基于支持向量回归的现代气象雷达寿命预测

为了准确地预测气象雷达使用寿命, 提高气象雷达运行可靠性、安全性和可维护性, 提出了一种新的基于多元回归的气象雷达使用寿命预测框架。在该框架内,采用了支持向量 回归(SVR)方法来求解气象雷达使用寿命的多元回归问题;提出了基于SVR的气象雷达特征参 数选择FSSSVR（Feature Subset Selection SVR）算法去掉冗余和无效的特征参数。实验结 果表明,基于SVR方法的预测算法能够准确地预测气象雷达的使用寿命,能够为雷达全寿命 周期管理提供参考依据。     

基于多尺度多方向Gabor模板的光学/SAR景象匹配

合成孔径雷达（SAR）成像制导通常采用光学基准图和SAR实时图 进行特征提取和景象匹配。提出了一种光学/SAR异类影像匹配方法,利用多尺度多方向Gabo r模板提取图像的Gabor特征后进行特征匹配,首先对SAR图像进行方向Frost滤波预处理,然 后分别计算光学图像和SAR图像的高斯梯度图像,再利用多尺度多方向二维Gabor滤波器模板 分别对两幅高斯梯度图像进行特征提取,最后对两组特征矩阵进行归一化互相关匹配。该方 法直接利用光学图像和SAR实时图进行景象匹配,实验表明,该异类影像匹配方法较其他传 统方法具有较高的鲁棒性和准确性。     

Disaggregation and consolidation of imperfect quality shipments in an extended EPQ model

We consider a standard economic production quantity (EPQ) model. Due to manufacturing variability, a fraction P of the produced inventory will have imperfect quality, where P is a random variable with a known distribution. We consider a 100% inspection policy and further assume that the inspection rate is larger than that of production. Thus, all imperfect quality items will be detected by the end of the production cycle. For such an augmented EPQ model, we first derive the new optimal production quantity assuming that the imperfect quality items are salvaged once at the end of every production cycle. Then, we extend this base model to allow for disaggregating the shipments of imperfect quality items during a single production run. Finally, we consider aggregating (or consolidating) the shipments of imperfect items over multiple production runs. Under both scenarios we derive closed-form expressions for both the economic production quantity and the batching policy, and show that our desegregation/consolidation schemes can lead to significant cost savings over the base model.     

基于AHP-FCE的氯碱化工园区循环经济评价研究

结合氯碱化工园区的实际情况,建立了氯碱化工园区循环经济评价指标体系,运用层次分析法(analytical hierarchy process,AHP)确定了指标体系中各指标的权重,运用模糊综合评判(fuzzy com prehensive evaluation,FCE)理论,建立了氯碱化工园区循环经济综合评价模型,并将这一模型应用于某氯碱化工园区循环经济的综合评价。实例表明:模糊综合评价方法可操作性强,可在氯碱化工园区循环经济综合评价中广泛应用。     

中国治理通货膨胀的货币政策操作方式选择

本文从中国特殊的金融体制安排出发,归纳了中国货币政策工具和目标体系。然后分别以"中介目标—最终目标"与"操作目标—中介目标"为基础构建两组向量自回归模型,通过格兰杰因果检验、预测误差方差分解以及脉冲响应分析,量化比较各种政策工具、目标的作用效果,以识别治理通货膨胀的有效货币政策操作方式。研究发现:狭义货币供应量是影响中国通货膨胀最有效的中介目标;而金融机构信贷计划又是影响狭义货币供应量的最有效操作目标。论文论述了信贷规模控制制度下的货币创造与货币供给机制,对实证结论进行了解释。相关政策建议包括:对于较为严重的通货膨胀,应该迅速从信贷规模控制入手,切断货币投放的主渠道;对于公众能够承受的温和通货膨胀,主要还应运用存款准备金率等市场化工具;实行利率市场化并优化贷款结构则是长期努力方向。最后论文简要评价了危机后中国的货币政策操作。     

所有权与自然垄断产业规制——组合模式及选择

对于自然垄断产业采用何种所有权结构的规制模式,在理论研究与实践操作中都存在着多样化的选择。本文主要比较分析了民营外生规制、国有内生规制和混合所有权规制三种不同组合模式,并认为混合所有权规制模式较好地兼容了其他模式的优点,可以成为自然垄断产业改革与治理进程中的一个可取路径。欧盟国家自然垄断产业的改革经验,从实践上证明了混合所有权规制模式的可行性,尽管其也存在一定的局限性。同时,本文认为对于转型改革时期的中国,针对自然垄断行业的国有企业,可以考虑采用混合所有权规制模式的改革路径,通过股权开放的形式放松民营资本进入自然垄断产业的行业管制,并有效、平稳地建立起自然垄断产业规制体系。     

Regulation and competition in the European mobile communications industry: An examination of the implementation of mobile number portability

Over the past two decades, the mobile communications industry has seen a considerable drop in the consumer switching charges made by service providers in order to promote effective competition and ensure a level playing field for new market entrants. Mobile Number Portability (MNP) is an important regulatory measure taken to reduce switching costs, and it is believed to play an important role in fostering competition in the mobile market. MNP implementation has varied significantly across European Union countries, particularly with respect to porting time and customer fees, both of which are important factors when deciding whether to switch to another provider. The research examines the effects of MNP implementation on competition in the European mobile communications industry. The study findings indicate that subscriber churn rates are negatively affected by both the level of charges levied on subscribers wishing to maintain their current number (porting) when switching mobile providers and the length of time required to switch. The implications of the effectiveness of MNP regulation for competition in the mobile communications industry are discussed.     

The informational relevance of corporate social responsibility: evidence from DS400 index reconstitutions

This study examines the relationship between corporate social responsibility and financial performance by analyzing the intra‐industry wealth impact of additions and deletions to the Domini Social 400 index. Results from the event study analysis indicate that additions to the index generate a positive share price response for the announcement firm and a negative response by rival firms. The opposite reaction is observed for index deletions. Additionally, the share price response is more pronounced for informationally opaque industries. Our study highlights the importance of external monitoring agencies in providing meaningful information that helps resolve investor uncertainty regarding the quality of a firm's relationships with its primary stakeholders. Copyright © 2011 John Wiley & Sons, Ltd.     

Technological development at the boundaries of the firm: a knowledge‐based examination in drug development

This paper examines how the knowledge‐based view (KBV) can be applied to firm boundary decisions and the performance implications of those decisions. At the center of the paper is a theoretical and empirical examination of how firms most efficiently organize for technological development. We find that distinct organization approaches are advantaged in the speed of technological development depending on the structure of technological development problems and the depth of firms' technological area experience. We make theoretical and empirical contributions to KBV research that examines knowledge development and transfer. Drug development in the pharmaceutical industry serves as our empirical setting. Copyright © 2012 John Wiley & Sons, Ltd.