建设河北沿海经济强省框架下的外贸SWOT分析

近几年河北外贸发展迅猛,但在全国以及全世界贸易中的地位还很微弱。面对信息科技的挑战,以及历史遗留的产业结构等问题的困扰,河北外贸要抓住"建设沿海经济强省"这一历史机遇,充分利用环渤海经济区的综合发展优势,实现竞争力的全面提升。     

人民币实际汇率波动对中欧进出口贸易影响的实证研究

本文通过建立GARCH模型量度了人民币对欧元实际汇率的波动性,并运用协整检验模型、误差修正模型、脉冲响应函数和方差分解技术就人民币实际汇率变动对中国与欧元区之间进出口贸易的影响进行分析。分析结果表明,中国对欧元区出口在长期内随汇率波动而增加,而进口却随汇率波动而减少;在短期内汇率波动推动中国进口,抑制中国出口。人民币升值在长期内给双边出口均造成伤害,但对中国出口伤害更大;在短期内人民币贬值将对中国进出口均有推动作用。本文分析还表明,在长期内,中国对欧元区出口收入效应远远大于欧元区对华出口收入效应;在短期内,中国实际收入变动对欧元区出口表现负向冲击,而欧元区实际收入变动对中国出口表现为正向冲击。中国汇率制度改革对中国出口欧元区产生推动作用,对欧元区出口产生抑制作用,且前者大于后者。实际汇率水平及其波动性变化对欧元区对华出口变动的解释力高于中国实际收入水平变化的解释力,而对于中国对欧元区出口的变动,欧元区实际收入水平变动的解释力高于实际汇率水平及其波动性变化的解释力。     

高职专业教学方法中的渗透教育

渗透教育是提升高职学生综合素质的有效方法。专业教学方法作为专业教学的主要因素,可以为渗透教育提供载体。教学方法的选择必须有德育依据,在专业教学中科学选择和使用教学方法能为提高渗透教育的效果提供有力支持。     

知名品牌核心价值观塑造及对策研究

塑造品牌核心价值观是企业品牌经营成功的关键。塑造品牌核心价值观可以有效提高品牌认知度和忠诚度,提升品牌竞争力。以浙江义乌为例,分析知名品牌构建品牌价值观的现状和问题,提出相关对策措施。     

Walk Through Unusual Five Years—— An Exhibitor＇s Canton Fair Course

When the 103rd Canton Fair is approaching, an old friend of Canton Fair, Li Ying from Jiangsu prov-ince recollected his past five years＇ experiences to the grand trade meeting. Each year is special, with some unforgettable memories colored by the year.     

对我国水果进出口贸易的思考

近20年来,我国水果总产量增长迅速,水果进出口贸易增长的幅度也很快,但是水果进口额增长速度远远高于出口额增长速度。目前我国水果出口存在很多问题,如没有自己的品牌,经营观念落后等。这造成了我国虽然是水果的生产大国,却是出口小国。本文对我国水果出口存在的问题,提出了一些解决方法。     

Price effects of steel commodities on worldwide stock market returns

We analyze the price effects of steel commodities on stock market returns in emerging and developed economies. These commodities have recently attained increased media exposure due to the rise in the U.S. steel import tariffs, which pose the threat of reducing global demand for steel products and, consequently, lowering prices abroad. However, little has been investigated on the impact of steel commodity prices on worldwide stock market returns. By performing structural VAR and GARCH techniques on a weekly-frequency time series from 2002 to 2015, we find positive and statistically significant effects of linear and non-linear steel commodity price shocks on real stock returns in the commodity markets. In the highly diversified financial markets such as U.S. and Germany, real stock returns do not significantly respond to steel commodity price shocks, although we find highly significant positive responses from developed economies such as Australia, Japan and South Korea. Results are robust to different model specifications. Our evidence suggests that higher tariffs on steel imports represent a larger disadvantage to commodity markets which are more largely impacted by steel commodity prices. We provide economic policy implications based on recent literature.     

技术吸收、技术改造与国内外技术获取 ——基于高技术产业静态与动态面板数据

利用外部技术还是发展内部技术是企业面临的重大选择，国外技术引进和国内技术购买则为这一选择增加了难度。基于2003—2017年《中国高技术产业年鉴》分地区面板数据，采用多种计量方法对高技术产业企业是引进国外技术还是购买国内技术的问题进行验证。结果表明，技术吸收对企业引进国内外技术具有显著促进作用，技术改造对国外技术引进和国内技术购买的影响均显著为负，并且两个关键变量的交叉项和滞后项也显著，这一结果在稳健性检验后仍然成立。同时，企业自办机构研发对国外技术引进和国内技术购买的影响亦显著，但方向不确定。上述结果表明，技术吸收能力和技术改造能力及自主创新对于企业是选择国外技术引进还是国内技术购买具有重要影响。     

The effect of import competition on labor income inequality through firm and worker heterogeneity in the Japanese manufacturing sector

This study estimates the effects of import competition from Asia on the labor income inequality of Japanese manufacturing workers, considering firm and worker heterogeneity. Parameters are obtained from regression results of annual salary by using constructed worker–establishment panel data. The estimated salary change is positively and negatively larger for higher- and lower-paid workers, respectively, implying that labor income inequality among industry–size–skill–gender groups has increased due to imports from Asia. However, the actual evolution of income inequality during 1998–2014 is not successfully explained by Asian imports: other shocks overshadow import competition to determine actual income inequality.     

自主研发、技术改造与技术引进生态关系研究——以中国高技术产业为例

基于创新生态理论和Lotka-Volterra模型，构建高技术产业技术自主研发、技术改造与技术引进3种技术创新方式间的生态关系模型，以《中国高技术产业统计年鉴》中技术创新相关数据为样本进行实证研究，基于模型参数估计值，从自然增长率、规模限制性数、相互作用关系3个方面分析高技术产业技术创新生态关系。结果表明：高技术产业整体自主研发与技术改造的生态关系是偏利技术改造竞争，自主研发与技术引进的生态关系是协同共赢，技术改造与技术引进的生态关系是偏利技术改造竞争；不同高技术产业细分行业3种技术创新方式生态关系的差异性较大。