Are aquaculture growth policies in high-income countries due diligence or illusionary dreams? Foreseeing policy implications on seafood production in Singapore

In the beginning of 2019, the Singaporean government announced its desire to increase domestic food production and, in particular, aquaculture to reach 30% of self-sufficiency by 2030. Similar policies aiming at encouraging aquaculture growth abound in high-income countries in recent years, but have had limited success. Hence, this paper investigates the potential implications of such policies to foresee consequences beforehand and improve the policy’s chances of success. Three scenarios of aquaculture development are built for Singapore until 2040, among which a business-as-usual scenario and two explorative scenarios aiming at increasing aquaculture production, the first emphasizing existing technologies and the second giving priority to novel and innovative ones, like recirculating aquaculture systems. These scenarios are assessed using an adapted version of the supply-demand partial equilibrium model Asiafish to challenge their viability in the socioeconomic context of Singapore. Only the two explorative scenarios are found to allow the Singaporean government to reach its goal in terms of seafood self-sufficiency by 2030, one of which appears to have strong advantages. In this scenario, imports decrease by 28% by 2040, seafood self-sufficiency reaches 69% and 90% of all aquaculture originates from innovative technologies, which would make Singapore an aquaculture tech-hub. It also has higher benefits within Singapore environmental, social and economic constraints such as land and aquafeed scarcity.     

高速铁路站台雨棚运维管理系统可视化监测E-BIM应用研究

高速铁路站台雨棚结构监测是保证列车行车与旅客候车安全的重要环节。为提高站台雨棚的运维管理与监测效率,针对高速铁路站台雨棚运维管理系统可视化监测进行设计,建立高速铁路站台雨棚运维管理系统可视化监测实施流程。以广州局集团公司海南环岛高速铁路海口东站站台钢结构雨棚为依托,引入基于BIM技术的E-BIM结构进行可视化监测,开发适用于大跨度空站台雨棚运维管理系统的可视化监测模块,实现高速铁路站台雨棚的结构风险管控,确保高速铁路列车与旅客的安全。     

TMS32020的内部结构、指令系统和应用

TMS 32020是美国德克萨斯仪器公司(TI)继TMS 32010之后,于1986年上半年推出的又一个16/32位高档单芯片计算机.本文将从系统结构入手,对该种单片机的性能作简单介绍,对其应用开发进行初步探讨.     

浅析ASP行业的现状与前景

ASP作为网络经济时代的代表之一,诞生于1999年美国,它的出现无疑引起了全球企业界的关注。从它的界定入手,分析它的现状与前景,可给国内ASP企业提供一定的参考。     

BiCMOS技术在通信领域的研究与进展

为了促进我国通信用高性能电子电路和各种通信ASIC新产品的设计、研制和应用，本文首先论述了性能卓越的BiCMOS技术的先进性，然后讨论了国外流行的两种BiCMOS工艺制作技术及其特殊考虑，以及在通信工程中的应用电路，最后分析了BiCMOS技术在我国高速通信、信息处理电路和系统(如CPU、SRAM、DSP、SOC和数/模混合电路等)中的应用前景和发展趋势。文中提出了运用先进的BiCMOS技术于中国通信电路和系统中的观点。     

正交镜象滤波器组的理论及应用

正交镜象滤波器组(QMF)是一种新型的滤波系统.与普通滤波器组比较,用它实现对信号的频域分析及综合时可大大减少所需的计算量.本文除阐述了双信道及多信道QMF的概念及频响要求之外,还对有关的设计理论及执行方式作了简述.最后对QMF的主要应用领域作了介绍.     

乙二醛的生产技术、应用和市场前景

介绍了乙二醛的生产技术,分析了国内外乙二醛的生产现状和市场前景,提出了发展我国乙二醛生产的建议.     

胃肠减压在腹部外科疾病治疗中的应用及护理干预

目的探讨胃肠减压在腹部外科疾病治疗中的应用及护理干预。方法对80例腹部外科疾病患者临床资料进行回顾性分析,内容包括胃肠减压方法、护理干预措施、胃肠减压应用及护理效果、满意度等,将所得资料进行统计学分析后得出结论。结果 80例腹部外科疾病患者胃肠减压平均时间(4.4±1.2)d,减压管置入平均置入深度(60±3)cm;插管成功率100.0%,失败率0.0%(P<0.05);4例(5.0%)患者发生相关并发症,其中3例(3.8%)肺部感染、1例(1.2%)电解质紊乱;患者对护理满意度评分高达(93.2±2.1)分。结论胃肠减压在腹部外科疾病治疗过程中具有重要作用,经正确的护理配合后可有效提高插管成功率。     

Creating narrative scenarios: Science fiction prototyping at Emerge

Scenarios are stories. In the diverse field of scenario planning, this is perhaps the single point of universal agreement. Yet if scenarios are stories, their literary qualities are often underdeveloped. Scenarios used in business and government frequently do not contain a relatable protagonist, move a plot toward resolution, or compellingly use metaphor, imagery, or other emotionally persuasive techniques of literature. In these cases, narrative is relegated to an adjunct role of summarizing the final results of the workshop. While this neglect of narrative may be reasonable in some contexts, the power of narrative should not be underestimated. Scenario planning methodologies can benefit from using diverse narrative techniques to craft compelling and infectious visions of the future. This article explores the relationship between science fiction and scenarios as story genres and investigates a creative story-telling technique, “Science Fiction Prototyping” (Johnson, 2011). While the method is promising, it is an ultimately problematic means to incorporating narrative into scenario planning.     

Barriers to the investment in the Concentrated Solar Power sector in Morocco: A foresight approach using the Cross Impact Analysis for a large number of events

The Scenario Analysis methods have often been used by policy makers as an instrument to manage uncertainty and to support the shaping of long-term economy policies. In this research, we apply Scenario Analysis in order to identify the barriers affecting the decision to invest in the Concentrated Solar Power (CSP) sector in Morocco. Our results aim at facilitating the process of defining different paths in strategic political and policy actions. Using data from a survey on a panel of experts, the Cross Impact Analysis (CIA) and the Cross Impact Matrix System (SMIC) techniques are applied. The advantage of these techniques is that they allow including in the analysis the interlinkages between the events that will define the future scenarios. However, their limitation is that the number of events analyzed cannot be too high since the information collected from the experts increases exponentially according to the number of events introduced. We thus expand our analysis with a new methodological approach, combining the use of prospective and statistics techniques. This approach allows addressing the mentioned limitation and applying these techniques, initially restricted to 6 events in its common application, to a large number of events. The results show that uncertainty and informality would be key factors in promoting the arrival of companies in this sector. Additionally, regarding companies that already have a presence in Morocco’s renewable energy sector, an increase in activity would be achieved through improvements in the easing of financial and legal barriers.