下属潜能的开发——论企业人才从何而来

对企业而言，面对日益激烈的竞争，如何赢得或保住市场都是极为严峻的挑战。能够帮助企业迎接这一挑战的核心竞争力，便是来自高素质高技能的队伍——人才。企业缺乏合适的人才，如若采用挖墙脚方式虽可解救燃眉之急，但无法长期满足企业成长的需要，因此企业应着重于从内部培养。管理人员的一个最重要的职责就是有效地培育与发展下属，并激励团队成员为组织的目标全力以赴。从公司内部培养和提拔业务骨干和中层管理人员，对企业的长远发展来讲是一件非常重要的事情。公司的每位中、高级管理者都有培养下属的责任。但多数企业并没有下大力气实施人才培养，这其中有观念的问题也有实际的障碍。     

中国的潜在产出、产出缺口及产量--通货膨胀交替关系--基于"Kalman滤波"方法的研究

本文介绍并运用“Kalman滤波”方法估计1979-2004年间我国的潜在经济增长率和产出缺口，然后根据这些结果检验了我国经济增长与通货膨胀率之间的交替关系、社会的通货膨胀预期对经济的影响、决定产出缺口大小的影响因素等，最后利用研究结果对我国2005年的经济发展进行了预测。     

An Eclectic Approach to Estimating U.S. Potential GDP

Rennison (Comparing alternative output gap estimations: a Monte Carlo approach, 2003) has provided simulation-based evidence showing that the joint use of extended multivariate filters and structural vector autoregression models is optimal for estimating potential output. We use this approach to estimate the two components of potential GDP: the full-employment labour input and trend labour productivity. This decomposition is useful for identifying sources of fluctuations in potential output. It reveals, for example, that the vigorous growth rate of U.S. potential GDP recorded during the second half of the 1990s is attributable to a fall in the structural rate of unemployment and a marked upswing in trend productivity growth.     

Spatial and temporal analyses of potential land use conflict under the constraints of water resources in the middle reaches of the Heihe River

With the rapid urbanization in China, land resources are becoming increasingly scarce. Identifying and resolving land use conflict is essential for reasonably using land resources and achieving land sustainability. Taking the middle reaches of the Heihe River as an example, we included the constraints of local water resources to construct a multi-criteria evaluation system for assessing land use competitiveness in 2000 and 2015 based on land use, socio-economic, and nighttime light data. By comparing the competitiveness of cultivated land, construction land and ecological land, we then derived the spatiotemporal patterns of potential land use conflicts. Actual land use changes supported the hypothesis that land use tended to convert into the type with higher competitiveness at areas with intense conflict, which better indicated that our assessment model was effective. The results showed that the potential land use conflict was more acute in the central and northwest but weak in the southeast and northeast, and its pattern showed a significantly positive spatial autocorrelation. The conflict between cultivated land and construction land was most prominent and mainly occurred in the transitional zone from urban to rural areas. Rapid urban development and water shortage were the main causes of the potential land use conflict. Assessing land use multi-functions and making a tradeoff among ecological, economic, and social services will be an effective way to guide future land use to solve land use conflict. Our research provides scientific evidence for sustainable land use planning and management in the arid areas.     

儿童用品标准化的现状分析

本文介绍了我国儿童用品行业的发展现状,以及我同儿童用品标准化工作的发展状况,通过市场调研,了解了目前部分儿童用占占由于标准不完善而仔在的安全隐患,提出了对今后我国儿童用品标准化工作的建议。     

市场潜力、经济集聚与地区间工资差异

基于劳动力、产业在地区间分布的不平衡性以及地区间工资差异的事实,本文构建了一个市场潜力与工资的新经济地理学(NEG)理论模型。理论分析表明:市场潜力对工资产生正面影响。市场潜力对工资产生正面影响来自两种渠道:一是市场潜力引发了经济集聚效应;二是市场潜力产生了逆经济集聚。相比之下,市场潜力引发了经济集聚效应更能提高和扩大地区工资水平与差异,因为经济集聚需要更低的贸易成本、较大的市场规模以及较高的经济发展水平。     

我国液态生物质燃料适度发展规模研究——宏观经济视角的分析

本文通过构建简单的总供给一总需求模型,分析石油数量调控政策、潜在产出水平与均衡价格上涨之间的数理逻辑关系,进而间接得到液态生物质燃料适度规模问题的一般分析框架,为进一步的定量分析打下坚实基础。研究结果表明:为达到潜在产出水平和一定的价格上涨水平,不同的现实条件要求政府实行不同的石油数量调控政策。     

Strategic complementarities and nested potential games

This paper reports that every finite game of strategic complementarities is a nested pseudo-potential game defined by Uno [Uno, H., 2007. Nested potential games. Economics Bulletin 3(17), 1–8] if the action set of each player is one-dimensional, except possibly for one player.     

新疆城镇居民国内潜在出游力的地区差异分析

本文在分析潜在出游力的影响因素基础上,用主成份分析法简化影响因素的结构,得出了收入水平、交通通讯水平与消费水平是影响各地区城镇居民潜在出游力的基本因素。并通过综合评价法来描述新疆各地州市城镇居民潜在出游力的差异状况,从而为旅游企业开展客源市场提供可靠依据。