疫情如何影响企业发展预期?——基于压力传导机制的实证研究

公共卫生事件对企业微观经济行为的影响尚未引起足够的关注。立足于中国当前的疫情背景和制度环境,本文利用最新的“企业开工力”问卷调查数据,考察了新冠肺炎疫情对企业发展预期的影响和机制。研究发现,疫情降低了企业在未来开展经济行为的意愿;机制分析表明,紧张的现金流是疫情降低企业行动意愿的重要途径,具体表现为疫情分别通过提高来自现金流、违约金、还付贷款和员工工资等方面的资金支付压力,进而降低企业的发展预期。进一步分析表明,企业在疫情爆发前的活跃程度越高、所在市级地区的营商环境越好,疫情对企业发展预期的负向影响会越强;而且,疫情与企业发展预期间的关系在不同程度上受到企业所在地区疫情状况以及企业产权性质、所属产业类别等异质性因素的影响。在使用一系列稳健性检验后,上述结论依然稳健。本研究将企业经济行为的影响因素拓展至公共卫生安全领域,不仅揭示了公共卫生事件影响企业经济行为的微观机理,而且还为疫情防控下政府出台扶持企业相关政策提供了决策参考。     

The complexity of cooperative governance and optimization of institutional arrangements in the Greater Mekong Subregion

This study’s focus is on the Greater Mekong Subregion (GMS). The study’s approach is to find, analyse and solve problems, and the method used is the mixed application of theoretical and empirical analysis based on rich materials and data. The study goal is to design an optimized framework of institutional arrangements through the complexity analysis of intricate causes that have hindered cooperative governance in the GMS. Concretely, we first summarize the changes in the GMS in the past 20 years to understand the development background. Second, we classify marked issues into three aspects: (1) the contradiction between livelihood development and environmental protection, (2) the imbalance between the principle of “common but different” and the guideline of maximizing national interests and (3) the conflict between the support and opposition for hydropower development in the Mekong between upstream and downstream countries. Third, based on an in-depth analysis of the complicated causes of these issues, we design four interactive solutions to optimize institutional arrangements for future cooperative governance: (1) breaking the inner connection of poverty, drugs and crime; (2) promoting the strategic shift from blood transfusions to haematopoiesis in socioeconomic development; (3) establishing mechanisms of interest sharing; and (4) building a diverse and polycentric regional coordination system. Finally, we systematically analyse the complicated relationship among the different solutions and additional challenges for the future.     

Deforestation and timber production in Congo after implementation of sustainable management policy: A reaction to the article by J.S. Brandt,C. Nolte and A. Agrawal (Land Use Policy 52:15–22)

This viewpoint paper presents a reaction to the article by Brandt et al. (2016). It highlights the complexities inherent to the attribution of deforestation impacts to policy interventions when using remote-sensing data. This critique argues that in the context of the Congo a suite of factors (i.e., population density in particular) other than those considered by Brandt et al. (e.g., type of forest, distance from roads and markets) play essential roles in determining the fates of forests. It also contends that care is needed when making decisions regarding which units will be included in the comparison group so that contextual factors and on-the-ground information are properly considered (e.g., when logging operations are inactive or when a concession is used for ‘conservation’ purposes). Finally, it proposes that a focus on an analysis of deforestation rates for a given level of timber production might be a metric that more accurately represents one aspect of the consequences of forest management, which should also consider the appraisal of trade-offs associated with a larger set of social, financial and ecological objectives.     

Endogenous growth and property rights over renewable resources

We study how different regimes of access rights to renewable natural resources – namely open access versus full property rights – affect sustainability, growth and welfare in the context of modern endogenous growth theory. Resource exhaustion may occur under both regimes but is more likely to arise under open access. Moreover, under full property rights, positive resource rents increase expenditures on manufacturing goods and temporarily accelerate productivity growth, but also yield a higher resource price at least in the short-to-medium run. We characterize analytically and quantitatively the model׳s dynamics to assess the welfare implications of differences in property rights enforcement.     

电子商务有效激活农村经济

近年来,电子商务快步进入农村,不仅有效地释放了农民消费潜力,而且带动了农民就业和创业,解决或缓解了多年来困扰农村经济发展的"卖难"问题,但也有几大问题制约农村电商的持续健康发展,需继续加大政策扶持力度,进一步促进农村电商发展,培育农村经济发展新动力.     

Service-oriented,sustainable, local food value chain – A case study

Many developing countries depend on tourism as their main engine for economic development, but sustainability is often a concern. In the absence of inter-sectorial linkages between tourism and other industrial sectors, opportunities for trickledown benefits to host communities are stymied. For decades, researchers have been contending with issues related to strengthening agriculture and tourism linkages as a strategy to maximize economic linkages. This service-oriented approach to the local food supply chain is posited as a new model in which agriculture and hotel linkages can be advanced. We collected data about local food hotel supply through interviews with key stakeholders. The findings from our exemplary case study confirm that strengthening inter-sectorial linkages have benefits for stakeholders. This case study suggests that there are opportunities for tourism policies that foster local food linkages with high-end accommodation properties as a strategy to spread the economic spin off from tourism and also to encourage youth involvement in sustainable tourism development.     

开发区土地集约利用评价研究——以长沙市金霞经济开发区为例

以长沙市金霞经济开发区为例,简要分析长沙市金霞经济开发区的发展现状和土地集约利用评价的方法,确定长沙市金霞经济开发区评价类型,建立土地集约利用评价的指标体系,对土地集约利用程度评价的结果进行分析,并提出促进长沙市金霞经济开发区土地集约利用的合理建议。     

我国营养强化食品现状与发展趋势

随着经济的发展,人们的经济水平不断提高,对衣食住行的要求也越来越高。食品行业发展迅速,营养强化食品兴起,相比较一些发达国家,我国的营养强化工作虽然起步较晚,但营养强化食品的发展已经进入一个新的阶段。基于此,对我国营养强化食品发展的历史与现状进行概括,就营养强化食品发展中存在的问题及其发展趋势进行综合分析。     

少数民族地区经济高质量发展测度及对策建议--以新疆地区为例

本文选取2000年-2017年新疆15个地州(市)为样本,运用索罗残差法计算全要素生产率、资本和劳动力投入对经济增长的贡献率。研究发现,新疆目前处于规模经济阶段,增长方式为资本密集型,技术进步在经济增长过程中的作用逐渐减弱。其中,少数民族高度聚居的南疆地区处于规模报酬不变阶段,粗放式经济增长特征较北疆地区更明显。同时发现,第二次中央新疆工作座谈会召开后,新疆各投入要素结构逐渐优化,供给侧结构性改革成效初显,正从规模速度型粗放增长逐渐向质量效率型集约增长转变。基于此,本文从扩大开放格局、促进少数民族地区技术进步、完善人才引进和培养机制、合理配置投入要素资源等方面提出优化新疆高质量发展路径的政策建议,为促进全国少数民族地区高质量发展提供参考。     

厦漳泉同城化下漳州现代产业发展战略研究——基于SWOT分析模型

本文运用态势分析法分析了嗄漳泉同城化背荣下漳州产业的发展院势、劣势、机遇与挑战。提出了要以自身产业布局重点发展需要，以市场为导向、高新技术为支撑、创新发展为动力、产业转型升级为重点，实施优势互补战略，实现厦漳泉产业对接战略选择：坚持产业布局高效合理，坚持产业发展创新驱动，实现产业形态高端化和打造漳台产业合作前沿等：