国库集中支付操作风险产生机理的博弈分析

国库集中支付操作风险是指国库资金支付过程中出现违规操作行为的可能性。国库集中支付制度框架下财政资金支付活动是财政部门、预算单位、代理银行和人民银行共同参与的博弈过程。本文运用博弈理论首先分析国库集中支付操作风险产生的内在机理，然后剖析国库集中支付操作风险产生的外在博弈条件，最后从优化博弈条件出发，提出建立健全监督激励机制以防范国库集中支付操作风险的建议。     

皖江城市带经济差异与其自然地理成因分析

通过2001～2006年的城市经济统计资料的对比,得出皖江城市带的流域经济特征:一是区段性,皖江段处在长江流域经济的低谷,巢湖"大湖经济"不突出;二是差异性,皖江城市带内部发展不平衡,存在东西差异和南北差异,具有流域空间分异特征;从自然地理要素角度来看,断裂、地形地貌差异、洪灾差异、冲洪积平原面积差异以及区域自然地理特征对现代交通布局和航运的影响等是造成皖江城市带经济差异性的自然原因.     

山西省区域经济实力评价及空间差异研究

山西省区域经济差异发展,严重影响了全省全面建设小康社会和新农村建设的实现;选取了人均GDP、人均财政收入及人均社会零售商品总额等8项具有代表性的评价指标,对全省11个地级市经济实力进行了综合评价,并揭示了其空间差异变化特征。     

Domestic Support and Border Measures for Processed Horticultural Products

In horticultural markets, trade barriers often apply to the processed products whereas domestic support applies to farm-produced raw commodities. Here we assess the effects of such trade barriers and domestic support by simulating the effects of policy reform on global processing tomato markets, which are faced with modest processed product tariffs and high domestic support in the European Union (EU). Both protection and EU subsidy drive down world welfare, but we find that reducing import tariffs for tomato products would yield greater effects on markets and larger welfare impacts outside Europe than would reductions in EU domestic support.     

挠力河流域景观格局粒度效应分析

挠力河流域是重要的生态敏感区,国际生物多样性保护网络的重要节点,该流域湿地是三江平原地区重要的生态屏障,具有无法替代的生态价值和资源意义;分析了景观格局空间粒度的变化.     

政府经济预期与刘易斯-费-拉尼斯模式的运行分析

文章探讨了温家宝提出2008年国民经济和社会发展的预期目标以及政府为保证实现这个目标而采取的措施导致刘易斯-费-拉尼斯模式在中国的运行结果，分析了未来中国经济发展的走向。     

Hypothesis tests using data envelopment analysis

A substantial body of recent work has opened the way to exploring the statistical properties of DEA estimators of production frontiers and related efficiency measures. The purpose of this paper is to survey several possibilities that have been pursued, and to present them in a unified framework. These include the development of statistics to test hypotheses about the characteristics of the production frontier, such as returns to scale, input substitutability, and model specification, and also about variation in efficiencies relative to the production frontier.     

Stochastic Technology, Risk Preferences, and Adoption of Site-Specific Technologies

A model of farmer decision making is developed to determine the extent to which uncertainties about soil fertility and weather affect the value of site-specific technologies (SSTs) using jointly estimated risk and technology parameters. Uncertainty can lead risk-averse farmers to apply more fertilizers and generate more pollution than in the certainty case. Ignoring uncertainty and risk aversion would overestimate the economic and environmental benefits of SSTs and underestimate the subsidy required to induce adoption. Accounting for uncertainties and risk preferences might explain the low observed adoption rates of SSTs. Improving the accuracy of SSTs would increase the incentives for adoption.     

分布式通信流分析系统的实现

文章介绍了通信流分析以及匿名通信的研究现状,并分析了现在研究通信流分析所采用的几种流分析工具,指出他们对于匿名通信的通信流分析的不足之处,最后,提出了适应于匿名通信的分布式通信流分析系统的实现方法。     

Regional job-turnover and industrial policy. a note on a potential time pattern of regional industrial policies and their job effects - the case of the german city-state of bremen

Many regions have experienced long-run economic fluctuations generated by the life cycles of their dominant industrial clusters. During the downswings in the 1970s and 1980s, proactive structural policies were typically launched in German regions to combat job losses in their core clusters and to create new jobs in new industries. With respect to the German State of Bremen, this paper provides empirical evidence of: (1) a long-run regional downswing; (2) the potential job effects of proactive regional industrial policy programmes in terms of increasing regional employment, by safeguarding jobs in the regional core industries and creating new jobs in new growth industries; and (3) a time pattern in the job effects, which are related to the different generations of programmes.