中部崛起与西部开发的财政收支分析

本文研究表明，在西部开发进程中，国债投资占有较大比重，中部崛起需要充分调动地区的积极性；中部、西部与东部相比，地方企业上缴税收的能力相对不足；中部、西部对于行政收费和农业税收依赖较重，取消农业税后需要开辟新的财政收入渠道；优化中部、西部地区的财政收支状况，关键在于调整地方财政的收支结构。     

有关国家不发达地区开发的财政制度安排与借鉴

本选择美国、印度尼西亚等典型国家，就其不发达地区开发的财政制度安排问题，进行比较与分析，概括其异同，总结规律，为我国西部大开发提供借鉴。     

Managing and financing metropolitan public services in China: experience of the Pearl River Delta region

Under China’s current fiscal policies and inter-governmental relations, it is a significant challenge to finance and deliver public services across jurisdictions. This challenge was met in the Pearl River Delta region in southern China with a collaborative governance approach. Directives from higher-level governments and horizontal inter-city fiscal arrangements were successfully combined to deliver public services. Effective networks should be developed to improve co-ordination and collaboration in delivering cross-jurisdictional public services.     

黔东南地区人居环境评价及优化策略研究

文章以黔东南地区为例主要针对城镇化水平下人居环境的发展模式及优化策略展开研究。首先建立了AHP模型,按照指标体系构建原则,构建了适合评价黔东南地区宜居性的科学合理的客观评价指标体系,以经济建设、居住环境、生态环境、公共服务等4个方面作为影响因子,用层次分析法得出综合权重以及各个指标所占的权重,根据得分分析影响黔东南地区宜居性的指标,其中影响黔东南地区宜居性的因素主要是经济建设和居住条件,其次是生态环境和公共服务,根据数据分析得出黔东南地区目前存在经济、社会、环境协调系数不高、城镇化水平偏低、自然资源丰富的现状。根据数据分析和从黔东南地区的实际情况提出强化城市基础设施;保护生态环境,合理利用资源;继承历史,构造文化底蕴;加强治安力度,提升宜居性等4种优化策略。     

新兴产业对经济发展的时变性影响——来自京津冀地区的经验分析

本文建立了带有随机波动率的时变参数向量自回归模型（SV-TVP-VAR），以京津冀地区为研究对象，分析了不同时期新兴产业发展对地区生产总值、财政收入以及就业的影响。研究结果发现：（1）新常态时期新兴产业的发展对京津冀经济状况的影响程度大于在全球经济危机时期和经济高速发展时期的影响程度，但在大部分时期新兴产业的发展都只会对京津冀的经济状况产生负向效应；（2）如果经济增长是首要经济目标，天津应该加强新兴产业的发展，如果就业是首要经济目标，河北应该加强新兴产业的发展。     

黑龙江森工林区接替产业发展评价

运用熵权灰色关联分析法对黑龙江省森工林区所辖4个林业管理局2012—2017年养殖业、绿色食品等5个接替产业综合发展水平进行评价,并运用耦合协调度模型测算接替产业的均衡水平。结果表明:不同林业管理局的5个接替产业均呈波动发展状态;伊春林业管理局的优势接替产业是养殖业、绿色食品、北药开发和工业,牡丹江林业管理局的优势接替产业是绿色食品,合江林业管理局的优势接替产业是服务业,松花江林业管理局没有显著的优势接替产业;接替产业的综合发展水平偏低导致其均衡水平不高,总体上由初步协调向中度协调发展。因此,各林业管理局应继续发展具有优势的接替产业,同时扶持相对薄弱的接替产业,并开发与引进新的接替产业。     

鲁奎山铁矿成因探讨

鲁奎山铁矿为分布于滇中地区中元古代早期昆阳裂谷中,位于康滇地轴南段,赋存于昆阳群大龙组的菱铁矿床。铁矿产于大龙口组底部条带状灰岩中,呈似层状分布,层控明显。该类型铁矿为目前已探明的昆阳群中最大的铁矿,占云南省内已探明铁矿的20%以上。本文通过对鲁奎山铁矿的区域构造、矿床地质、控矿因素的分析,确定矿床成因,为更好的开发利用此类铁矿提供基础。     

The impact of FTAs on MENA trade in agricultural and industrial products

This article analyses the impact of Free Trade Agreements (FTAs) on Middle East and North African Countries (MENA) trade for the period 1994–2010. The analysis distinguishes between industrial and agricultural trade to take into account the different liberalization schedules. An augmented gravity model is estimated using up-to-date panel data techniques to control for all time-invariant bilateral factors that influence bilateral trade as well as for the so-called multilateral resistance factors. We also control for the endogeneity of the agreements and test for self-selection bias due to the presence of zero trade in our sample. The main findings indicate that North–South-FTAs and South–South-FTAs have a differential impact in terms of increasing trade in MENA countries, with the former being more beneficial in terms of exports for MENA countries, but both showing greater global market integration. We also find that FTAs that include agricultural products, in which MENA countries have a clear comparative advantage, have more favourable effects for these countries than those only including industrial products.     

Polycentric development in the Cape Town city-region: Empirical assessment and consideration of spatial policy implications

The concept of the ‘polycentric urban region’ has been popularised both as a theoretical concept for understanding regional urban systems in an era of reduced transport and communication costs, and as a normative policy objective in its own right. This paper explores its relevance to the rapidly urbanising Cape Town city-region. First, empirical evidence for the emergence of polycentric regional development patterns was considered. Shifts in relative settlements sizes (morphological polycentrism) over the period 1991–2011 were examined using population data, and patterns of inter-settlement interactions (functional polycentrism) were explored by analysing commuting information. Contrary to expectations, trends toward polycentric development were found to be weak. Second, the paper considers the relevance and value of polycentric development thinking for regional economic and spatial planning policy, concluding that there are insufficient grounds for policy intervention aimed at encouraging polycentric regional development or countering the dominance of Cape Town in the region.