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1.
This paper shows evidence that political booms, defined as the rise in governments’ popularity, are associated with a higher likelihood of currency crises. The reasoning behind this finding is that prudent economic policies to address underlying weaknesses in the economy may be political costly for incumbent governments in the short-term. Hence, popularity-concerned governments may not have enough incentives to take such corrective actions in a timely manner. This approach, in turn, can deteriorate economic fundamentals and increase related risks in the economy which can eventually lead to crises. This paper sheds light on this phenomenon in the case of currency crises, suggesting that currency crises can be viewed as “political booms gone bust” events. Moreover, it finds that higher international reserves, higher exports, and a higher degree of financial openness alleviate the effect of political booms on currency crises.  相似文献   
2.
整合国际策略与双元学习理论,构建国际策略情境、国际双元学习的平衡和联合与后发企业创新赶超之间的关系模型。基于长三角地区327家外向型制造企业(高新技术企业)问卷调查数据,发现国际策略情境以及国际双元学习平衡和联合均显著正向影响企业创新赶超,国际策略情境对国际双元学习平衡和联合均具有显著正向影响,并且国际双元学习平衡和联合均在国际策略情境与创新赶超之间具有部分中介作用。研究结果揭示了国际化视域下双元学习与后发企业创新赶超的内在影响机制,延展了企业国际化、组织学习和创新赶超等相关领域理论空间,对于本土企业有效实施创新赶超具有启示意义。  相似文献   
3.
Innovation clusters combining public and private effort to develop breakthrough technologies promise greater technological advances to slow down climate change. We use a multi-country model with an emission trading system to examine whether and how international climate policy can incentivize countries to create such innovation clusters. We find that a minimal carbon price is needed to attract applied research firms, but countries may nevertheless fail to invest in complementary research infrastructure. We construct a mechanism that leads to innovation clusters when emissions targets are set before uncertainty surrounding technological developments is resolved. It is a combination of low permit endowments for the country with the lowest costs to build the needed infrastructure, compensation for this country by profits from permit trade, and maximal possible permit endowments for the remaining countries. We outline how the EU-ETS can be further refined according to this mechanism.  相似文献   
4.
Can simplifying customs procedures reduce tariff evasion? We measure tariff evasion as the mis-representation of import values in response to increasing tariffs. In a dataset covering 121 countries and the whole set of HS6 product categories in 2012, 2015, and 2017, we show that simplifying border procedures, that is trade facilitation, reduces tariff evasion. Holding tariff rate constant at its mean, improving a country’s overall trade facilitation performance from the 25th percentile to the median reduces tariff evasion by almost 20%. The moderating effect is especially due to improving the pre-shipment legal certainty of customs procedures. Among the potential mechanisms, improving trade facilitation performance is effective in reducing tariff evasion due to under-reporting of import prices, as well as in countries with weaker control of corruption. The results suggest that countries can gradually implement trade facilitation reforms to cost-effectively minimize tariff evasion.  相似文献   
5.
We add to the ongoing discussion regarding the policy consequences of terrorism by analyzing the effect of terrorism on international economic policy for a panel of 170 countries between 1970 and 2016. We find that countries resort to less liberal international economic policies when facing the threat of terrorism. This effect is especially relevant to smaller (less populated) countries. Our main finding is robust to an instrumental-variable approach. We argue that governments pursue less liberal international economic policies in response to terrorism to interrupt the organization and financing of terrorism, limit capital flight, stabilize public finances and signal political resolve.  相似文献   
6.
This article examines peer influences from network relationships within a social network game (i.e., embeddedness) and across such games (i.e., multiplexity). Drawing on social influence theory, we develop a bivariate Poisson model of users’ repeated visits and latent attrition that accommodates peer interaction after controlling for homophily. We estimate the model using data from two social network games with considerable overlap among network members. We find that friends who are only multiplex across games exert greater peer influence on users’ game visits than members who are embedded within a single game. We also determined that ignoring network multiplexity across games may lead firms to mistarget users due to biased peer influences of embedded friends. This result provides an unresearched explanation—strength of peer influence—for the mixed findings in previous literature on network embeddedness. We utilized our results to conduct several scenario analyses to demonstrate how firms can effectively manage users’ engagement and target users in multiple social network games.  相似文献   
7.
海关总署网站英语新闻是中国海关对外传播的重要渠道,海关的机构特性决定了海关新闻的对外传播不能简单因循社会新闻翻译规范,而需为海关职能服务。利用语料库翻译研究法,可基于同类文本语料库的对比,分析文本特色,并对此现象背后的译者行为、驱动规范进行分析。因此,要了解海关总署网站的对外传播现状,可运用语料库分析软件从海关英语新闻语料库提取主题词,依据扎根理论进行三级编码,并与可比语料库主题词表相对照,完成当前对外传播现状的特色分析以及编译者在选材、编辑和转译环节的行为潜模式描写,并以系统、关联的视角析出行为背后的理念规范,从而有针对性地提供参考建议。  相似文献   
8.
2020年以来,新冠疫情对我国中小企业的影响巨大。论文从收入、成本、现金流三个方面分析了疫情下我国中小企业的现状及可采取的对策,以期助力中小企业渡过难关。  相似文献   
9.
Despite the proliferation in research efforts, family firm (FF) internationalization scholarship suffers from fragmentation, theoretical limitations, and empirical indeterminacy, leaving important facets unexplored. This article’s purpose is to unpack how this body of research has evolved over time and interfaces international business (IB) theory. We conduct a systematic literature review of relevant theoretical and empirical studies covering the last 30 years of research and comprising 134 articles. Our study contributes to this corpus of knowledge by identifying and discussing four evolutionary waves of FF internationalization research. We further advance an integrative framework that offers a comprehensive understanding of the state-of-the-art as well as promising avenues for future research at the intersection of IB and FFs.  相似文献   
10.
[目的]以延安市3个典型乡村旅游地为例,结合可持续生计分析框架和适应性理论,分析农户在乡村旅游扰动下的适应策略与适应模式,定量测度不同适应模式农户的适应结果。厘清农户未来生计策略选择的影响因素及其机制,提出促进农户及乡村旅游地可持续发展的对策。[方法]通过参与性农户评估法及二元回归分析法分析影响农户未来生计策略选择的因素。[结果](1)旅游开发造成案例地农户自然资本丧失,失地农户由务农或务工为主的单一适应方式向兼业型与非农型转变,分化为4种不同类型的农户,且各类农户在各描述指标方面差异显著。(2)农户的生计资本衡量3个社区旅游开发后的适应结果,生计资本普遍较低且内部各维度差异明显。对比4类农户适应结果可得:复合生计型>务工主导型>旅游服务型>社会保障型。(3)通过二元逻辑回归模型深入解释当下适应结果对农户未来生计策略选择的影响,物质资本、金融资本和社会资本均影响农户选择意愿,其中可借款人数是最关键的影响变量。[结论]农户在旅游开发背景下生计动态适应的影响机制为旅游开发及基于此补偿制度是农户现在生计适应活动的外部起因,按照适应类型以及收入比重,分化为4种模式农户; 现行生计适应策略使农户适应结果迥异,生计资本的储量和结构差异显著,这种差异是农户未来生计选择的直接动因; 3个社区不同类型的旅游开发模式是农户未来生计策略选择分异的推动力量。  相似文献   
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