中国通货膨胀动态路径的结构性转变及其启示

This article employs recently developed unknown structural break tests to investigate intrinsic structural instability in China inflation dynamics over 1981–2007. In order to capture accurately the statistical nature of potential structural beak, we use asymptotic p-value function under the non-standard distribution condition to compute the p-values for structural change tests in the presence of nuisance parameter. Empirical results suggest that China inflation dynamics witnessed a significant structural change at the end of 1994 and the instability appears to be originated from the dynamic parameters in the underlying model. The paper discusses important policy implications of the empirical findings through impulse response analyses.      

中国能源生产率的影响因素分析

This paper identifies the determinants of energy productivity based on a basic economic growth model. Using panel data including 29 provinces from 1995 to 2007, we find that energy productivity is negatively associated with the industry sector share in GDP and the state-owned sector share in GDP, and is positively associated with the electricity share in energy consumption. In addition, we find that there exists a big gap of energy efficiency among eastern, middle and western region in China. Our results suggest that we should induce the industry development structure from the industrial sector to service sector, prompt the reform of state-owned enterprises, as well as improve the energy consumption structure dominated by coal to diversified cleaning energy.      

Demographic Change and Economic Growth in Asia

Trade openness, high savings rates, human capital accumulation, and macroeconomic policy only accounted for part of the 1965–1990 growth performance in East Asia. Subsequently, demographic change was shown to be a missing factor in explaining the East Asian growth premium. Since 1990, East Asia has undertaken major economic reforms in response to financial crises and other factors. We reexamine the role of the demographic transition in contributing to cross-country differences in economic growth through to 2005, with a particular focus on East Asia. We highlight the need for policy to offset potential negative effects of aging populations in the future.     

从产权缺损到产权完整:创业资本制度变迁的新视野

产权制度安排对创业资本的运作效率产生几乎决定性的影响.创业资本产权的合理配置应该是赋予创业资本组织相对独立而充分的产权、构建激励与约束相容的创业资本组织形式并在创业投资家和创业资本出资者之间分享剩余索取权.但我国的制度环境使高效率的产权安排难以形成,产权缺损是我国创业资本的制度特征,并由此造成了创业资本制度安排的停滞均衡.要打破这种低效率的制度均衡,就应该进行以确立创业资本完整私人产权为核心的制度创新.     

中国流通理论创新、政府政策与发展方式转变——“中国流通创新与发展方式转变”学术研讨会综述

流通产业是带动经济发展的先导产业.国内流通产业发展滞后于国民经济总体发展水平,已经成为影响中国沿海地区经济二次腾飞的重要因素.国内流通理论研究滞后于流通实践工作,又进一步制约了我国流通产业的发展方式的转变.2007年12月16日在杭州召开的"中国流通创新与发展方式转变"学术研讨会在如下方面取得了共识:中国流通产业发展方式转变是中国经济发展方式转变的重要组成部分;中国流通产业发展方式转变需要创新的理论与创新的实践;流通实践呼唤流通理论在落实科学发展观、加强流通基础理论研究、促进理论与实践相结合等方面不断探索创新.     

企业家认知对家族企业制度变迁影响的实证研究

以江苏、上海、浙江110家中小家族企业为样本,采用Spearman等级相关系数和Wilcoxon秩和检验两种方法,检测了家族企业家的创新价值观、创新动机、创新素质与家族企业制度变迁之间的关系。研究结果表明:家族企业家的创新价值观、创新动机以及创新素质对家族企业管理开放度有显著的影响,且企业家家族取向程度低,目标偏好于事业,创新素质高,家族企业管理开放度就高;反之,则管理开放度就低。家族企业家的创新价值观、创新动机以及创新素质对家族企业所有权开放度没有显著的影响。     

重要客户损害了审计独立性吗?——来自中国证券市场的经验证据

审计独立性的经济理论认为审计师牺牲独立性的动机与客户的重要性有关。本文选取了2001—2002年间1297家收到标准无保留意见的上市公司为研究样本,使用审计师是否从事了审计意见购买行为作为审计独立性的衡量指标,考察了重要客户与审计独立性之间的关系。研究发现,重要客户的确对审计独立性造成了损害,而当审计师预期到其丧失独立性的行为在事后被发现的可能性较大时,审计独立性受到损害的可能性较小。     

对建筑企业转换经营机制的思考

建筑企业必须深化产权制度改革,建立和完善包括决策机制、发展机制、激励机制和约束机制在内的经营机制。对建筑企业在经营机制转换过程中需要良好的内外部环境进行了分析。     

关于奥地利学派制度变迁理论方法论的初步分析

奥地利学派的制度变迁理论其方法论主要有三大"基石"构成,即,主观主义、方法论个人主义、演进理性主义。它对于其学派的制度变迁理论的渲化具有特殊意义。     

Measurement of Productivity Changes: Two Malmquist Index Approaches

The adjacent Malmquist productivity index is compared to the more recently suggested base period Malmquist productivity index. The two index approaches are evaluated with respect to base period dependency, the circular test, and with respect to a set of additional classical index tests. In addition it is shown that the base period index is independent of base period if and only if the marginal rate of substitution of inputs is independent of time. Finally, the adjacent and the base period indexes are put through a Monte Carlo (bootstrap) test to see if they yield similar results when applied to a panel of Swedish pharmacy data.