解读2005年中国国际收支平衡表

国际收支平衡表不仅综合记载了一国在一定时期内与世界各国的经济往来的情况和在世界经济中的地位及其消长对比情况,而且还集中反映了该国的经济类型和经济结构。2005年,中国的国际收支巨额顺差,具有鲜明特色.透过国际收支平衡表,可以发现中国国际收支的结构特征、问题所在,进而提出改进措施和政策建议。     

Thermodynamics and process analysis for future economic scenarios

Economists are increasingly interested in forecasting future costs and benefits of policies for dealing with materials/energy fluxes, polluting emissions and environmental impacts on various scales, from sectoral to global. Computable general equilibrium (CGE) models are currently popular because they project demand and industrial structure into the future, along an equilibrium path. But they are applicable only to the extent that structural changes occur in or near equilibrium, independent of radical technological (or social) change. The alternative tool for analyzing economic implications of scenario assumptions is to use Leontief-type Input-Output (I-O) models. I-O models are unable to endogenize structural shifts (changing I-O coefficients). However, this can be a virtue when considering radical rather than incremental shifts. Postulated I-O tables can be used independently to check the internal consistency of scenarios. Or I-O models can be used to generate scenarios by linking them to econometric macro-drivers (which can, in principle, be CGE models). Explicit process analysis can be integrated, in principle, with I-O models. This hybrid scheme provides a natural means of satisfying physical constraints, especially the first and second laws of thermodynamics. This is important, to avoid constructing scenarios based on physically impossible processes. Process analysis is really the only available tool for constructing physically plausible alternative future I-O tables, and generating materials/energy and waste emissions coefficients. Explicit process analysis also helps avoid several problems characteristic of pure CGE or I-O models, viz. (1) aggregation errors (2) inability to handle arbitrary combinations of co-product and co-input relationships and (3) inability to reflect certain non-linearities such as internal feedback loops.     

战略营销的理论内涵及在我国的应用问题分析

战略营销是二十世纪八十年代以来市场营销学科中的一个重要研究领域，它是适应企业外部环境变化的结果。战略营销是市场竞争的必然选择。与传统的战术营销相比，战略营销更注重营销活动的整体性和全局性以及长期效果，注重经营环境分析和竞争导向，强调营销组合和要素的整合。我国多数企业没有以长期发展的战略思想作指导，其经营活动缺乏长远的战略规划。竞争的压力要求我国企业必须用战略营销理论来指导企业的经营实践。     

Domestic and international strategic interactions in environment policy formation

Summary. In this paper, we establish the most possilbe general formulation of the technology governing carbon-gas emission, giving rise to global external diseconomies, and ty to explore into the strategic interactions,both domestic and international, when an individual country decides on the environmental policies. Through the comparison among emission taxes, quotas, and standard in the perfectly competitive private economies, we find that the first two policies are equivalent but they are different in effects by virtue of what we may call the tax-exemption effect of emission standards. Such a difference in the policy effect further affects the other country's welfare through the global externalities, amplified through whether the government can precommit to either the emission tax or the emission standard. Received: January 16, 2001; revised version: April 16, 2002 RID="*" ID="*" The authors thank the valuable comments by an anonymous referee. Ministry of Education and Science for its financial support is also greatly acknowledged. Correspondence to:K. Kiyono     

Extensive-form games and strategic complementarities

I prove the subgame-perfect equivalent of the basic result for Nash equilibria in normal-form games of strategic complements: the set of subgame-perfect equilibria is a nonempty, complete lattice—in particular, subgame-perfect Nash equilibria exist. For this purpose I introduce a device that allows the study of the set of subgame-perfect equilibria as the set of fixed points of a correspondence. My results are limited because extensive-form games of strategic complementarities turn out—surprisingly—to be a very restrictive class of games.     

建立会计核算权力的制衡结构与制衡机制——提高会计信息质量的重要措施

会计信息质量问题是一个亟待解决的重要问题，会计信息产生的基础是会计核算，建立有关会计核算权力的制衡结构，实施有效的会计核算的制衡机制，包括制度制衡、证据制衡、审计制衡、责任追究制衡激励机制，是提高会计信息质量的重要措施。     

上市公司股权结构与财务报告舞弊关系分析

经理人员对上市公司的内部控制已不能完全解释上市公司的财务报告舞弊问题，大股东控制了上市公司，通过对上市公司的利益侵占获取私人收益，财务报告舞弊是隐瞒大股东行为的手段。本文以截至到2005年受到证监会处罚的上市公司为样本，分析了股权结构与财务报告舞弊的相关性，从股权制衡与培育大股东诚信义务方面提出了治理大股东行为的建议。     

企业研究与开发绩效评价:现状分析及改进思路

由于研发活动固有的特点,企业研究与开发(以下也称研发或R&D)的绩效评价一直是理论和实践上的难题。通过分析影响企业研发绩效评价因素,探讨现行的企业绩效评价体系存在的问题,得出了可以利用平衡计分卡设计企业研发绩效评价指标体系的结论。     

国际战略联盟及其相关理论研究

就国际战略联盟的定义规范、与其他合作形式的区别及其相关的理论进行分析 ,指出多角度、跨学科地研究国际战略联盟是非常必要的。     

消费品市场有效供给不足的成因及对策

在买方市场条件下 ,我国消费品市场有效供给不足表现为 :消费品市场上的商品价位与消费者的市场收入层次错位、名优品牌和知名品牌商品少、城乡消费鸿沟加深。造成消费品市场有效供给不足的原因是 :消费品生产的市场定位出现误差、生产技术含量低、市场营销能力不强等。要达到消费品市场均衡 ,必须要做好市场定位、提高产品的技术含量、推进名牌战略、降低经营成本