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21.
This paper extends existing commodity valuation models to allow for stochastic volatility and simultaneous jumps in the spot
price and spot volatility. Closed-form valuation formulas for forwards, futures, futures options, geometric Asian options
and commodity-linked bonds are obtained using the Heston (1993) and Bakshi and Madan (2000) methodology. Stochastic volatility
and jumps do not affect the futures price at a given point in time. However, numerical examples indicate that they play important roles in
pricing options on futures.
This revised version was published online in June 2006 with corrections to the Cover Date. 相似文献
22.
Ike Mathur Kimberly C. Gleason Selahattin Dibooglu & Manohar Singh 《The Financial Review》2002,37(1):17-33
The contagion, or informational spillover, effects of the 1994 peso crisis from the Mexican market to the Chilean market, and to the Chilean American Depository Receipts (ADRs) trading in the U.S., are examined. Significant excess returns are observed for Chilean stocks for the event dates of the Mexican Peso crisis, providing evidence of contagion effects. Significant excess returns on these Chilean ADRs are also observed for each of the five event dates associated with the Peso crisis, suggesting that the contagion effects spilled over to the ADRs. A multiple regression model shows that the spillover contagion effects were very efficiently transmitted from the Mexican market to the Chilean market to the Chilean ADRs. Multifactor regressions show that the most significant influence on the pricing of Chilean ADRs is the raw Chilean Index, rather than the Chilean Index expressed in U.S. dollars. 相似文献
23.
企业在发展过程中不可避免要遭遇一些突发事件,这些突发事件可能会给企业带来相当的损失,也可能使企业遭受毁灭性的打击。文章从事前、事中和事后三个方面,研究了企业针对突发事件可以采取的一些对策。 相似文献
24.
试论我国财税法律体系的完善 总被引:1,自引:0,他引:1
经济的和谐发展呼吁完善的财税法律体系。目前,我国传统财税法律体系已经不能适应和谐发展的新要求,以科学发展观为指导,创新财税法学研究方法和研究范式,构建新的财税法律体系和拓展财税法学的理论空间,已经成为财税理论研讨中的新趋势。因此,宜从我国财政危机的法律原因入手,分析产生这些问题的法治根源,并提出创新财税法治观念、构建新的财税法律体系的思路。 相似文献
25.
企业发生财务危机,不能归还到期贷款是商业银行信贷资产的主要风险来源,商业银行如何构建恰当的信用风险评估模型来预测企业的财务危机,从而避免这类信用风险的出现就显得尤为重要。本文以我国上市公司为研究对象,结合杜邦分析法建立了基于生存分析的信用风险评估模型,模型对于随机选取的预测样本,其提前1年、2年和3年的预测准确率分别达到86%、72%和68%。通过与Ahman模型、Ohlson模型预测结果的比较和鲁棒性检验的结果发现,该模型同时具有可以使用时间序列、无需样本配对、中远期预测能力强和高鲁棒性的特点.这些特点特别对于商业银行中长期信贷风险管理具有较高的应用价值. 相似文献
26.
乡镇财政自给能力分析 总被引:1,自引:0,他引:1
乡镇财政危机目前作为一个重要问题成为各界关注焦点,乡镇财政赤字和负债数额巨大,乡镇财政自给程度到底有多大,本文运用财政能力系数指标来定量探讨乡镇财政的危机程度,通过全国五级财政自给系数纵向对比、分省区四级财政自给能力纵向和横向对比以及两个乡镇个案的财政自给系数,来揭示乡镇财政危机的制度内涵. 相似文献
27.
This paper seeks to explain how policy actions undertaken at the outset of recent crises—particularly the issuance of extensive liquidity support and government guarantees—absorb off-budget fiscal resources and inappropriately constrain officials’ subsequent options for restructuring their country’s troubled financial and corporate sectors. Empirical evidence supports the commonsense view that the damage a crisis works on a country’s financial sector and on its real economy is lessened by taking market-mimicking actions that promptly estimate and allocate losses during the early stages of a crisis. The most important steps are to plan to call a timeout to separate hopelessly insolvent institutions from potentially viable ones and to provide haircuts, guarantees, and liquidity support in ways that protect taxpayers and avoid subsidizing insolvent institutions’ longshot gambles for resurrection. 相似文献
28.
Chin-Wen Hsin 《International Review of Financial Analysis》2004,13(4):433-462
This study investigates the comovement in stock indices among major developed markets, where Morgan Stanley Capital International (MSCI) indices are employed for the purposes of the study. We employ a model that accommodates multilateral international impacts on equity index movements. The empirical results reveal the existence of significant international transmission effects among these major world markets, both in terms of returns and volatility, and mostly in a positive direction. The U.S. market, as expected, is the leading market in the sense that it has the most pervasive and significant impact on all markets across continents. However, the U.S. market exhibits a different relationship with European markets from that with Asia-Pacific markets. The evidence also suggests that strong regional transmission effects exist. A further investigation using the extended model reveals that the linkages between U.S. and European markets are driven by positive global common forces and by negative international competitive effects. On the other hand, the U.S. and Asian markets are linked through positive global common forces and positive international contagion effects. The United States, Canada, and the U.K. are the three markets that still demonstrate contagion influence over countries outside its own region. The Asia-Pacific markets are more susceptible to contagion effects. Finally, it is interesting to find that Japanese market performance became more contagious toward other markets during the Asian financial crisis period. 相似文献
29.
Joel F. Houston Jongsub Lee Felix Suntheim 《Journal of Accounting and Economics》2018,65(2-3):237-269
We show that banks with shared social connections partner more often in the global syndicated loan market and that central banks in the network play dominant roles in various interbank transactions, indicating that social connections facilitate business connections. However, more centralized banks in the network also contribute significantly to the global systemic risk. Moreover, we find the soft information generated by social networks is particularly valuable when potential partners operate under different accounting and regulatory standards. Finally, we show that the recent banking crisis significantly limited the positive soft information effects of social networks in the global banking system. 相似文献
30.