基于模糊层次分析法的合同能源管理项目风险综合评价

以合同能源管理项目为研究对象,结合我国社会经济发展现状,分析了我国合同能源管理项目实施过程中存在的政策与市场、融资以及运营与效益三方面风险,并运用模糊层次分析法对合同能源管理项目进行了风险评价。     

分析“分析美学史”的价值——序刘悦笛的《分析美学史》

作为对分析哲学的令人欣喜的贡献,刘悦笛的《分析美学史》,有助于形成对20世纪西方社会中的哲学美学的整体进程的基本理解。刘悦笛的文本正确估价了分析哲学对于美学研究的贡献,其所追踪的历史进程横亘了整个20世纪。这项任务主要是通过从美学家的贡献到美学主题的贡献的诸章节来共同实现的,每章在介绍与总结的部分都提出了作者自己对于分析美学重要性的解释和评价。刘悦笛所选择的美学家们对于这部分析美学简史而言是毫无疑义的,因为他们形成了在这场运动当中的最重要的形象。这种选择代表了一种系统的结构,这对于非西方读者们更深入地理解分析美学具有特别的重要价值。在对历史的精细的组织与敏锐的洞见当中,刘悦笛所提供的坚实的基础,对于学者和学生们而言就像一个坚实的平台,可以由此去探索那些在分析美学史上提出令人瞩目的理念的人们的作品。     

基于动态AHP的企业信息化水平评价——江苏沙钢集团信息化水平案例研究

文章运用动态AHP方法研究企业信息化的发展过程,并结合江苏省沙钢集团企业信息化发展的案例,根据信息化五阶段模型,判断该企业信息化所处的发展阶段,继而对沙钢集团信息化发展提出战略性建议。希望不仅对沙钢集团有指导和推动作用,对其他企业的信息化发展也有启示和帮助。     

中小企业国际化过程中的融资问题探讨

当前资难严重制约中小企业更好的发展,尤其是在中小企业国际化过程中,其融资难的问题更为突出。为此,本文结合中小企业融资现状,分析了中小企业融资难的原因,进而对解决融资难这一问题提出了几点建议。     

Measuring quality performance of cadastral survey and deeds registration work processes

When land parcel boundaries are surveyed for purposes of registration in most southern African countries, the cadastral survey records and diagrams prepared have to be examined and approved by the Surveyor General first before they can be registered in the Deeds Registries. For such records to be approved, their quality must conform to requirements stipulated in relevant acts and regulations. Where regulatory requirements are not met, the records are rejected and returned for corrections and resubmission. From a cross-organizational context, poor quality documents lodged upstream have the effect of congesting examination processes downstream as records are rejected and returned backwards due to quality failure. The paper proposes a quality performance measurement model to analyze quality performance in land administration work processes. The developed model is tested on 2 survey examination and approval sites and 3 deeds registration sites in Namibia, Zimbabwe and South Africa. Based on below expected quality results obtained at one of the sites, a root cause analysis was conducted to establish recurring and underlying causal factors upon which quality improvement strategies can be built on.     

基于风险控制的高校经济责任审计流程初探

高校经济责任审计随着高校规模的扩大和经济活动的频繁和复杂显得越来越重要。鉴于内部审计的特殊性，经济责任审计还存着着诸多问题，其中由于审计流程不规范引起的审计风险不容忽视。论文从规范高校领导干部经济责任审计流程入手，结合高校经济责任审计的现状和问题，分析审计各阶段的审计风险，提出完善审计流程的方案和防范审计风险的措施。     

Hierarchies and entrepreneurship

We establish a correlation between the hierarchical structure of a firm and the likelihood of business creation among its former employees, using a sample of 16 million observations of Swedish workers and a novel proxy for hierarchies based on occupation data. Conditional on firm size and many other variables, employees in firms with more layers are less likely to enter entrepreneurship, to become self-employed, and to switch to another employer. The effects of layers are much stronger for business creation than for job-switching and they are stronger for entrepreneurship than for self-employment. We discuss two potential explanations for the distinctive hierarchy effect we find. Part of the effect could be to be due to preference sorting by employees, and part due to employees in firms with fewer layers having a broader range of skills. One test showing that the probability of entrepreneurship increases with their prior rank in an organization is consistent with ability sorting and inconsistent with preference sorting.     

Co‐movements in commodity prices: a note based on network analysis

This article analyses co‐movements in a wide group of commodity prices during the time period 1992–2010. Our methodological approach is based on the correlation matrix and the networks inside. Through this approach we are able to summarize global interaction and interdependence, capturing the existing heterogeneity in the degrees of synchronization between commodity prices. Our results produce two main findings: (a) we do not observe a persistent increase in the degree of co‐movement of the commodity prices in our time sample, however from mid‐2008 to the end of 2009 co‐movements almost doubled when compared with the average correlation; (b) we observe three groups of commodities which have exhibited similar price dynamics (metals, oil and grains, and oilseeds) and which have increased their degree of co‐movement during the sampled period.     

Structuring an effective human error intervention strategy selection model for commercial aviation

Flight safety cannot be compromised. Thus, commercial airlines should constantly develop safety management strategies to mitigate the diverse hazardous factors in flight operations. Given the constraint of organizational resource, a commercial airline may not have sufficient resources to implement all the necessary strategies simultaneously. This study uses a well-structured process to develop a qualitative evaluation model that will enable airlines to identify human errors and select an intervention strategy with the highest success potential. To clarify the decision problem, the Human Factors Intervention Matrix framework is utilized to construct the decision hierarchy. The Analytic Hierarchy Process is then used to attain the priorities of potential alternative strategies for various unsafe acts. Finally, Zero-One Goal Programming models are formulated to select an optimal portfolio based on the specific target and the available organizational resources. An empirical study is presented to illustrate the application of the proposed model. According to the results of the combined model, an optimal portfolio, including the intervention approaches of organizational/administrative, human/crew, and operational/physical environment, can remediate four unsafe acts, namely, decision errors, skill-based errors, perceptual errors, and violations, under resource constraints of the organization.     

Continuity Estimates for Ruin Probabilities

A method of continuity analysis of ruin probabilities with respect to variation of parameters governing risk processes is proposed. It is based on the representation of the ruin probability as the stationary probability of a reversed process. We apply Kartashov's technique designed for continuity analysis of stationary distributions of general Markov chains in order to obtain desired continuity estimates. The method is illustrated by the Sparre Andersen and Markov modulated risk models.