What caused Japan’s Great Stagnation in the 1990s? Evidence from an estimated DSGE model

Despite the widespread belief that Japan’s “Great Stagnation” in the 1990s is due to the financial dysfunction after the collapse of asset price bubbles, Hayashi and Prescott (2002) argue that its main cause is a slowdown in total factor productivity growth, using a calibrated neoclassical growth model. The present paper aims to fill this gap by estimating a New Keynesian dynamic stochastic general equilibrium model augmented with a financial accelerator mechanism and associated financial shocks. Our estimation results show that even in the presence of the financial shocks an adverse neutral technology shock mainly induced the Great Stagnation and that the rate of neutral technological change is strongly correlated with all enterprises’ financial position in the Tankan. Based on these findings, the paper argues that the Great Stagnation was caused by an adverse neutral technology shock that is likely to represent a tightening of firms’ financing, which induced reduction of R&D investment and misallocation of resources as indicated in previous literature.     

珠三角区域经济发展对动漫产业融资的影响

立足于珠三角动漫产业发展现状,通过对动漫产业融资难的原因进行分析,提出在区域经济发展过程中应采取的融资措施。     

The shadow costs of repos and bank liability structure

Making use of a structural model that allows for optimal liquidity management, we study the role that repos play in a bank׳s financing structure. In our model the bank׳s assets consist of illiquid loans and liquid reserves and are financed by a combination of repos, long-term debt, deposits and equity. Repos are a cheap source of funding, but they are subject to an exogenous rollover risk. We show that the use of repos inflicts two types of indirect (“shadow”) costs on the bank׳s shareholders: first, it induces the bank to maintain higher liquid reserves in order to alleviate the additional default risk; second, it adds to the cost of long-term debt financing. These shadow costs limit the bank׳s appetite for cheap but unstable repo funding. This effect is, however, weakened under poor returns on risky assets, access to deposit funding and the depositor preference rule. We also analyze the impact of a liquidity coverage ratio, payout restrictions and a leverage ratio on the bank׳s financing choices and show that all these tools are able to curb the bank׳s reliance on repos.     

供水项目贷款能力确定及其影响机理分析

通过对贵州省某大型供水工程贷款能力分析,得出了项目在多边界条件下合理可行的融资方案,揭示了供水项目融资结构与投资效果的内在规律。实践表明,对于常规融资项目,采用图表对比分析法、区间分析法具有典型代表性,可较为便捷、准确地确定项目最佳融资方案,可为金融机构、投资者在决策类似工程时提供参考,提高决策效率,增强决策说服力。     

北京市供排水管理体制的方向选择

分析了北京市供排水系统管理体制的现状,梳理了国际供排水系统主要管理模式的演化过程,比较了华盛顿、伦敦、巴黎、东京的供排水系统管理体制的差异。结合中国国情和北京市的具体特点,提出了相关政策建议。     

债务期限结构的理论研究综述

本文从代理成本、信息不对称、税收三个角度总结了国外关于债务期限结构研究的理论基础,并对我国关于债务期限结构现有的理论研究进行概括,以期为研究我国上市公司债务期限结构提供依据。     

地方政府融资平台存在缘由与规制思路

随着政府融资平台筹资的扩大,政府性债务余额也在不断积累,地方政府融资平台的问题已经越来越多的摆到了各级政府领导的案头上,以举债促发展、保民生似乎已经成为各级政府运行的模式。一面是堆积如山的累债、积债,一面是各级政府的政绩工程、民心工程建设仍在如火如荼的展开。我们通过对部分地方政府投融资平台运行状况进行调研,分析目前地方政府融资平台的起因,探讨地方政府融资平台的建设思路,提出地方政府融资平台的规制建议。     

探究供应链金融 开拓吴江市中小企业融资新途径

文中主要先从供应链金融概念入手,通过对吴江市中小企业融资现状分析吴江市中小企业供应链金融融资的可行性,提出几种供应链金融模式的选择。     

房地产开发企业融资管理问题探讨

如何融资是众多房地产开发企业关注的首要问题,由于利润丰厚,使得很多开发商主观认为能融资成功就代表有利可图。但现实中,近年来随着企业之间竞争的加剧并不是融到资就一定能获得利润。因此,在融资可行性的前提下,兼顾合理的融资成本和适当的融资风险是整个开发项目成功运作的重要手段之一。文章重点从融资管理角度对国内房地产开发企业融资进行分析,在相关理论的基础上,提出通过有效的资金管理确保融资成功的途径和方向。     

浅析我国农村基础设施建设融资问题

农村基础设施建设融资体制是影响农村基础设施建设的重要因素之一,本文主要介绍了美国、日本、韩国的农村基础设施建设发展的情况,分析这些国家农村基础设施建设融资方法。同时结合我国目前农村基础设施建设的现状和不足,研究适合我国市场经济发展的农村基础设施建设融资体制,使其在我国今后经济发展中发挥重要作用。