行了分类,分析了各种模式的主要特征和适用性,并指出了其优劣势和发展前景,为物流企业依据自身特点选择恰当的运作模式类型和发展方向提供了参考。     

基于大规模定制的供应链设计

分析了大规模定制面临的挑战和供应链发展带来的机遇，根据供应链的不同功能，结合大规模定制的特点，提出“运用三维并行工程”设计不同的供应链及其供应商与战略伙伴，以实现大规模定制的低成本和快速反应。     

从国营到国有——国家股转让效果分析

本文系统地研究了从1997年到2000年在上海证券交易所和深圳证券交易所发生的国有资产局将控制权转让给国有独资企业和国有法人企业的案例数据。研究发现国家股控制权转让后公司业绩有了明显的改善,同时证券市场对国家股转让行为做出了积极的反应,产生了明显的超额收益。     

固网运营商的3G发展策略

3G,是英文3rd Generation的缩写,指第三代移动通信技术,相对第一代模拟制式移动通信(1G)和第二代GSM、CDMA等数字移动通信(2G) ,第三代移动通信一般地讲,是指将无线通信与国际互联网等多媒体通信结合的新一代移动通信系统。在中国本土通信市场上, 3G作为下一代商用的移动通信技术越来越近。3G对原有的固网运营商和移动运营商的未来发展的重要性以及对现实业务的冲击,都让运营商不得不高度重视3G市场,并投入大量的精力研究自身的3G发展策略。本文从目前的固网运营商及移动运营商各自的优势,对3G业务、用户市场的粗浅分析中,力求得出固网运营商可能的3G发展策略。     

Testing separability of public consumption in household decisions

In this paper we propose a sequential strategy, based on the microeconomic approach of the demand theory, in order to test for separability between private and public consumption. The aim of the present work is to verify, using a conditional almost ideal demand system, whether the different components of public consumption exert conditioning effects on the allocative structure of private spending. The empirical estimation of the model and the separability tests are developed for both a demand system in five functional categories of private spending, and for a demand system in six categories, where the private expenditures on those goods and services which can also be offered by the public sector are enclosed in a single functional category. The results of the separability tests, obtained using UK data for the 1974–2000 period, show that public individual consumption plays an important role in modifying consumer choices, while public collective consumption does not affect private consumption behaviours. The relationships between the different components of private spending and public individual consumption are both of substitutability and complementarity; in particular, we find that public individual consumption and the corresponding private expenditures on ‘Health, education, recreation and social protection’ are complements.